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re: Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) ***W.H.O. DECLARES A GLOBAL PANDEMIC***

Posted on 3/10/20 at 5:50 pm to
Posted by Indefatigable
Member since Jan 2019
37383 posts
Posted on 3/10/20 at 5:50 pm to
quote:

Well I hope not because unless I’m mistaken, the US has fewer ICU beds per capita.



It is absolutely a major problem there. Italy is having to pick and choose who gets ventilators because they don’t have enough. White knight for them all you want, but they were not capable of dealing with something like this in an effective way. Meanwhile other similarly situated countries have obtained better results with similar resources.
Posted by Poker_hog
Member since Mar 2019
3654 posts
Posted on 3/10/20 at 5:51 pm to
quote:

Don’t think it’s me reassessing the overall risk of the virus. It just me hedging my bets, and this level of prep costs me literally nothing.

Still think fewer than 5k deaths is the most probable outcome after it’s all said and done, with ~10k the realistic upper limit.


My bad, 4 weeks ago...
Posted by Volvagia
Fort Worth
Member since Mar 2006
53483 posts
Posted on 3/10/20 at 5:52 pm to
You have a link because it was very difficult comparison to make to me.

Italy seems to work from its own definitions altogether that don’t include ICU.

Based my statement of a study that had the US far below comparable countries to Italy (Italy wasn’t included in base study. )

One thing is clear, if this is the reason why we should see it clearly in Germany in the next few weeks. They blow us both out of the water
This post was edited on 3/10/20 at 5:56 pm
Posted by Tiguar
Montana
Member since Mar 2012
33131 posts
Posted on 3/10/20 at 5:54 pm to
Just going off what Italian doctors have posted about their occupancy rate and what I know about our occupancy rates.

Every ICU I’ve worked in other than cardiac or pediatric ICUs has been 95%+ full. Empty beds were somewhat of a rarity.

There’s probably some room to add people in cardiac or trauma ICUs but you gotta kinda hope nothing major happens there.
Posted by Diseasefreeforall
Member since Oct 2012
7378 posts
Posted on 3/10/20 at 5:55 pm to
Cases are expected to double every 6 days so...

That means we are looking at about 1 million U.S. cases by the end of April; 2 million by May 7; 4 million by May 13; and so on.

From this good article:

STAT

That's why it's important to get out front of it and slow the transmission.
This post was edited on 3/10/20 at 5:56 pm
Posted by Volvagia
Fort Worth
Member since Mar 2006
53483 posts
Posted on 3/10/20 at 5:55 pm to
did you not notice the past tense usage?

“Still”


My first post on it on back in January, but I’m starting to feel like I owe you rent or something for how much time I’m apparently staying in your head.
Posted by Ronaldo Burgundiaz
NWA
Member since Jan 2012
6793 posts
Posted on 3/10/20 at 5:59 pm to
quote:

There would have to be a lot more than 35% to bring the numbers down to the level of the flu.
That 35% is also not including those with mild symptoms that will brush it off as the cold and not go to the doctor. Pure speculation, but I bet we never find 70% of the cases.
Posted by tigerskin
Member since Nov 2004
46758 posts
Posted on 3/10/20 at 6:01 pm to
New Orleans Mayor just cancelled all weekend events.

She ain’t playing around. We are going to limit this
This post was edited on 3/10/20 at 6:03 pm
Posted by t00f
Not where you think I am
Member since Jul 2016
102141 posts
Posted on 3/10/20 at 6:01 pm to
Latoya just canceled everything. Lol.
Posted by Fun Bunch
New Orleans
Member since May 2008
130340 posts
Posted on 3/10/20 at 6:02 pm to
frick her. I’m marching anyway.
Posted by BluegrassBelle
RIP Hefty Lefty - 1981-2019
Member since Nov 2010
108067 posts
Posted on 3/10/20 at 6:05 pm to
quote:

Cases are expected to double every 6 days so...


Yeah, we’ve gone from a couple here in Kentucky to 8 in about 48 hours. Some are linked to one case from a Walmart worker in Cynthania and that number keeps increasing.
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21552 posts
Posted on 3/10/20 at 6:06 pm to
quote:

Angela Merkel estimates that 60% to 70% of the German population will contract the coronavirus


LINK

Posted by WaWaWeeWa
Member since Oct 2015
15714 posts
Posted on 3/10/20 at 6:07 pm to
quote:

frick her. I’m marching anyway


We will doxx your infected arse
Posted by Poker_hog
Member since Mar 2019
3654 posts
Posted on 3/10/20 at 6:11 pm to
quote:

did you not notice the past tense usage?

“Still”


My first post on it on back in January, but I’m starting to feel like I owe you rent or something for how much time I’m apparently staying in your head.




Every time I check this thread I see you playing thread sheriff. Just wanted to remind you that you grossly underestimated this event.
Posted by WaWaWeeWa
Member since Oct 2015
15714 posts
Posted on 3/10/20 at 6:12 pm to
Someone needs to give latoya a lesson on containment vs mitigation.

We are way past the containment stage in this country. It makes no sense to restrict anyone unless the hospitals can’t keep up. There is no indication of that at this time.

Her actions won’t make a damn bit of difference. She just wants to tell everybody that “Latoya got dis”
This post was edited on 3/10/20 at 6:13 pm
Posted by ell_13
Member since Apr 2013
88028 posts
Posted on 3/10/20 at 6:13 pm to
quote:

That means we are looking at about 1 million U.S. cases by the end of April; 2 million by May 7; 4 million by May 13; and so on.
Posted by SaintsandTigers
Member since Feb 2020
461 posts
Posted on 3/10/20 at 6:14 pm to
quote:

Her actions won’t make a damn bit of difference.


Thank you. On a grand scale,At this point, we need to lock people away, or roll with it and continue operations as normal

Doing these random arse cancellations is just to make irrational people feel warm and fuzzy
Posted by momentoftruth87
Your mom
Member since Oct 2013
86110 posts
Posted on 3/10/20 at 6:14 pm to
Posted by tigerfan88
Member since Jan 2008
9048 posts
Posted on 3/10/20 at 6:14 pm to
The double the numbers every six days thing should drop precipitously if

1)we learn what not to do from Italy and what to do from South Korea

2)the warm weather stuff is accurate.
Posted by WaWaWeeWa
Member since Oct 2015
15714 posts
Posted on 3/10/20 at 6:14 pm to
ell, tell Angela Merkel to calm the frick down. She’s gotten herself all in a panic.
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