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Started By
Message
re: Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) ***W.H.O. DECLARES A GLOBAL PANDEMIC***
Posted on 4/8/20 at 9:03 am to TheCaterpillar
Posted on 4/8/20 at 9:03 am to TheCaterpillar
That helps explain it if said model included range. Numbers and expected peak date just seemed pretty inaccurate compared to knowledge I've gained by periodically checking this thread.
0
Posted on 4/8/20 at 9:04 am to TheCaterpillar
Oh sorry — and thanks for clarifying for me. Appreciate it.
Posted on 4/8/20 at 9:10 am to tiger91
Damn. Talked to my neighbor and he said he got let go from his job. He's an engineer at a consulting firm and worked on municipal jobs and had been there 15 years. His wife is a nurse at a smaller hospital in the DFW burbs and she said things have been very slow. Virus is impacting so many people directly or indirectly. Ready for this shite to be over with.
Posted on 4/8/20 at 9:12 am to TheCaterpillar
As predicted, the measure we took to slow down the virus worked and now these idiots are like see, the media overhyped it.
It's like antivaxx people who say why do we need vaccines, the diseases are gone
It's like antivaxx people who say why do we need vaccines, the diseases are gone
Posted on 4/8/20 at 9:13 am to barry
quote:
As predicted, the measure we took to slow down the virus worked and now these idiots are like see, the media overhyped it.
It's like antivaxx people who say why do we need vaccines, the diseases are gone
Yep.
ETA:
Although the media did overhype it to a degree. The truth is in the middle somewhere.
This post was edited on 4/8/20 at 9:14 am
Posted on 4/8/20 at 9:15 am to TheCaterpillar
quote:
Although the media did overhype it to a degree. The truth is in the middle somewhere.
Well they literally overhyped everything.
Posted on 4/8/20 at 9:30 am to TheCaterpillar
quote:
Although the media did overhype it to a degree. The truth is in the middle somewhere.
Well, yeah, but the media underhyped it too. Want me to find you a big list of headlines from January saying that COVID-19 is just the flu? And the only reason President Trump is putting the restrictions on people entering from China is that he's a racist?
Posted on 4/8/20 at 9:32 am to nerd guy
quote:
He's an engineer at a consulting firm an
My son is an engineer in a firm that has I think a good amount of state contracts. I keep waiting for the hammer to fall but so far all is well for which I, and he especially, am very grateful. I guess a lot of what they're doing was already in the budget?
Posted on 4/8/20 at 9:33 am to TheCaterpillar
quote:
Although the media did overhype it to a degree. The truth is in the middle somewhere.
Some governors did their fair share.
Posted on 4/8/20 at 9:36 am to barry
quote:
As predicted, the measure we took to slow down the virus worked and now these idiots are like see, the media overhyped it.
Didn't many of the original models that predicted 100s of thousands of deaths include social distancing?
Posted on 4/8/20 at 9:38 am to Fun Bunch
quote:
Didn't many of the original models that predicted 100s of thousands of deaths include social distancing?
Some did yes, but most of the country is doing much much more than just social distancing. There are travel restrictions in an out of the country (and some states
) and the vast majority of businesses have either closed or moved to work from home. Posted on 4/8/20 at 9:39 am to Fun Bunch
quote:
Didn't many of the original models that predicted 100s of thousands of deaths include social distancing?
Yeah, I believe they just overestimated the R0 of this thing and underestimated the impact of quarantining.
They were way off early on, that's for sure. But I think the numbers would be a whole lot worse than they are if it weren't for people doing what they've done. It's been a big victory for mankind, now we need to get back to work.
Posted on 4/8/20 at 9:40 am to tiger91
quote:
My son is an engineer in a firm that has I think a good amount of state contracts. I keep waiting for the hammer to fall but so far all is well for which I, and he especially, am very grateful.
That's great! Hopefully it stays that way. He said he already started talking to his friends and some of them also recently were let go, but some are still doing well.
Posted on 4/8/20 at 9:43 am to nerd guy
quote:
That's great! Hopefully it stays that way. He said he already started talking to his friends and some of them also recently were let go, but some are still doing well.
I pray that it continues .. he just bought a home and I'm pretty sure now that he's even happier that he bought on the lower end of his budget. He's a smart, money-wise person and that will serve him well now and in years to come.
Posted on 4/8/20 at 9:44 am to TheCaterpillar
quote:
The truth is in the middle somewhere.
It always is.
Posted on 4/8/20 at 9:56 am to VABuckeye
If the actions taken reduced deaths from 2 million to 60k, then honestly the argument should be had we should do this every fall. We could basically eradicate most deaths due to flu, rsv, viral pneumonia etc etc
I mean you would be talking about a reduction of infectious seasonal deaths of 85% every year
I mean, those who are for the sanctions for the old people have to agree with this, right?
I mean you would be talking about a reduction of infectious seasonal deaths of 85% every year
I mean, those who are for the sanctions for the old people have to agree with this, right?
This post was edited on 4/8/20 at 9:57 am
Posted on 4/8/20 at 9:56 am to nerd guy
We have to find different ways to slow down the spread than just simply shutting down the economy. I get doing it for 30 days or so just to give our healthcare system some time to get ready, ramp up production/acquirement of supplies, and give us a little time to look at treatment options before opening the floodgates, but this can’t be something we do for months on end. Starting May 1 we need to start rolling back the mandatory shutdown measures, with aim to get us fully opened back up by end of May for the most part.
Posted on 4/8/20 at 10:03 am to Jon Ham
What actions can we take for the next flare-up? We are/will be better prepared but this isn't going away for awhile. Do we have local lockdowns if an area crosses some threshold level of cases?
I don't foresee us giving up enough privacy to do a strict level of contact tracing necessary to snuff out each cluster.
I don't foresee us giving up enough privacy to do a strict level of contact tracing necessary to snuff out each cluster.
Posted on 4/8/20 at 10:05 am to barry
quote:
the media overhyped it.
They did and they still are... they caused the run on grocery stores and the likes, which were foolish as nothing has closed and I can walk into Kroger this min and get anything I want or need.
Posted on 4/8/20 at 10:05 am to slacker00
quote:
What actions can we take for the next flare-up?
We have ramped up production of PPE and vents. The thing we're trying to prevent is a shortage of resources. The US is doing everything they can to increase the number of resources so in the event of a flare up, it's less likely that hospital systems get overloaded.
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