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Message
re: Beryl Thread - the clean up begins...
Posted on 7/1/24 at 9:23 pm to deltaland
Posted on 7/1/24 at 9:23 pm to deltaland
We are scheduled to fly to Grand Cayman on Thursday for 9 days of family vacation. I know it’s not going to happen but my wife just wants to believe this storm is going to stay south and keeps telling me to stop saying it’s not looking good. I just sent her the video of the island that got wrecked this morning. If it gets even half of the devastation, the Caymans are closed for business for a stretch. I told her a little while ago, “do you know what is happening there right now? Grocery shelves are barren. If that storm makes a direct hit on Thursday AM or even gets close, it will be an emergency situation and there will be no stores operating and no goods to buy. Even if we could get there it would be like we willingly jumped into a game of survivor.” I don’t think she understands. She thinks the storm will pass and our flight will be delayed until Friday and we will be sitting on 7 Mile Beach on Friday afternoon.
3
Posted on 7/1/24 at 9:23 pm to rds dc
The 18z HWRF run is a bigger cliff hanger than an episode of Breaking Bad.
This post was edited on 7/1/24 at 9:32 pm
Posted on 7/1/24 at 9:24 pm to rds dc
Posted on 7/1/24 at 9:25 pm to Dirk Dawgler
quote:
I don’t think she understands
Have you tried hitting her?
Posted on 7/1/24 at 9:25 pm to LSUTiger23
quote:
The 0z HWRF run is a bigger cliff hanger than an episode of Breaking Bad.
If you can post it please do
Posted on 7/1/24 at 9:26 pm to Dirk Dawgler
quote:
I don’t think she understands
She is a woman, of course she doesn’t.
Posted on 7/1/24 at 9:27 pm to Mr Roboto
Pretty sure he meant 18Z, 00Z hasn't ran yet
Posted on 7/1/24 at 9:29 pm to LSUTiger23
quote:
The 0z HWRF run is a bigger cliff hanger than an episode of Breaking Bad.
*looks at clock*
Its a little early for the 00z runs.
Posted on 7/1/24 at 9:30 pm to Dirk Dawgler
I think your wife is right. Storm should go far enough south to avoid significant damage to island. At most, you leave a day later.
Posted on 7/1/24 at 9:31 pm to Duke
lol shite. Yes 18Z run. Was looking at frame time. Not initialize time.
Posted on 7/1/24 at 9:34 pm to lsuman25
[/url][/img] Just FYI for everyone that is still learning like me here’s the times for the model runs minus the hurricane models like the HWRF and HMON
This post was edited on 7/1/24 at 9:41 pm
Posted on 7/1/24 at 9:34 pm to Stevo
I told her it is 100% getting wrecked and that it will be at least 5 years before we can visit there again.
Posted on 7/1/24 at 9:37 pm to rds dc
00z Early Cycle vs. 12z
00z
12z
And Beryl is still tracking to the north side of the guidance envelope tonight.
00z
12z
And Beryl is still tracking to the north side of the guidance envelope tonight.
Posted on 7/1/24 at 9:39 pm to rds dc
Posted on 7/1/24 at 9:39 pm to rds dc
Posted on 7/1/24 at 9:41 pm to Stevo
quote:
think your wife is right. Storm should go far enough south to avoid significant damage to island. At most, you leave a day later.
What if the northern shifts continue and it tracks right over the island? Not a risk I would be willing to take.
Posted on 7/1/24 at 9:46 pm to LPLGTiger
quote:
Baw on KLFY said this thing dies post Yucatán and we get nothing.
I hate tv meteorologists. They don’t know shite about it anymore than we do. I know this because even the guys at the NWS/Hurricane Center aren’t eliminating anything yet.
Posted on 7/1/24 at 9:49 pm to jcaz
.BERYL BECOMES A POTENTIALLY CATASTROPHIC CATEGORY 5 HURRICANE IN THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN... ...EXPECTED TO BRING LIFE-THREATENING WINDS AND STORM SURGE TO JAMAICA LATER THIS WEEK...11:00 PM AST Mon Jul 1
Location: 13.8°N 64.9°W
Moving: WNW at 22 mph
Min pressure: 938 mb
Max sustained: 160 mph
Location: 13.8°N 64.9°W
Moving: WNW at 22 mph
Min pressure: 938 mb
Max sustained: 160 mph
Posted on 7/1/24 at 9:49 pm to jcaz
Yeah, that Zach Fradella dude thinks he is a weather God and knows everything.
Posted on 7/1/24 at 9:50 pm to Roll Tide Ravens
A Cat 5. Holy cow!
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