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re: Beryl Thread - the clean up begins...
Posted on 7/6/24 at 1:04 pm to LegendInMyMind
Posted on 7/6/24 at 1:04 pm to LegendInMyMind
It's bc of DEI isn't it
Posted on 7/6/24 at 1:06 pm to Oates Mustache
quote:
And go read Eric Webb's response to him, he destroyed him in a polite way.
Loading Twitter/X Embed...
If tweet fails to load, click here.Posted on 7/6/24 at 1:08 pm to Oates Mustache
Sure, Ryan could have put that better but its obviously going to strengthen on approach with that trough cranking the outflow poleward.
Potentially "rapidly"
Potentially "rapidly"
Posted on 7/6/24 at 1:13 pm to Duke
Yeah, I didn’t take Ryan’s initial post to be a prediction of Harvey 2.0, but rather the possibility of organization and intensification.
Posted on 7/6/24 at 1:14 pm to Duke
Motion since 5 am has been 320 degrees


Posted on 7/6/24 at 1:14 pm to Oates Mustache
Are they going to "destroy" Mark Sudduth, too?
Take a look at the track record with this storm so far. Then, remember what I said yesterday regarding anyone who claims to have a good handle or strong understanding of the rapid intensification process of Gulf storms either being liars or way overconfident.
Given what we have witnessed the last few years with Gulf storms strengthening into landfall there is nothing wrong with drawing comparisons with this one. There is a window open for RI with a storm that has been incredibly complicated to forecast leading to an ever-evolving area of impact/concern. No two storms are the same, but drawing public attention to the possibility of a worst case scenario isn't a problem with this one.
ETA: I will also note that the weather community as whole will be much more willing to bash Ryan Maue than Mark Studduth.
Loading Twitter/X Embed...
If tweet fails to load, click here. Take a look at the track record with this storm so far. Then, remember what I said yesterday regarding anyone who claims to have a good handle or strong understanding of the rapid intensification process of Gulf storms either being liars or way overconfident.
Given what we have witnessed the last few years with Gulf storms strengthening into landfall there is nothing wrong with drawing comparisons with this one. There is a window open for RI with a storm that has been incredibly complicated to forecast leading to an ever-evolving area of impact/concern. No two storms are the same, but drawing public attention to the possibility of a worst case scenario isn't a problem with this one.
ETA: I will also note that the weather community as whole will be much more willing to bash Ryan Maue than Mark Studduth.
This post was edited on 7/6/24 at 1:15 pm
Posted on 7/6/24 at 1:16 pm to LegendInMyMind
While I hate weather weenies on twitter.. no one who doesn't care about weather is looking at those posts anyways and even if they are it's better for someone on the coast to over-prepare than under-prepare. The public isn't being "led astray" by random people on twitter who are hinting at RI.
Posted on 7/6/24 at 1:16 pm to LaBR4
quote:
Outerbands approaching. Port Sulphur getting hammered by one
That's called summer. It has nothing to do with Beryl.
Stop with this stupid shite. You tried the same.thing yesterday.
Posted on 7/6/24 at 1:19 pm to Tiger985
quote:
It has nothing to do with Beryl.

Posted on 7/6/24 at 1:24 pm to The Boat
quote:
While I hate weather weenies on twitter.. no one who doesn't care about weather is looking at those posts anyways and even if they are it's better for someone on the coast to over-prepare than under-prepare. The public isn't being "led astray" by random people on twitter who are hinting at RI.
Are you on Facebook? You're wrong about it not being shared. I've seen it multiple times already. He used to work for WeatherBell, aka WeatherHype.
Posted on 7/6/24 at 1:25 pm to The Boat
quote:
While I hate weather weenies on twitter.. no one who doesn't care about weather is looking at those posts anyways
That's true for Mark Sudduth, but Ryan Maue being on what many people in the weather community view as the "wrong side" has garnered a following beyond weather enthusiasts. He has a greater reach than many others who are top notch in their own right. They'll bash him for it, they always do.
And, yes, there's nothing wrong with people being convinced to over prepare.
Posted on 7/6/24 at 1:27 pm to OU Guy
Very irresponsible for him to compare this system to Harvey. Typical click bait crap from him. These are two different storms. Now a high end cat 1 or low end cat 2 could be possible but a Cat 4 like Harvey is highly unlikely.
Posted on 7/6/24 at 1:29 pm to MrWhipple
Weather gurus …question for you -
I have a large floating duck blind on a 20 acre piece of water that is 5 miles east of the current track (near Garwood, TX). Which corner of the pond gives you the best protection from wind/waves?
NW, NE, SE, SW corner?
I have a large floating duck blind on a 20 acre piece of water that is 5 miles east of the current track (near Garwood, TX). Which corner of the pond gives you the best protection from wind/waves?
NW, NE, SE, SW corner?
Posted on 7/6/24 at 1:29 pm to SWLA92
As far as a rainfall, Harvey insane rainfall rates, stalled out, looped around, this storm is projected move inland and keep going.
Posted on 7/6/24 at 1:32 pm to Ghost of Colby
quote:
Yeah, I didn’t take Ryan’s initial post to be a prediction of Harvey 2.0, but rather the possibility of organization and intensification.
In reality, most people probably didn't take it as a prediction of Harvey 2.0. The backlash has more to do with who he is rather than what he said.
Posted on 7/6/24 at 1:40 pm to LegendInMyMind
we did have a useful tropical storm 2 weeks ago that cooled the waters off Corpus nicely, taking energy away from beryl
Posted on 7/6/24 at 1:41 pm to LegendInMyMind
It's a fact that when you use catch phrases like Katrina, Harvey, etc., to know exactly what you are doing. You're invoking images of catastrophic, widespread damage across whole cities. This creates panic in the lesser informed. They're not calmly getting their hurricane plans in place, they're raiding stores buying up all the toilet paper.
It's irresponsible by just posting what he did, without additional information that the average American could process and understand.
It's irresponsible by just posting what he did, without additional information that the average American could process and understand.
This post was edited on 7/6/24 at 1:42 pm
Posted on 7/6/24 at 1:43 pm to LegendInMyMind
Ehh, when discussing Harvey you have to put it in context for people by separating the stalling out and rainfall issue from the intensity discussion.
Posted on 7/6/24 at 1:43 pm to Oates Mustache
quote:
It's irresponsible by just posting what he did, without additional information that the average American could process and understand.
We will agree to disagree, especially when it comes to the general public lacking critical thinking skills.
Now, let us see how they handle Mark making pretty much the exact same post.
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