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re: Beryl Thread - the clean up begins...

Posted on 7/6/24 at 1:04 pm to
Posted by The Egg
Houston, TX
Member since Dec 2004
83706 posts
Posted on 7/6/24 at 1:04 pm to
It's bc of DEI isn't it
Posted by The Egg
Houston, TX
Member since Dec 2004
83706 posts
Posted on 7/6/24 at 1:06 pm to
quote:

And go read Eric Webb's response to him, he destroyed him in a polite way.


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Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 7/6/24 at 1:08 pm to
Sure, Ryan could have put that better but its obviously going to strengthen on approach with that trough cranking the outflow poleward.

Potentially "rapidly"
Posted by Ghost of Colby
Alberta, overlooking B.C.
Member since Jan 2009
15631 posts
Posted on 7/6/24 at 1:13 pm to
Yeah, I didn’t take Ryan’s initial post to be a prediction of Harvey 2.0, but rather the possibility of organization and intensification.
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
177200 posts
Posted on 7/6/24 at 1:14 pm to
Motion since 5 am has been 320 degrees



Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
74965 posts
Posted on 7/6/24 at 1:14 pm to
Are they going to "destroy" Mark Sudduth, too?

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Take a look at the track record with this storm so far. Then, remember what I said yesterday regarding anyone who claims to have a good handle or strong understanding of the rapid intensification process of Gulf storms either being liars or way overconfident.

Given what we have witnessed the last few years with Gulf storms strengthening into landfall there is nothing wrong with drawing comparisons with this one. There is a window open for RI with a storm that has been incredibly complicated to forecast leading to an ever-evolving area of impact/concern. No two storms are the same, but drawing public attention to the possibility of a worst case scenario isn't a problem with this one.

ETA: I will also note that the weather community as whole will be much more willing to bash Ryan Maue than Mark Studduth.
This post was edited on 7/6/24 at 1:15 pm
Posted by TDTOM
Member since Jan 2021
25893 posts
Posted on 7/6/24 at 1:15 pm to
I don't like that.
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
177200 posts
Posted on 7/6/24 at 1:16 pm to
While I hate weather weenies on twitter.. no one who doesn't care about weather is looking at those posts anyways and even if they are it's better for someone on the coast to over-prepare than under-prepare. The public isn't being "led astray" by random people on twitter who are hinting at RI.
Posted by Tiger985
Member since Nov 2006
7674 posts
Posted on 7/6/24 at 1:16 pm to
quote:

Outerbands approaching. Port Sulphur getting hammered by one



That's called summer. It has nothing to do with Beryl.

Stop with this stupid shite. You tried the same.thing yesterday.
Posted by LaBR4
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2005
53873 posts
Posted on 7/6/24 at 1:19 pm to
quote:

It has nothing to do with Beryl.



Posted by Oates Mustache
Member since Oct 2011
26623 posts
Posted on 7/6/24 at 1:24 pm to
quote:

While I hate weather weenies on twitter.. no one who doesn't care about weather is looking at those posts anyways and even if they are it's better for someone on the coast to over-prepare than under-prepare. The public isn't being "led astray" by random people on twitter who are hinting at RI.


Are you on Facebook? You're wrong about it not being shared. I've seen it multiple times already. He used to work for WeatherBell, aka WeatherHype.
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
74965 posts
Posted on 7/6/24 at 1:25 pm to
quote:

While I hate weather weenies on twitter.. no one who doesn't care about weather is looking at those posts anyways

That's true for Mark Sudduth, but Ryan Maue being on what many people in the weather community view as the "wrong side" has garnered a following beyond weather enthusiasts. He has a greater reach than many others who are top notch in their own right. They'll bash him for it, they always do.

And, yes, there's nothing wrong with people being convinced to over prepare.
Posted by SWLA92
SWLA
Member since Feb 2015
5024 posts
Posted on 7/6/24 at 1:27 pm to
Very irresponsible for him to compare this system to Harvey. Typical click bait crap from him. These are two different storms. Now a high end cat 1 or low end cat 2 could be possible but a Cat 4 like Harvey is highly unlikely.
Posted by MrWhipple
West of the Mississippi
Member since Jun 2016
1138 posts
Posted on 7/6/24 at 1:29 pm to
Weather gurus …question for you -

I have a large floating duck blind on a 20 acre piece of water that is 5 miles east of the current track (near Garwood, TX). Which corner of the pond gives you the best protection from wind/waves?

NW, NE, SE, SW corner?
Posted by LaBR4
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2005
53873 posts
Posted on 7/6/24 at 1:29 pm to
As far as a rainfall, Harvey insane rainfall rates, stalled out, looped around, this storm is projected move inland and keep going.
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
74965 posts
Posted on 7/6/24 at 1:32 pm to
quote:

Yeah, I didn’t take Ryan’s initial post to be a prediction of Harvey 2.0, but rather the possibility of organization and intensification.

In reality, most people probably didn't take it as a prediction of Harvey 2.0. The backlash has more to do with who he is rather than what he said.
Posted by Trevaylin
south texas
Member since Feb 2019
10926 posts
Posted on 7/6/24 at 1:40 pm to
we did have a useful tropical storm 2 weeks ago that cooled the waters off Corpus nicely, taking energy away from beryl
Posted by Oates Mustache
Member since Oct 2011
26623 posts
Posted on 7/6/24 at 1:41 pm to
It's a fact that when you use catch phrases like Katrina, Harvey, etc., to know exactly what you are doing. You're invoking images of catastrophic, widespread damage across whole cities. This creates panic in the lesser informed. They're not calmly getting their hurricane plans in place, they're raiding stores buying up all the toilet paper.

It's irresponsible by just posting what he did, without additional information that the average American could process and understand.
This post was edited on 7/6/24 at 1:42 pm
Posted by LSUJuice
Back in Houston
Member since Apr 2004
18049 posts
Posted on 7/6/24 at 1:43 pm to
Ehh, when discussing Harvey you have to put it in context for people by separating the stalling out and rainfall issue from the intensity discussion.
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
74965 posts
Posted on 7/6/24 at 1:43 pm to
quote:

It's irresponsible by just posting what he did, without additional information that the average American could process and understand.

We will agree to disagree, especially when it comes to the general public lacking critical thinking skills.

Now, let us see how they handle Mark making pretty much the exact same post.
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