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Started By
Message
1
Posted on 3/16/20 at 8:12 am to Ingeniero
quote:and where did you get your medical degree?
It's not "basically the flu" for a number of reasons
Posted on 3/16/20 at 8:12 am to Ross
quote:
How is this not going to be a yearly event?
Eventually you'll get the Covid vaccine just like the flu vaccine.
Posted on 3/16/20 at 8:12 am to Chef Free Gold Bloom
The goobers who think everyone can work from home are in for a rude awakening
Posted on 3/16/20 at 8:13 am to aTmTexas Dillo
quote:
So you say the area under the curve is identical? By the way I don't believe you. It's almost a fatalistic view.
the projections are fatalistic
quote:
If we can reduce the peak of the curve, we can reduce the number of cases.
the only reason we care about spikes/peaks is critical hospital beds available. all of our policies are about reducing the chance of flooding those beds
Posted on 3/16/20 at 8:16 am to Pintail
The best comment I hade heard from at least 2 of the world experts is that, it’s like trying to stop the wind. If you breathe you can get it.
All these hand washing, mask, etc are really just bullshite to give people something to do, so they don’t feel helpless, and can’t hurt but they are going to stop you from catching this.
All these hand washing, mask, etc are really just bullshite to give people something to do, so they don’t feel helpless, and can’t hurt but they are going to stop you from catching this.
Posted on 3/16/20 at 8:16 am to CarRamrod
quote:
At what death rate can we say that it is?
quote:
and where did you get your medical degree?
It's not just death rate that matters. There's currently no vaccine for it. There's also no way to develop herd immunity and because it's novel, there's no natural immunity. That's why it won't be such an issue in the future, but is an issue right now. No one's saying we have to go into quarantine for 8 weeks every year.
Posted on 3/16/20 at 8:16 am to Chef Free Gold Bloom
quote:
will see Great Depression Style misery and panic.
You’re being a bit dramatic, mom.
Posted on 3/16/20 at 8:16 am to Ross
quote:
How is this not going to be a yearly event? Are we still banking on developing herd immunity over time even with all the quarantines?
i think we have a vaccine in a year or so and herd immunity takes over by that point
but
we're not going to isolate this virus in that year. it's going to keep spreading. the US is a LARGE country and eventually small counties without medical infrastructure are going to face similar issues (just on a lower scale). it doesn't take much to overtake medical facilities in rural areas (if any even exist)
Posted on 3/16/20 at 8:17 am to SlowFlowPro
quote:
all of our policies are about reducing the chance of flooding those beds
I think people are misunderstanding this.
More people start understanding this they are going to get impatient under lock down.
Might be better to just quarantine the most vulnerable.
This post was edited on 3/16/20 at 8:26 am
Posted on 3/16/20 at 8:19 am to SlowFlowPro
quote:
the only reason we care about spikes/peaks is critical hospital beds available. all of our policies are about reducing the chance of flooding those beds
You and I are in agreement here. It makes perfect sense. A
Posted on 3/16/20 at 8:20 am to Crowknowsbest
quote:
We’re just fricked in that case.
Yes, to an extent. That is why spreading out the infections are particularly important until it is determined if it is seasonal and to what extent people gain immunity. If we don't gain immunity at a significant percentage of those infected the goal then is to make it until a vaccine is manufactured in significant quantities to reach herd immunity.
Posted on 3/16/20 at 8:20 am to loogaroo
quote:
Might be better to just quarantine the most vulnerability.
that's the UK's plan. i like the theory. curious how it works out
they're putting the 15% (or so) of the population who are at risk in quarantine to allow 85% of society to function
we're putting 85% of the population in quarantine to decrease the chance the 15% get infected
Posted on 3/16/20 at 8:22 am to Pintail
Unless we completely shutdown the country 100% for two weeks to a month there is no flattening the curve. We shouldn't be doing this in between stuff. Either go about business as usual or complete shutdown. This halfway stuff will not work.
Posted on 3/16/20 at 8:24 am to Ingeniero
quote:so again, where did you get your medical degree?
At what death rate can we say that it is?
quote:
and where did you get your medical degree?
It's not just death rate that matters. There's currently no vaccine for it. There's also no way to develop herd immunity and because it's novel, there's no natural immunity. That's why it won't be such an issue in the future, but is an issue right now. No one's saying we have to go into quarantine for 8 weeks every year.
Posted on 3/16/20 at 8:27 am to SippyCup
quote:
This is incorrect. The cases were false positives.
While what I have read doesn't suggest there is proof of this it is still to be determined if the average human actually gains immunity.
Posted on 3/16/20 at 8:27 am to SlowFlowPro
quote:
this is the macro issue and why i find the UK's strategy so interesting
flattening the curve with an incredibly contagious disease in a country this big seems like we're just going to have rolling crises
Could you elaborate?
Posted on 3/16/20 at 8:28 am to Ingeniero
quote:
It's not "basically the flu" for a number of reasons
That people are still so insistent on this is just amazing
For every SJW who thinks there are 1000 genders there are people who get 100% of their news and information from Sheriff David Clarke's blog. Both are pretty horrifying.
Posted on 3/16/20 at 8:29 am to NolaTiger52
Well, what if we go back to business as usual in mid April and then cases start to spike? We're totally screwed at that point.
Posted on 3/16/20 at 8:29 am to Pettifogger
And apparently, unless I have a medical degree, everything that comes out of my mouth is fearmongering mumbo jumbo 
"We need to do ___ to prevent an overwhelming hit to medical services"
"WELL YA AINT A DOCTOR ARE YA"
"We need to do ___ to prevent an overwhelming hit to medical services"
"WELL YA AINT A DOCTOR ARE YA"
This post was edited on 3/16/20 at 8:30 am
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