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re: At what point do we stop focusing on the flattening curve idea

Posted on 3/16/20 at 11:09 am to
Posted by dsides
Member since Jan 2013
5365 posts
Posted on 3/16/20 at 11:09 am to
quote:

The death rate is currently low because it has just started and hospitals aren’t overwhelmed yet


The death rate could be artificially high because lack of testing out of necessity or capability.

What is 100% certain is substantial economic deterioration from the shutdown that in the long term could easily result in more devastation and deaths than this virus.
Posted by shel311
McKinney, Texas
Member since Aug 2004
110820 posts
Posted on 3/16/20 at 11:13 am to
quote:

What is 100% certain is substantial economic deterioration from the shutdown that in the long term could easily result in more devastation and deaths than this virus.

So it's 100% certain that something might happen?


I can just as easily say it is 100% certain that what you said won't happen to that degree, so...
Posted by dsides
Member since Jan 2013
5365 posts
Posted on 3/16/20 at 11:15 am to
quote:

So it's 100% certain that something might happen?


It’s 100% certain our economy will suffer with the shutdown....

It might result in more deaths than the virus.

Try to keep up.
Posted by shel311
McKinney, Texas
Member since Aug 2004
110820 posts
Posted on 3/16/20 at 11:19 am to
quote:

It’s 100% certain our economy will suffer with the shutdown....

It might result in more deaths than the virus.

Try to keep up.
It's also 100% certain that the shutdown might result in less deaths than the virus.

quote:

Try to keep up.
You literally just clarified your remark, easy with the "try to keep up" stuff when you essentially conceded your initial remark wasn't very clear.
This post was edited on 3/16/20 at 11:20 am
Posted by Clames
Member since Oct 2010
16560 posts
Posted on 3/16/20 at 11:29 am to
quote:

Ruining the economy to "flatten the curve" for a virus that is basically the flu is going to go down as one of the dumbest ideas in history.


This. The horses left the barn weeks earlier than anyone knew and these "flattening the curve" idiots think shutting the doors now is going to help. It isn't. What's worse is in a month or two, when this is little more than a background nuisance, these same idiots will be patting themselves on the back thinking they accomplished something.
Posted by JohnnyKilroy
Cajun Navy Vice Admiral
Member since Oct 2012
35304 posts
Posted on 3/16/20 at 11:32 am to
Damn dude why hasn't trump tapped you to lead our response to this?
Posted by scott8811
Ratchet City, LA
Member since Oct 2014
11326 posts
Posted on 3/16/20 at 11:35 am to
I have no idea if all this flattening the curve stuff is gonna work now, you know...because I'm not an epidemiologist. But I am fricking sick of people who have no idea touting this and acting like thier posts are saving the world and scolding anyone who disagrees. This shite is tailor made for slactivism...a time when you can canonize yourself for staying on the couch and encouraging others to do the same.
Posted by shel311
McKinney, Texas
Member since Aug 2004
110820 posts
Posted on 3/16/20 at 11:36 am to
quote:

This. The horses left the barn weeks earlier than anyone knew and these "flattening the curve" idiots think shutting the doors now is going to help. It isn't. What's worse is in a month or two, when this is little more than a background nuisance, these same idiots will be patting themselves on the back thinking they accomplished something.

You think this would basically go away in a month if we did nothing?

Bless your naive little heart.
Posted by JohnnyKilroy
Cajun Navy Vice Admiral
Member since Oct 2012
35304 posts
Posted on 3/16/20 at 11:39 am to
quote:

This shite is tailor made for slactivism


Slactivism in this scenario would be NOT staying on the couch
Posted by shel311
McKinney, Texas
Member since Aug 2004
110820 posts
Posted on 3/16/20 at 11:44 am to
quote:

I think it's 100% about avoiding taking the blame for some hospitals being overrun.

I don't get this. If some hospitals could be overrun, then wouldn't all this be done so we can hopefully not have hospitals overrun?
Posted by Bert Macklin FBI
Quantico
Member since May 2013
8925 posts
Posted on 3/16/20 at 11:46 am to
quote:

If we can reduce the peak of the curve, we can reduce the number of cases.


I am very much in the fully support the measures being taken and flatten the curve camp but you are misunderstanding the Curve.

We cannot stop this thing from spreading, we can only slow it down. The whole point of flattening the curve is to make sure that everyone in the country doesn't get sick at once and therefore flood the hospitals.

We have a finite amount of medical professionals and hospital beds in this country and we need to make sure that people are getting sick at a rate that is slow enough that we don't overload the hospitals.

In Italy they are making decisions over who gets treated who gets sent home to die because they don't have enough space in the hospital space to deal with this thing.
Posted by KiwiHead
Auckland, NZ
Member since Jul 2014
27471 posts
Posted on 3/16/20 at 11:47 am to
I was talking to an old pathologist this morning who had some interesting insights on all of this.

He thinks that the state of emergency is fine in limited doses but he thinks that we should isolate based on those most at risk.....65 and older with COPD especially. But he said that the travel ban is smart and probably should have been instituted by the first week of January, if not earlier because we knew about it.

I found the most interesting thing he said was that the travel ban on both sides of the continent will helo us more than you think. If you don't have unfettered travel you can control who comes in easier. He actually thought we should leave everyone over there. The oceans are our best defense because of the distances and the fact that it is salt water. Shut down everything coming in from Asia and Europe and convince the Mexicans and Brazilians to do the same and in the case of China cut em off completely for 5 years. We can then control the Southern border easier with the help of the Mexicans that we make deals with.

Kind of a left field idea overall, but I thought there was some merit to the idea.....Pathologists think outside the box generally.
Posted by skullhawk
My house
Member since Nov 2007
23025 posts
Posted on 3/16/20 at 11:53 am to
quote:



Put me in the group of people that would accept inconveniences in order to save 50k people.


Send this country into a depression and the suicides will top the corona “saves”.
Posted by Clames
Member since Oct 2010
16560 posts
Posted on 3/16/20 at 11:54 am to
quote:

You think this would basically go away in a month if we did nothing?


I think this has been around for a month longer than anyone realized and you pearl-clutching loons are that much late and more than a few dollars short.

quote:

Bless your naive little heart.


Something you should say while looking in the mirror.
Posted by Lou
Modesto, CA
Member since Aug 2005
8285 posts
Posted on 3/16/20 at 12:09 pm to
According to the World Health Organization, 80% of people who contact COVID-19 will experience flu-like symptoms and recover at home in 1-2 weeks with bed rest and fluids.
Posted by shel311
McKinney, Texas
Member since Aug 2004
110820 posts
Posted on 3/16/20 at 12:33 pm to
quote:

I think this has been around for a month longer than anyone realized and you pearl-clutching loons are that much late and more than a few dollars short.
You think this would basically go away in a month if we did nothing? Yes or no...
Posted by shel311
McKinney, Texas
Member since Aug 2004
110820 posts
Posted on 3/16/20 at 12:34 pm to
quote:

According to the World Health Organization, 80% of people who contact COVID-19 will experience flu-like symptoms and recover at home in 1-2 weeks with bed rest and fluids.

Ok?


And the other 20%?
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