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re: At what point do we stop focusing on the flattening curve idea

Posted on 3/16/20 at 10:40 am to
Posted by shel311
McKinney, Texas
Member since Aug 2004
110816 posts
Posted on 3/16/20 at 10:40 am to
quote:

Either the cdc knows more than they are telling us, because they don’t want people to panic
Again, see Italy and the growth of this there.

There is no big secret, it's all out there for us to see. Maybe we're overreacting, sure. But it's better than the alternative to not take this seriously and have it blow the F up.
Posted by RogerTheShrubber
Juneau, AK
Member since Jan 2009
260267 posts
Posted on 3/16/20 at 10:42 am to
quote:

Yes I read an article yesterday that 80% of people that have it can go home and recover with meds and rest. Much like with influenza, only their symptoms aren't as bad as influenza. The other 20% are those with underlying health issues and/or are past the age of 70 and even out of that group only the top 10% may require hospitalization.


Yep. The fear from the CV is from the unknown. Basically assuming the worst outcome. But apparently the overwhelming majority require quarantine, not hospitalization.
Posted by RogerTheShrubber
Juneau, AK
Member since Jan 2009
260267 posts
Posted on 3/16/20 at 10:43 am to
quote:

But it's better than the alternative to not take this seriously and have it blow the F up.


It's a tradeoff we will see much more of in the future. We are now conditioned.
Posted by Chad504boy
4 posts
Member since Feb 2005
166238 posts
Posted on 3/16/20 at 10:44 am to
quote:

, see Italy and the growth of this there.


you mean the whole chinese immigrants off the boat living stacked up stacked of eachother?
Posted by shel311
McKinney, Texas
Member since Aug 2004
110816 posts
Posted on 3/16/20 at 10:44 am to
quote:

It's a tradeoff we will see much more of in the future. We are now conditioned.
Maybe, but it doesn't change the idea that this is just a huge overreaction to "basically the flu" that many are throwing out there.

What you said may be true but doesn't make what we're doing incorrect.
Posted by aTmTexas Dillo
East Texas Lake
Member since Sep 2018
15051 posts
Posted on 3/16/20 at 10:46 am to
quote:

overreaction to "basically the flu"

Except there is a flu vaccine. Or in other words, there is no vaccine for coronavirus. You know what that means.
Posted by cahoots
Member since Jan 2009
9134 posts
Posted on 3/16/20 at 10:47 am to
(no message)
This post was edited on 3/16/20 at 10:59 am
Posted by shel311
McKinney, Texas
Member since Aug 2004
110816 posts
Posted on 3/16/20 at 10:47 am to
quote:

Tired of people using Italy to prove their point. There are other countries not having those issues for a varitey of reasons.
Never said we'd be guaranteed to be the next Italy, but why is bringing it up wrong to prove a point? Answer, it's not.

If we didn't take all these precautions, we could be the next Italy. There would be nothing we're doing to ensure we're not, so I don't really get what your point is here?

quote:

n short, if that's the best you have then find new material or convince me why a country with more smokers
No thanks on trying to convince you of anything. If you can't see why bringing up Italy is logical, it's not on me to try and convince you in another way, that's a you issue to deal with.

Posted by WaWaWeeWa
Member since Oct 2015
15714 posts
Posted on 3/16/20 at 10:47 am to
When the curve is flat
Posted by aTmTexas Dillo
East Texas Lake
Member since Sep 2018
15051 posts
Posted on 3/16/20 at 10:48 am to
quote:

CV has proven that it can overwhelm hospitals

Exactly. Up several posts I say there is no CV vaccine. That makes a difference.
Posted by yankeeundercover
Buffalo, NY
Member since Jan 2010
36373 posts
Posted on 3/16/20 at 10:48 am to
quote:

So far 69 people have died from the Coronavirus in the US
What are the age statistics for these 69 people?
Posted by cahoots
Member since Jan 2009
9134 posts
Posted on 3/16/20 at 10:49 am to
(no message)
This post was edited on 3/16/20 at 10:59 am
Posted by aTmTexas Dillo
East Texas Lake
Member since Sep 2018
15051 posts
Posted on 3/16/20 at 10:51 am to
quote:

okay then explain to us what's happening in spain


I love how we argue about this on the OT. I'm going to continue to post my worthless opinions but this is going to be interesting because we will all know what it means in three weeks to a month. We can then come back and point fingers at the idiots.
Posted by cahoots
Member since Jan 2009
9134 posts
Posted on 3/16/20 at 10:52 am to
(no message)
This post was edited on 3/16/20 at 10:59 am
Posted by RogerTheShrubber
Juneau, AK
Member since Jan 2009
260267 posts
Posted on 3/16/20 at 10:54 am to
quote:

CV has overwhelmed certain healthcare environments 


I dont think anyone's arguing against this. It certainly has in specific places.
Posted by aTmTexas Dillo
East Texas Lake
Member since Sep 2018
15051 posts
Posted on 3/16/20 at 10:56 am to
quote:

What are the age statistics for these 69 people?


What point are you trying to make?
Posted by aTmTexas Dillo
East Texas Lake
Member since Sep 2018
15051 posts
Posted on 3/16/20 at 10:58 am to
quote:

When the curve is flat


When there is no rise in new cases.
Posted by BigPapiDoesItAgain
Amérique du Nord
Member since Nov 2009
2760 posts
Posted on 3/16/20 at 11:03 am to
quote:

I don't think they have shown that immunity results after Covid-19 recovery. In fact, there are some cases that suggest you can contract it a second time.

My educated guess on that (reading some of those accounts), knowing what I know about virology, is that those cases represent prolonged shedding from the same infectious incident, as opposed to reinfection. I'm already reading that there is promising in-vitro accounts regarding antibody production and collection from convalescent sera for passive immunization. My hunch would be that it would be unusual to have some significant portion individuals susceptible to reinfection, whereas other are conferred immunity with regards to the same virus. I supposed this doesn't take into account mutation of surface proteins which could change the game, but I have not heard of that yet with regards to SARS-CoV-2.
Posted by shel311
McKinney, Texas
Member since Aug 2004
110816 posts
Posted on 3/16/20 at 11:05 am to
quote:

Put me in the group of people that would accept inconveniences in order to save 50k people.

I think we all have our personal thoughts on where that line is drawn, but it is important to understand a line has to be drawn somewhere and some amount of deaths will have to be "accepted" to go back to a normal way of life.

Think about cars for an example. Cars can theoretically be made safer, speed limits can be drastically reduced. But we're essentially "ok" with a certain amount of deaths resulting from cars that aren't as safe as humanly possible and speed limits higher to get us from point A to B quicker.

It's all a balance in how much death we're ok with to balance continuing our normal way of life, and there is a # out there.
Posted by JohnnyU
Florida
Member since Nov 2006
12350 posts
Posted on 3/16/20 at 11:06 am to
quote:

Ruining the economy to "flatten the curve" for a virus that is basically the flu is going to go down as one of the dumbest ideas in history.


You should educate yourself before you voice such stupid opinions.

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