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re: 2018 was Earth's 4th hottest year on record

Posted on 2/7/19 at 10:17 am to
Posted by Placebeaux
Bobby Fischer Fan Club President
Member since Jun 2008
51852 posts
Posted on 2/7/19 at 10:17 am to
The whole solar system is heating up for some strange reason.
Posted by 50_Tiger
Arlington TX
Member since Jan 2016
43528 posts
Posted on 2/7/19 at 10:18 am to
If only stars didnt grow
Posted by jrodLSUke
Premium
Member since Jan 2011
26528 posts
Posted on 2/7/19 at 10:20 am to
quote:

Americans escaped the worst of it last year though; while the rest of the planet cooked, the U.S. experienced only its 14th-warmest year.

Trump is Making America Cooler Again!!
Posted by Norbert
Member since Oct 2018
3760 posts
Posted on 2/7/19 at 10:20 am to
Well, there may come a point where humanity will have to adapt for awhile, but the Earth as a whole will be fine.

Honestly, warm periods are better than Ice Ages.
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 2/7/19 at 10:22 am to
LINK

From Slate in 2013. Looking at how developed economies see a slowdown in birth rate. The same dynamics doing it in America and Europe come into play down the road in places like sub Saharan Africa down the road. It's the source of the last upswing in population but as they modernize and get better education the rate is expected to slow there too.

If war and famine were the reason they will stop growing, you'd of seen rates slowing there in the past two decades. They aren't.
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 2/7/19 at 10:25 am to
quote:

Well, there may come a point where humanity will have to adapt for awhile, but the Earth as a whole will be fine.


The whole point of the climate change alarm is the human and economic costs of adapting. Nobody thinks the earth is going to go away because of warming.
Posted by Salmon
I helped draft the email
Member since Feb 2008
86677 posts
Posted on 2/7/19 at 10:26 am to
quote:

Well, there may come a point where humanity will have to adapt for awhile, but the Earth as a whole will be fine.



...isn't that the whole point of this discussion?
Posted by Norbert
Member since Oct 2018
3760 posts
Posted on 2/7/19 at 10:26 am to
quote:

Are you willing to bet your life and home




Posted by dawgsjlw
shite hole with your momma
Member since Sep 2014
826 posts
Posted on 2/7/19 at 10:32 am to
quote:

But it snowed last week.
CaptainRetard is what your name should really be.
Posted by Norbert
Member since Oct 2018
3760 posts
Posted on 2/7/19 at 10:36 am to
quote:

human and economic costs of adapting


Lolz.

Congress can't agree on a border fence, but if we sacrifice enough money they can become Captain Planet and actually impact the Earth's climate.

There is no current plan that would have a meaningful impact on the Earth's climate in the next century, even with perfect compliance - which I can assure you is impossible.

Posted by dawgsjlw
shite hole with your momma
Member since Sep 2014
826 posts
Posted on 2/7/19 at 10:36 am to
quote:

Is that like when somebody says a city has an All-Time Low Temperature for a day? Everybody just neglects to remember that this whole thing used to be covered in a layer of ice.
That was from a meteorite or something hitting and causing it to be as such. Seems like some traumatic event happened that caused the ice age. It is also returded to think that humans have no affect whatsoever on the environment, especially when we are squirting out all kinds of harmfully waste into the atmosphere.
Posted by beerJeep
Louisiana
Member since Nov 2016
39215 posts
Posted on 2/7/19 at 10:37 am to
quote:

Looking at how developed economies see a slowdown in birth rate.


Yep. Developed countries see a slowdown in birthrate with a rise in education and female employment.

quote:

The same dynamics doing it in America and Europe come into play down the road in places like sub Saharan Africa down the road.

Here’s the thing though, the first world has a very real interest in keeping that 3rd world just that. The 3rd world.
quote:

It's the source of the last upswing in population but as they modernize and get better education the rate is expected to slow there too.

Once again, we have a very real interest in not allowing them to reach first world status.

quote:

If war and famine were the reason they will stop growing, you'd of seen rates slowing there in the past two decades. They aren't.

War and famine will only get worse as the population continues to rise. They can’t feed their people as it is yet the birth rate continues to climb. Hungry people are desperate people. Desperate people are destructive people. Destructive people don’t improve their position in life.

They’re in a cycle they won’t beat.
This post was edited on 2/7/19 at 10:40 am
Posted by dawgsjlw
shite hole with your momma
Member since Sep 2014
826 posts
Posted on 2/7/19 at 10:40 am to
quote:

Man can’t stop climate change
That isn't the question at all. The question is how much does our pollution effect the atmosphere. Look at places in China and see how bad it is with the pollution where it looks to be in an almost perpetual fog. Hell in the USA right where I"m at, several hours from any major city, and I can see smog in the background in places where you can get a good long view. To act like humans have no effect on our environment is just returded but the real question is how much of an impact are we causing.
Posted by narddogg81
Vancouver
Member since Jan 2012
22208 posts
Posted on 2/7/19 at 10:50 am to
Sure it was
Posted by narddogg81
Vancouver
Member since Jan 2012
22208 posts
Posted on 2/7/19 at 10:58 am to
quote:

We have been able to accurately tell temperature for 305 years.
to get those scary red and orange colored earth images, you have to take those few hundred years of semi reasonable data, and massage the frick out of it, cooling the shite out of the past by just changing the numbers by many times the amplitude of the warming signal that is supposed to be detected, based on your climate model which has warming baked right into it. It's literally done low or unpaid grad students looking at each data point from historical records and going, gee is this right or too cold or too warm. Obviously too warm because normalisation, better lower that. That's how you get the fluctuating pattern you see in the raw data to turn into a line going straight up
This post was edited on 2/7/19 at 11:01 am
Posted by narddogg81
Vancouver
Member since Jan 2012
22208 posts
Posted on 2/7/19 at 11:05 am to
quote:

Scary stuff
scientific questions for you. Has the Earth always had polar ice caps and widespread glaciation at high altitude? Has the Earth ever had much higher concentrations of CO2 and still experienced ice ages? When the Earth is warm, how has life performed? Did it thrive or dwindle? How about when the world is cold?
Posted by RogerTheShrubber
Juneau, AK
Member since Jan 2009
299716 posts
Posted on 2/7/19 at 11:09 am to
quote:

Nobody thinks the earth is going to go away because of warming.


True, but a certain airhead in Congress thinks were all doomed in 12 years.
Posted by MLCLyons
Member since Nov 2012
4790 posts
Posted on 2/7/19 at 11:38 am to
quote:



Wow.


China invested more in renewable energy last year than any other country. They're currently investing 3x the amount the US is. Currently they are heavily dependent on coal but they are actively trying to change that.
Posted by Centinel
Idaho
Member since Sep 2016
46661 posts
Posted on 2/7/19 at 11:45 am to
quote:

China invested more in renewable energy last year than any other country. They're currently investing 3x the amount the US is. Currently they are heavily dependent on coal but they are actively trying to change that.




Your naivety is impressive.

Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 2/7/19 at 11:46 am to
quote:

There is no current plan that would have a meaningful impact on the Earth's climate in the next century, even with perfect compliance - which I can assure you is impossible.


There are consequences that will be costly, even if we don't do dick about carbon emissions. Bangladesh has millions of people in very low lying areas, sea levels rise enough and you're talking resettling millions. Miami is already dealing with coastal flooding on clear days when the tides are high, and unless Miami is going to move inland (quite costly and talk about some property value losses on the coast) then they'll have to spend to mitigate the impacts. Hurricanes may not be more frequent, but there's research to suggest the ones that get the right set up will strengthen faster and be stronger than with a cooler background, leading to potentially more spending for just that disaster relief. Not to mention the economic hit of a natural disaster and you know...the loss of life.

The point in all of this is, we're going to pay to either slow down emissions today or pay more in the future to deal with the inevitable consequences.

quote:

True, but a certain airhead in Congress thinks were all doomed in 12 years.


The report she is citing reads pretty dire fwiw. I can't blame her for sounding the alarm but we're all doomed in a decade isn't true. Reacting will get more challenging and expensive the longer the can is kicked down the road.

The piece I want to see people like AOC actually address is exactly what to do and how to spend to improve the situation. You can't just make China and India stop burning fossil fuels. It's economically and politically impossible, gotta have btus to develop. The money should be poured into r&d for more efficient engines, chemical processes (fertilizer production sucks up some energy), agricultural methods to require less water and fertilizer (scary GMOs!), carbon capture tech, modern nuclear power. A modest carbon tax to act as an incentive to move toward implementing these efficiencies.

None of this works if the new "green" tech is too expensive for countries like China or India to ever adopt and that's where the west can actually make an impact. Human ingenuity is the only possible solution.
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