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re: 1/25-1/26 2026 Major Deep South Winter Storm Thread

Posted on 1/21/26 at 3:23 pm to
Posted by Clyde Tipton
Planet Earth
Member since Dec 2007
40828 posts
Posted on 1/21/26 at 3:23 pm to
quote:

DVinBR


Congratulations.

Posted by ForeverEllisHugh
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2016
16643 posts
Posted on 1/21/26 at 3:25 pm to
Anything light was already gay before BL added nuts.

If you’re going to drink, get some Turbodog like a man. Amber is the lightest you should go.
Posted by holdmuh keystonelite
Member since Oct 2020
4879 posts
Posted on 1/21/26 at 3:25 pm to
Why can't we be as accurate as the Europeans? We are better at almost everything except weather models.
Posted by H2O Tiger
Delta Sky Club
Member since May 2021
7954 posts
Posted on 1/21/26 at 3:26 pm to
quote:

The guys I deer hunt with they all switched to Mich Ultras after that fiasco.



I'm a runner, we're required by law to drink Michelob Ultra.
Posted by tigerfoot
Alexandria
Member since Sep 2006
61521 posts
Posted on 1/21/26 at 3:35 pm to
quote:

can we add images in the OP that updated automatically?
That seems more like a demand than a question.
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 1/21/26 at 4:02 pm to
quote:

Why can't we be as accurate as the Europeans? We are better at almost everything except weather models.


people get way too hung up on "which model is more accurate".

You look at what a number of them show, ask what makes sense and build the idea in your head from that. Theyre tools, not crystal balls.

The story here with the northern shift today, has two parts I think. The baja shortwave is ejecting a little faster and farther north, and is getting a little stronger by the height rises in front from all the moisture and heat coming in from the Pacific.

We're getting a deeper low with the stronger temp gradient, and bringing more warm air up from the gulf and warming a column some over the top of the dense (but typically shallow) cold air.

This, to me, is why the modeling has shifted. See, models can really inform you of the players/situation/ect but its only useful if you have an idea why its doing what its doing.
Posted by Macintosh
Lane State University
Member since Sep 2011
56631 posts
Posted on 1/21/26 at 4:03 pm to
So this is a nothing burger for the Deep South
Posted by Mr Roboto
Seattle
Member since Jan 2023
8153 posts
Posted on 1/21/26 at 4:03 pm to


This should update automatically, showing any new watches or warnings. Here's the image link. Copy the url and use that.

LINK
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 1/21/26 at 4:05 pm to
Im not expecting a lot south of i20, in terms of impacts.
Posted by TigersHuskers
Nebraska
Member since Oct 2014
15523 posts
Posted on 1/21/26 at 4:07 pm to
GFS. Lolz Just remember your tax dollars pay for this shite. 
Posted by LSUsmartass
Scompton
Member since Sep 2004
82745 posts
Posted on 1/21/26 at 4:08 pm to
My uncle, who works in the Weather Channel front office, just texted me and said the latest GFS hammers SELA... can you explain what that means
Posted by lsugolfredman
Member since Jun 2005
1941 posts
Posted on 1/21/26 at 4:09 pm to
Posted by TigersHuskers
Nebraska
Member since Oct 2014
15523 posts
Posted on 1/21/26 at 4:10 pm to
Id heavily discount the GFS right now. It has a bad handle on this and is out on its own. It keeps missing the phase.
Posted by Salmon
I helped draft the email
Member since Feb 2008
86406 posts
Posted on 1/21/26 at 4:11 pm to
quote:

Im not expecting a lot south of i20, in terms of impacts.


as someone right on I-20, I'm trying to decide if we should head south for the weekend or stay

I know you have no idea of that answer, but being right on the edge of impacts is frustrating me

I really don't want to be without power for a prolonged time (more than 24 hours)
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
51000 posts
Posted on 1/21/26 at 4:11 pm to
Why does it hate the Hammond diamond?
Posted by LSUsmartass
Scompton
Member since Sep 2004
82745 posts
Posted on 1/21/26 at 4:11 pm to
My other Uncle, Pj, just texted and said GFS > Euro
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
103150 posts
Posted on 1/21/26 at 4:11 pm to
Posted by Clyde Tipton
Planet Earth
Member since Dec 2007
40828 posts
Posted on 1/21/26 at 4:12 pm to
quote:

Im not expecting a lot south of i20, in terms of impacts.


What about along the I-20 corridor?

Dallas-->Shreveport--> Monroe?
Posted by ForeverEllisHugh
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2016
16643 posts
Posted on 1/21/26 at 4:13 pm to
If they can just keep the power on. It shouldn’t be that hard in 2026 to slough off an inch of ice.
Posted by Tarps99
Lafourche Parish
Member since Apr 2017
12934 posts
Posted on 1/21/26 at 4:14 pm to
Lot of freezing Rain in the GFS.
3pm Sunday
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