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re: 1/25-1/26 2026 Major Deep South Winter Storm Thread

Posted on 1/21/26 at 4:15 pm to
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
50999 posts
Posted on 1/21/26 at 4:15 pm to
quote:

My other Uncle, Pj, just texted and said GFS > Euro

My uncle just texted and said your uncle is a bitch.
Posted by TigersHuskers
Nebraska
Member since Oct 2014
15523 posts
Posted on 1/21/26 at 4:16 pm to
quote:

My other Uncle, Pj, just texted and said GFS > Euro


Yea that why last winter the GFS had me getting 10 inches the day of and the Euro was at like 1 inch tops. I ended up with a half inch. The GFS just plain sucks.
Posted by hubertcumberdale
Member since Nov 2009
7712 posts
Posted on 1/21/26 at 4:16 pm to
quote:

Im not expecting a lot south of i20, in terms of impacts.



the reality is now one knows what will happen south of i-20 east of the mississippi until around friday, so its all very speculative at this point and will change many more times in the next couple of days
Posted by 610man
Louisiana
Member since Jun 2005
8328 posts
Posted on 1/21/26 at 4:17 pm to
Disagree, Duke knows his shite
Posted by alphaandomega
Tuscaloosa-Here to Serve
Member since Aug 2012
17205 posts
Posted on 1/21/26 at 4:18 pm to
quote:

Duke
quote:

Im not expecting a lot south of i20, in terms of impacts.


Im going to need you to change that to everyone below 3 miles north of I20 will get nothing but rain.

Posted by hubertcumberdale
Member since Nov 2009
7712 posts
Posted on 1/21/26 at 4:19 pm to
quote:

Disagree, Duke knows his shite



i am not debating that at all, but lots of variables at play with this system which all effect whichever mathematical model they are running, hence why you see the all the changes and divergence amongst the different models
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
75735 posts
Posted on 1/21/26 at 4:20 pm to
quote:

If they can just keep the power on. It shouldn’t be that hard in 2026 to slough off an inch of ice.

Even snow country gets fricked by ice, baw.
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
50999 posts
Posted on 1/21/26 at 4:21 pm to
No shite. An inch of ice from freezing rain would be catastrophic, regardless of what part of the country it happens in.
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
25176 posts
Posted on 1/21/26 at 4:23 pm to
Ice and snow is back for BR according to latest GFS!!!
Posted by Allthatfades
Mississippi
Member since Aug 2014
9451 posts
Posted on 1/21/26 at 4:24 pm to
Latest GFS extends this into Monday
Posted by Allthatfades
Mississippi
Member since Aug 2014
9451 posts
Posted on 1/21/26 at 4:24 pm to
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 1/21/26 at 4:25 pm to
Look, Im just giving an opinion on what Im seeing. I agree its quite complex, and people south of 20 could see big impacts. Shits hard.

But I do think the Euro's northern trend over the last 24 hours makes sense.
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
50999 posts
Posted on 1/21/26 at 4:26 pm to
quote:


Ice and snow is back for BR according to latest GFS!!!

Ice yes, snow no.
Posted by tigerfoot
Alexandria
Member since Sep 2006
61521 posts
Posted on 1/21/26 at 4:27 pm to
Our local guru keeps referencing a recon flight over the pacific which will clarify a lot of forecasting?? Just repeating it.
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
50999 posts
Posted on 1/21/26 at 4:28 pm to
Well my personal local guru is saying some limited recon info is already included in the model output this afternoon/evening.

Do you have a personal local guru or just a general local guru?
Posted by ForeverEllisHugh
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2016
16643 posts
Posted on 1/21/26 at 4:29 pm to
quote:

Ice yes, snow no.


Can’t we just split the difference and get sleet? It’s not fun like snow but it doesn’t really hurt much of anything.
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
50999 posts
Posted on 1/21/26 at 4:30 pm to
quote:

Can’t we just split the difference and get sleet? It’s not fun like snow

I've witnessed a hell of a sleet storm before where it was pouring down sleet. That shite was fun as hell to witness, plus the ground turns white just like with snow. I'd take a massive sleet storm.
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
103150 posts
Posted on 1/21/26 at 4:30 pm to
quote:

heavily discount the GFS right now. It has a bad handle on this and is out on its own. It keeps missing the phase.


GFS and Canadian are in close agreement. Euro is furthest north with no frozen precip south of I-20


All the other models fall in between the GFS and Euro. South Louisiana likely has nothing to worry about. Central La and north will see ice, same for Ms. If you’re north of I-20 prepare for worst, south of I-20 be prepared but not likely to see anything extreme.
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
50999 posts
Posted on 1/21/26 at 4:31 pm to
quote:

South Louisiana likely has nothing to worry about.

I agree, but I hope you're wrong just so I can watch the OT skulldrag your arse over being wrong in a weather thread
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
103150 posts
Posted on 1/21/26 at 4:33 pm to
quote:

What about along the I-20 corridor? Dallas-->Shreveport--> Monroe?


Latest Euro which is the most northern solution at this time



I-20 corridor should be prepared for significant icing
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