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re: 1/25-1/26 2026 Major Deep South Winter Storm Thread

Posted on 1/21/26 at 1:22 pm to
Posted by BluegrassBelle
RIP Hefty Lefty - 1981-2019
Member since Nov 2010
107974 posts
Posted on 1/21/26 at 1:22 pm to
It makes sense given the size of the storm. Most winter storms you’re not seeing cover such a wide swath.
Posted by jmcwhrter
Member since Nov 2012
7981 posts
Posted on 1/21/26 at 1:24 pm to
Am I crazy or has the HRRR been correcting itself away from snowmageddon with every run?
Posted by lsugolfredman
Member since Jun 2005
1941 posts
Posted on 1/21/26 at 1:26 pm to
HRRR only goes to 48 hrs bud.

And the 48 hr version is only run 4 times daily, otherwise it’s 18hr increments.

Must be confused
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
102650 posts
Posted on 1/21/26 at 1:28 pm to
The temperatures the GFS is showing are insane.

It has it -3 here at 12Z Tuesday. I mean surely there’s no chance of that right?
Posted by lsugolfredman
Member since Jun 2005
1941 posts
Posted on 1/21/26 at 1:31 pm to
It is notable that the Euro model is being discounted by a senior met on another forum, indicating that the temperature is far too warm and too slow with the cold air.

How that impacts South LA is anyone’s guess
Posted by BoogaBear
Member since Jul 2013
7335 posts
Posted on 1/21/26 at 1:33 pm to
Seems like a mess forecasting wise.

Going to stay puckered in central AL
Posted by jaytothen
Member since Jan 2020
8679 posts
Posted on 1/21/26 at 1:36 pm to
quote:

surely there’s no chance of that right?


Surely there is...and don't call me Shirley.
Posted by real turf fan
East Tennessee
Member since Dec 2016
11924 posts
Posted on 1/21/26 at 1:37 pm to
quote:

Most winter storms you’re not seeing cover such a wide swath.


Wide swath is another way of saying : elected federal representatives 2 Senators per state and also a s**t load of Representatives all of whom can determine funding for the NWS.
Posted by Mr Roboto
Seattle
Member since Jan 2023
8153 posts
Posted on 1/21/26 at 1:41 pm to
quote:

It is notable that the Euro model is being discounted by a senior met on another forum, indicating that the temperature is far too warm and too slow with the cold air.

How that impacts South LA is anyone’s guess


I like Zack's take on it

Posted by ForeverEllisHugh
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2016
16607 posts
Posted on 1/21/26 at 1:44 pm to
Zack seems to border on doom casting - yes I know his wife has two weather balloons but he’s been using some pretty extreme language lately, like “devastating” 5 days out.
Posted by DVinBR
Member since Jan 2013
15740 posts
Posted on 1/21/26 at 1:46 pm to
snowpack can do some crazy shite with temperatures

like Lafayette getting down to 4 last year
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
131540 posts
Posted on 1/21/26 at 1:47 pm to
quote:

yes I know his wife has two weather balloons


Pics?
Posted by BigUglies10
Member since Jan 2026
753 posts
Posted on 1/21/26 at 1:48 pm to
I’ll be nice and warm in Metairie - wet thought
This post was edited on 1/21/26 at 3:50 pm
Posted by BottomlandBrew
Member since Aug 2010
29870 posts
Posted on 1/21/26 at 1:52 pm to
quote:

It is notable that the Euro model is being discounted by a senior met on another forum, indicating that the temperature is far too warm and too slow with the cold air.



Our local NWS office has said the same thing today.
Posted by madamsquirrel
The big somewhere out there
Member since Jul 2009
56222 posts
Posted on 1/21/26 at 1:54 pm to
So if we lose power this weekend can we come to your house? We just got cold this morning and could not work
Posted by Clyde Tipton
Planet Earth
Member since Dec 2007
40815 posts
Posted on 1/21/26 at 1:55 pm to
Shreveport checking in...

"Just the essentials, Bro."

Posted by Basinhunterfisher
Member since Feb 2018
812 posts
Posted on 1/21/26 at 1:58 pm to
nee more beer bud
Posted by jaytothen
Member since Jan 2020
8679 posts
Posted on 1/21/26 at 2:00 pm to
Buying milk at the store is rookie.

Get it straight from the tap.
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 1/21/26 at 2:02 pm to
The synoptics look to place things farther north but cold air tends to be more aggressive than modeled in how fast and far south it gets.

The Euro's north shift shows you the synoptics are a little different than yesterday in projection but I do think its not getting the extent of the cold right.
Posted by Clyde Tipton
Planet Earth
Member since Dec 2007
40815 posts
Posted on 1/21/26 at 2:06 pm to
quote:

nee more beer bud


I'll probably drink those 2 cases before it gets here.
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