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Playoff Picture/Ping-Pong Balls Thread
Posted on 4/11/21 at 9:07 pm
Posted on 4/11/21 at 9:07 pm
[Update 5/6/21]
Alright, Pels -- you sucked me back in.
With the Spurs loss last night to the Jazz, we now sit 1.5 games back of making the play-in tournament (though the Spurs have the tiebreaker). We have six games left to be played and the Spurs have seven. Here are the current standings:
5. Mavericks 37-28 10.5 GB
6. Lakers 37-28 10.5 GB
7. Blazers 37-29 11 GB
8. Grizzlies 33-32 14.5 GB
9. Warriors 33-33 15 GB
10. Spurs 31-34 16.5 GB
11. Pelicans 30-36 18 GB
12. Kings 29-37 19 GB
It seems that we now have three tiers:
* The Mavs, Lakers, and Blazers are fighting to avoid the #7 seed and the play-in tournament.
* The Grizzlies and Warriors are fighting for the #8 seed and the opportunity to only need one win in the play-in.
* The Spurs, Pels, and Kings are fighting for the #10 seed.
The Kings have won four straight, and, even though their odds are still small, they are not completely out of the running -- which makes tomorrow night's Spurs vs Kings game very interesting.
Pelicans schedule
at PHI
at CHA
at MEM
at DAL
at GS
LAL
Spurs schedule
at SAC
at POR
MIL
at BKN
at NYK
PHO
PHO
The Spurs won't be favored in any of their remaining games, and it's really hard to see them winning more than two, unless the Suns just sit their starters at the end to rest up for the playoffs. Right now, though, the Suns sit just one game behind the Jazz, and I'm sure that they would rather be the #1 seed and likely play MEM/GSW instead of playing DAL/LAL/POR, so we'll have to see how the race at the top goes.
When I look at our remaining schedule, none of the games look unwinnable, but the 76ers game on Friday will really be a tough one without BI. But the Charlotte game might be the only one in which we are favored -- if we are even favored in that one (we likely won't be if BI isn't back for that game).
Alright, Pels -- you sucked me back in.
With the Spurs loss last night to the Jazz, we now sit 1.5 games back of making the play-in tournament (though the Spurs have the tiebreaker). We have six games left to be played and the Spurs have seven. Here are the current standings:
5. Mavericks 37-28 10.5 GB
6. Lakers 37-28 10.5 GB
7. Blazers 37-29 11 GB
8. Grizzlies 33-32 14.5 GB
9. Warriors 33-33 15 GB
10. Spurs 31-34 16.5 GB
11. Pelicans 30-36 18 GB
12. Kings 29-37 19 GB
It seems that we now have three tiers:
* The Mavs, Lakers, and Blazers are fighting to avoid the #7 seed and the play-in tournament.
* The Grizzlies and Warriors are fighting for the #8 seed and the opportunity to only need one win in the play-in.
* The Spurs, Pels, and Kings are fighting for the #10 seed.
The Kings have won four straight, and, even though their odds are still small, they are not completely out of the running -- which makes tomorrow night's Spurs vs Kings game very interesting.
Pelicans schedule
at PHI
at CHA
at MEM
at DAL
at GS
LAL
Spurs schedule
at SAC
at POR
MIL
at BKN
at NYK
PHO
PHO
The Spurs won't be favored in any of their remaining games, and it's really hard to see them winning more than two, unless the Suns just sit their starters at the end to rest up for the playoffs. Right now, though, the Suns sit just one game behind the Jazz, and I'm sure that they would rather be the #1 seed and likely play MEM/GSW instead of playing DAL/LAL/POR, so we'll have to see how the race at the top goes.
When I look at our remaining schedule, none of the games look unwinnable, but the 76ers game on Friday will really be a tough one without BI. But the Charlotte game might be the only one in which we are favored -- if we are even favored in that one (we likely won't be if BI isn't back for that game).
This post was edited on 5/8/21 at 8:55 am
19
Posted on 4/11/21 at 9:10 pm to GOP_Tiger
Obligatory
This post was edited on 4/11/21 at 9:15 pm
Posted on 4/11/21 at 9:12 pm to Baron
Damn right we are talking about playoffs
Posted on 4/11/21 at 9:15 pm to GOP_Tiger
Memphis has 7 road games in a row starting this weekend, while the Pels have 5 in a row later in May. The Spurs have 2 sets of 4 in a row on the road in the next few weeks, so things will definitely get interesting if we can win 3 of these next 4 winnable games. 3 games against GSW to close the season will be huge if we stay healthy.
Posted on 4/11/21 at 9:22 pm to GOP_Tiger
This seems like a good thread to ask a question I've been wondering about:
How does the playoff paradigm mesh with the lottery rules? In other words, are all of the play in teams automatically excluded from the lottery? None of them? Only the team that wins the play in?
How does the playoff paradigm mesh with the lottery rules? In other words, are all of the play in teams automatically excluded from the lottery? None of them? Only the team that wins the play in?
Posted on 4/11/21 at 9:32 pm to Methuselah
If a play in team wins and makes the playoffs they assume the draft spot of the team they are replacing. The team that was in 8th shifts down.
So for instance let’s say 7 beats 8, 9 beats 10, 9 beats 8.
9th would have the 8 spot and original 8 would take that spot in the draft lottery odds.
So for instance let’s say 7 beats 8, 9 beats 10, 9 beats 8.
9th would have the 8 spot and original 8 would take that spot in the draft lottery odds.
Posted on 4/11/21 at 9:48 pm to Fun Bunch
Thanks. That makes sense. So, I'm thinking that means if we make the play in, but don't win it we would still have (a few?) ping pong balls in the lottery.
Posted on 4/11/21 at 10:32 pm to GOP_Tiger
It’s very possible we make the play in.
But let’s be real here. We are really inconsistent so most of the fan base is being pretty guarded here
But let’s be real here. We are really inconsistent so most of the fan base is being pretty guarded here
Posted on 4/12/21 at 7:29 am to WicKed WayZ
Don't care if we win the the playing game, I just want Curry and the Warriors to not be there.
Posted on 4/12/21 at 8:48 am to GOP_Tiger
The team is 19-19 since that game against the Wizards where Point Zion debuted. They have 19 games left. Assuming they went 10-9 in those 19, that would give them a 34-38 record at the end of the season which would equal the .472 winning percentage Golden State currently has.
To make the Play In the Pels need some intentional tanking or injuries from other teams, or they need to step up and be better than .500.
To make the Play In the Pels need some intentional tanking or injuries from other teams, or they need to step up and be better than .500.
Posted on 4/12/21 at 8:51 am to TigerinATL
quote:
or they need to step up and be better than .500.
I think they have it in them to do this. But this team is so wildly inconsistent, they also have the ability to be well below .500.
Posted on 4/12/21 at 9:04 am to Fun Bunch
All three in action tonight:
Pels/kings
GS/Denver
SA/magic
Pels/kings
GS/Denver
SA/magic
Posted on 4/13/21 at 4:56 am to GOP_Tiger
OP updated
Posted on 4/13/21 at 10:56 am to GOP_Tiger
How far does Denver fall without Murray?
Posted on 4/13/21 at 11:04 am to GOP_Tiger
SPurs have a crazy hard schedule to close the season out, and they have won 4 of their last 14 games.
There's no way they don't drop to the 11 spot.
The Grizzlies are about to go on a 7 game road trip against 6 elite teams.
Warriors have a pretty easy schedule from here on out. Unless they get an injury to Steph, it'll be tough to pass them up but we do play them 3x's, so the ball is in our hands.
I think it's going to come down to what we do in that 5 game road trip (Philly, Hornets, Grizz, Mavs, GSW) to close the season out before the last game at home against the Lakers, who i would think aren't going to play Lebron or AD.
There's no way they don't drop to the 11 spot.
The Grizzlies are about to go on a 7 game road trip against 6 elite teams.
Warriors have a pretty easy schedule from here on out. Unless they get an injury to Steph, it'll be tough to pass them up but we do play them 3x's, so the ball is in our hands.
I think it's going to come down to what we do in that 5 game road trip (Philly, Hornets, Grizz, Mavs, GSW) to close the season out before the last game at home against the Lakers, who i would think aren't going to play Lebron or AD.
Posted on 4/13/21 at 11:09 am to GOP_Tiger
Interesting..... GSW strength of schedule built substantially on playing Pels 3 times
Posted on 4/13/21 at 11:39 am to Pistol44
I also could see the Warriors throwing in the towel at some point and feeling a higher pick to help them retool in the offseason is the better outcome.
Posted on 4/13/21 at 11:50 am to saints5021
quote:
Don't care if we win the the playing game, I just want Curry and the Warriors to not be there.
looks like curry can carry them to 10th.
pels get 9th you get your shot.
Posted on 4/13/21 at 11:53 am to Methuselah
quote:
Thanks. That makes sense. So, I'm thinking that means if we make the play in, but don't win it we would still have (a few?) ping pong balls in the lottery.
Yes that is correct. Not sure exactly what the odds are, but if you make the play in tournament and lose you still get ping pong balls for the lottery.
Flock up bitch we ridin point zion to the playoffs!
Posted on 4/13/21 at 12:09 pm to GOP_Tiger
quote:
and the Warriors three more times
Well we cant blame anyone but ourselves if we cant pull it off.
I like the way we are playing though.
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