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re: SpaceX IPO set for June 12 Nasdaq debut

Posted on 5/21/26 at 8:47 am to
Posted by NfamousPanda
Central
Member since Jan 2016
1204 posts
Posted on 5/21/26 at 8:47 am to
The success of today's Starship launch will make or break the IPO I think
Posted by reds on reds on reds
Member since Sep 2013
4968 posts
Posted on 6/2/26 at 8:36 am to
How is everyone planning on playing this one?
Posted by SuperSaint
Sorting Out OT BS Since '2007'
Member since Sep 2007
151357 posts
Posted on 6/2/26 at 9:30 am to
quote:

How many data centers in space do you think there will be in 5 years
before you know it they will be placing data centers on Uranus
Posted by LSUSLU106
Member since Mar 2015
729 posts
Posted on 6/2/26 at 10:17 am to
Me personally I will just wait post IPO when it drops off the table in several months and hopefully get in at a good price with patience.
Posted by TigerFanatic99
South Bend, Indiana
Member since Jan 2007
36381 posts
Posted on 6/2/26 at 10:56 am to
quote:


How is everyone planning on playing this one?

I'm building SATS, and I'll dump it after the post IPO bump it's going to get. After the IPO inevitable dumps after the first day or two, I'll start dripping my SATS earnings into it for the long haul.

I've learned as a common, small time retail investor there is no point in my trying to get in on the initial IPO rocket. I will not be able to actually get a purchase in until it peaks in the first few hours and will get stuck with a bag for a few months until it catches back up after everyone who can sell immediately sells.
Posted by TX_Tiger23
Seabrook, Texas
Member since Aug 2013
237 posts
Posted on 6/2/26 at 4:19 pm to
Blackrock owns iShares, they need the allocation to put in their ETFs that follow indexes.
Posted by donRANDOMnumbers
Hub City
Member since Nov 2006
17518 posts
Posted on 6/2/26 at 6:30 pm to
How TF are we handling this, team?
This post was edited on 6/2/26 at 6:30 pm
Posted by dkreller
Laffy
Member since Jan 2009
34286 posts
Posted on 6/2/26 at 9:23 pm to
I just went down the rabbit hole of ChatGPT regarding satellites, launch providers, revenue, market size, etc and it speculates that conservatively (with Starship) SpaceX could generate 60 billion per year just launching satellites manufactured by other companies. Aggressively it says 80 billion. If those numbers come to fruition, SpaceX is gonna rake and only need to launch, not build a single thing.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
481186 posts
Posted on 6/2/26 at 9:30 pm to
Don't forge the xAI revenue from selling access to Colossus to things like Claude
Posted by dkreller
Laffy
Member since Jan 2009
34286 posts
Posted on 6/2/26 at 9:34 pm to
Yep. I still think this IPO is waaay overvalued but the company definitely has the potential to be there. I’ll hope to buy it much cheaper toward the end of the year.

I also wouldn’t mind a couple failed Starship launches
This post was edited on 6/2/26 at 9:35 pm
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
481186 posts
Posted on 6/3/26 at 8:24 am to
xAI may be stumbling into the AI-era version of the AWS pivot that Amazon had, which brought Amazon to profitability.

Taking a failure in Colossus and turning it into what will become a printing machine was brilliant. They're getting $1.25B/month for something they had basically scrapped.

In the future, xAI may be the premier provider for these compute centers, and they're teaming with Anthropic on the space AI compute capability.
Posted by 1609tiger
Member since Feb 2011
3821 posts
Posted on 6/3/26 at 8:35 am to
All I can get if at the IPO. But might not be a long term holder.
Posted by j1897
Member since Nov 2011
4871 posts
Posted on 6/3/26 at 9:03 am to
quote:

(with Starship) SpaceX could generate 60 billion per year just launching satellites manufactured by other companies.


Why you can't trust AI. Why would you think a thing that doesn't work, will generate 60 billion per year?
Posted by dkreller
Laffy
Member since Jan 2009
34286 posts
Posted on 6/3/26 at 10:53 am to
Has nothing to do with trusting AI.

I asked AI to come up with figures “assuming Starship is operational”.
Posted by Hitman67
Lumberton, TX
Member since Jul 2024
297 posts
Posted on 6/3/26 at 1:28 pm to
First private shares unlock around day 70 after IPO. I believe from 5 to 15 days most of the index's will be buying because of their rule changes. With a float of only around 4%, I wouldn't expect it to really fall until the new shares are available. Probably the best price opportunity will be in Nov-Dec time frame because all the private shares unlocking. I have also read that the S&P 500 can start buying in December.
Posted by cgrand
HAMMOND
Member since Oct 2009
50476 posts
Posted on 6/3/26 at 7:19 pm to
Posted by UltimaParadox
North Carolina
Member since Nov 2008
52784 posts
Posted on 6/3/26 at 7:41 pm to
S&p500 never actually changed the rules apparently for incision requirements.

They can still change, but since the current rules require 4 quarters of profitability. Space X won't be joining unless they change the rules

NASDAQ the other hand
Posted by Wraytex
San Antonio - Gonzales
Member since Jun 2020
4240 posts
Posted on 6/3/26 at 7:54 pm to
It's hilarious people still take this stance regarding Spacex after the history of the worlds most reliable rocket. Ever.
Posted by CastleBravo
Rapid City, SD
Member since Sep 2013
2100 posts
Posted on 6/3/26 at 9:00 pm to
This is one you want to buy after it goes below the IPO price.

3-6 months after the IPO.
Posted by dallastiger55
Jennings, LA
Member since Jan 2010
34928 posts
Posted on 6/4/26 at 9:35 am to
Fidelity just sent the space x participation form out. I’m torn

What are we thinking?
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