re: Why are we Dogs to Tx A&amp;M?

Posted by TigerDavid35

Member since Oct 2018

1134 posts

Posted on 11/20/18 at 1:16 pm to Spyral37

34-13 tigahs

Posted by rilesrick

Member since Mar 2015

6704 posts

Posted on 11/20/18 at 1:18 pm to mark fortney

Secondary depleted. A touchdown difference in my mind. Fulton matters

Posted by H-Town Tiger

Member since Nov 2003

61010 posts

Posted on 11/20/18 at 1:29 pm to LSURussian

quote:
The betting line is in the Aggies' favor because more Aggie fans are giving the points and betting on their team than there are Tiger fans

Posted by tgerb8

Huntsvegas

Member since Aug 2007

6630 posts

Posted on 11/20/18 at 1:42 pm to rilesrick

quote:
Secondary depleted. A touchdown difference in my mind. Fulton matters

Definitely think this is gonna be a factor. Is Harris back? Is Battle back? Is Joseph back. We're possibly down to 3rd string at 1 safety and 1 CB. Fehoko out as well which won't help with pressure up front.

Posted by TexasTiger89

Houston, TX

Member since Feb 2005

26776 posts

Posted on 11/20/18 at 1:45 pm to mark fortney

Aggies like dogs. See Reveille.

Posted by keakar

Member since Jan 2017

30152 posts

Posted on 11/20/18 at 1:50 pm to mark fortney

anyone who thinks this will be an easy win is delusional, if we win, and i do mean "if", then it will be by a field goal or less and most likely with a last second come back score

Posted by BallChamp00

Member since May 2015

7571 posts

Posted on 11/20/18 at 2:01 pm to LSURussian

quote:
The betting line is in the Aggies' favor because more Aggie fans are giving the points and betting on their team than there are Tiger fans taking the points and betting on their team.

Pretty much has nothing to do with fan bases. They are favorites because that is what they believe will get bettors betting on both sides evenly. They find a line that will try to get 50-50 bets on each side even with line movement unless they feel the exposure will give them an edge.

Right now they are 52% LSU 48% Aggies. So they did a really good job on the number. Its moved to 2 and 2.5 now.. sharps are liking A&M but only minimal.

This is not a game they want to be exposed.

This post was edited on 11/20/18 at 2:07 pm

Posted by BilltheTiger

Dallas, TX

Member since Jul 2013

1111 posts

Posted on 11/20/18 at 2:43 pm to LSURussian

He's right, the only correct answer.

Posted by Loaner1231

Member since Jan 2016

3903 posts

Posted on 11/20/18 at 3:31 pm to BilltheTiger

LSU's offense is horrible, A&M has a good rush defense, the game is at the tackle box, and Jimbo is a much better coach than Ed is my guess.

LSU will have to rely on outstanding defensive and special teams play to win the game.

Posted by JAB528

The Mexican Ocean

Member since Jun 2012

16870 posts

Posted on 11/20/18 at 4:17 pm to wildtigercat93

quote:
home field advantage is usually worth about 6-7 points in CFB for spreads.

You don’t bet much do you?

2 ...

Posted by wildtigercat93

Member since Jul 2011

116167 posts

Posted on 11/20/18 at 4:18 pm to JAB528

not a whole lot on college, do better in the NFL

Posted by JAB528

The Mexican Ocean

Member since Jun 2012

16870 posts

Posted on 11/20/18 at 4:21 pm to wildtigercat93

Yeah, because the home field advantage isn’t worth 6 or 7 points for the home team, just throwing that out there.

Posted by BrerTiger

Valley of the Long Grey Cloud

Member since Sep 2011

21771 posts

Posted on 11/20/18 at 4:21 pm to mark fortney

quote:
Why are we Dogs to Tx A&M?

Because Vegas thinks Aggy has at least a 50/50 chance at home of beating LSU *this* year.

I think they are accurate.

A&M is capable. LSU is due to slip up. And yeah, I know LSU has been "due" to beat Bama for a while but clearly we aren't on the same level. A&M is much closer to us than we are to Bama. The line reflects that.

I hope I'm wrong. I hope Coach O blasts Aggy and wins the Sugar Bowl in equally convincing fashion and goes out and brings home all the recruits we need to play with Bama next year.

But I pegged this team as 9-3 back in August and I'm sticking with my prediction.

ETA:
Lots of 9-3 and 10-2 predictions in this thread. Pretty solid predictions.
LINK

This post was edited on 11/20/18 at 4:25 pm

Posted by JAB528

The Mexican Ocean

Member since Jun 2012

16870 posts

Posted on 11/20/18 at 4:24 pm to BrerTiger

The gap between A&M and LSU is much more slim, than the gap between LSU and Alabama.

We won’t be able to run the ball and who knows what kind of offense we will run. This is a very losable game for us.

Posted by EZE Tiger Fan

Member since Jul 2004

55454 posts

Posted on 11/20/18 at 4:28 pm to mark fortney

1) Away game
2) Better coaching staff (overall)
3) Better Offense
4) Better defense overall, but there is a weakness...

LSU has literally beaten the odds to be 9-2 with this team.

The Aggies are 105 in pass defense. LSU will have to exploit that.

The oddsmakers think LSU's time is up due to that.

Posted by DrD

Houston

Member since Jan 2010

2771 posts

Posted on 11/20/18 at 4:32 pm to mark fortney

Top tier head coach who has won a Natty .....

Revenge/Motivation factor - Aggies are hungry for "W" vs. the Tigers

LSU playing away from home - crowd will be pumped!

Aggies strength (run defense) is Tigers strength (running the football)

I would call this game a toss up. LSU is not a dominant team by any stretch of the imagination. Aggies are playing at home and are hungry for "W" over our Tigers. Does not look good for LSU. We'll see.....

Posted by Jester

Baton Rouge

Member since Feb 2006

34717 posts

Posted on 11/20/18 at 4:38 pm to mark fortney

quote:
Why are we Dogs to Tx A&M?

Our offense is awful.

Posted by Who_Dat_Tiger

Member since Nov 2015

25543 posts

Posted on 11/20/18 at 4:43 pm to mark fortney

Dont think too much into it. Easy call

quote:
Louisiana State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Texas A&M

Louisiana State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Texas A&M