re: Nuss isn't as interception prone as you think.

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That’s great if you are hitting long passes too

Not throwing INTs when you aren’t completing the ball downfield is not a special feat.

Nuss has been very risk-adverse to a point where he’ll overthrow a WR downfield because he is afraid of turning it over. This has happened consistently all year.

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Burrow and Daniels had the same issues with long passes their first year at LSU. It also takes time with wr's. Don't foget a lot of our fans didn't even want JB and JD to be the starter entering their 2nd season at LSU.

I am fine with Nuss being over protective with the ball...I also think the coaches drilled this into his head in spring and fall.

He doesn’t seem to force those balls but you see him throw off his back foot unbalanced sometimes.
He has good placement but those attempts make some folks hold their breath for the worst.

I think he’s doing a great job and progressing nicely! He’s sneaky fast and should take off running more.

He made a great 1st down run on that 3rd & 13 when we backed up on the 12. More of that! Defenses know he can sling it and give him lots of chances to run

Great job on this impressive post. We riding the Nuss bus to the playoffs

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you have that written backwards.

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Attempt pass per interceptions?

or

Sdrawkcab mettirw taht evah uoy?

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The average number of interceptions thrown by QBs in the top 10 of passing yards is 4.7 interceptions. With 48.7 pass attempts per interception being the avearge, and 44.9 pass attempts per interception being the mean.

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I’ve been staring at this trying to figure out what it means (no pun intended).

I finally figured out where you got 48.7 - if you take the total passing attempts of the top 10 (2,288) divided by the total interceptions (47) you get 48.7 attempts per INT. It’s a bit of a weird way to calculate it, but OK.

The mean of that dataset is 55.0 pass attempts per INT.
The median of that dataset is 44.9 pass attempts per INT.
Nussmeier is at 41.5 pass attempts per INT.

Another way to look at it is that Nussmeier’s 2.4% INT rate is #60 (out of 100 qualifying QBs).

Idk, all of that tells me that Nussmeier is about as interception prone as I thought he was. He’s throwing INTs at a higher rate than the average FBS QB. He’s certainly not the worst in that category, and he’s being asked to do more than other FBS QBs (there is a reason he has the 3rd most attempts in the country). But he’s still made some head-scratching decisions at times.

I’ll say this - he has certainly improved that aspect of his game compared to his time as a backup. I expect he’ll continue to improve as he gains experience and learns from his mistakes.

Outside of one game he has been fairly trustworthy with the ball. He's also very accurate at throwing, sometimes he just forces the ball and makes poor decisions. For a guy in he debut season, he looks very poised and I'm not in the least worried.

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I would say focus on the process, not the results.

Your stats are very basic & even with a simple addition of YPA would tell you more.

And to be honest, INTs are not his biggest issue.

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Also, IMO some of what people are calling “bad throws” are actually “throw aways” especially downfield on corner routes or back shoulder throws where he is being heavily pressured or the receive is “closely covered”. This is also part of the reason his number of times being sacked is so low. His arm strength is enough to throw the ball away, especially rolling left where some quarterbacks would not be able to “muscle” the ball lout of bounds or out the back of the endzone. Also, when he starts “seeing” those huge lanes open up where (as more than one game announcer has alluded to) you don't have to even be particularly “fast” to tuck the ball and turn some runs into big gains, it will improve his overall game tremendously.

With no running game.

Teams know what we doing

I don't know why I wrote mean while thinking median, but I fixed it. Brain farther i suppose.

Anyways, I didn't take the average of the pass attempts per interceptions because individually there are some outliers that skew the data. The total attempts divided by interceptions to me seemed like a more accurate representation of the average attempts per interception since it's factoring in the data as a whole.

Another problem with making any dataset on interceptions is that they are rare events and have a ton of randomness on when one play results in an INT or not, DBs sometimes have butterfingers. Especially this early in the season, theres just not enough passes available to reach the expected number or interceptions any individual player is likely to make in that year, think the law of large numbers. Nuss has thrown significantly more passes than the majority of college football, his numbers may be skewed because he hasnt reached his true value of pass attempts per interception.

Like I mentioned in a previous comment "turnover worthy passes" is probably the best statistic to use to determine a quarterbacks actual interception rate, since it ignores the opponents actually ability to intecept a poor throw. But I couldn't find those stats, nor do I have the time to watch literally every pass of every top quarterback and subjectively determine their number of turnover worthy plays.

Bottom line, a 3 to 1 interception ratio IS NOT BAD. Especially when 1 of those interceptions were a desperation play as time expired, and 2 were deflected balls that were picked off.