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N.O. via West-Cal
| Favorite team: | New Orleans Pelicans |
| Location: | New Orleans |
| Biography: | Native of Sulphur, SHS class of ''88, LSU, class of ''92, law school at William & Mary, class of ''95. Live in N.O. now |
| Interests: | |
| Occupation: | |
| Number of Posts: | 7737 |
| Registered on: | 8/13/2004 |
| Online Status: | Not Online |
Recent Posts
Message
re: DJM says he never requested a trade from NOLA, alludes to wanting to stay and make play in
Posted by N.O. via West-Cal on 2/25/26 at 4:26 pm to Soggymoss
Hey, I’ll take it. He seems to want to ball and win. This alone doesn’t mean anything, but we could use a little fire and we absolutely need to figure out if want him as a key piece going forward.
re: Important reminder about one thing Mitt Romney was correct on
Posted by N.O. via West-Cal on 2/25/26 at 11:52 am to jizzle6609
“Why should this be important for us to know?”
I’m not even sure the poster’s assertions are true, but the reason to know is that a country should be aware of the general predispositions and world views of the immigrants it is admitting.
I’m not even sure the poster’s assertions are true, but the reason to know is that a country should be aware of the general predispositions and world views of the immigrants it is admitting.
re: What am I missing on Gavin?
Posted by N.O. via West-Cal on 2/24/26 at 10:46 am to NIH
Gov Gav is what committed, medium left-wing Democrats THINK is a centrist who can appeal to swing voters, young white males, lower income whites, etc. The problem is that so much of the support, especially the money behind him is from people who don't have much in common with the voters they are targeting. So, you end up with a weird simulacrum of the kind of candidate who could really appeal to those voters. Tim Walz was a midwestern version of the same thing. the problem for the Democrats is that they either don't have a strong bench. Harris, Mayor Pete . . . good grief. Or, when they have a candidate who could arguably make such a connection, he is disqualified for one reason or another due to a policy stance, such as Shapiro for not wanting Israel to be wiped off the map.
re: Govern me HARDER, baby.
Posted by N.O. via West-Cal on 2/24/26 at 10:38 am to Lsupimp
What the everliving!? :lol:
re: SCOTUS Tariff Ruling is in: 6-3 against tariffs.
Posted by N.O. via West-Cal on 2/20/26 at 10:52 am to Ailsa
“So it could be codified?”
Congress could pass a statute allowing the tariffs or as Kav explained in dissent, the president could use other statutes to institute most, if not all of the tariffs.
Congress could pass a statute allowing the tariffs or as Kav explained in dissent, the president could use other statutes to institute most, if not all of the tariffs.
re: SCOTUS Tariff Ruling is in: 6-3 against tariffs.
Posted by N.O. via West-Cal on 2/20/26 at 9:51 am to NC_Tigah
I've read the syllabus of the opinion (6-3 but "splintered" on grounds for decision) and skimmed the dissents (1 by Kav, joined in full by Thomas and Alito, and one by Thomas alone that was interesting but customarily quirky). Here is a link to the opinion:
SCOTUS Ruling
Here is what no one wants to hear, but it should be the best news you hear all day. This Court operated as a Court should and decided this case based on the law as they understood it. The simple fact is that this statute easily could have but does NOT mention tariffs, taxes, or duties. This is a good reason for believing that Congress had not delegated away its power to tax and levy duties on imports as expressly provided in the Constitution. For three of the justices, the major questions doctrine also supported the decision, although I strangely find myself agreeing with the liberal judges that you really didn't need to lean on the major questions to decide the case in this way.
Kavanaugh's dissent was great. I love the way he writes and thinks. I would describe it as deep thinking, expressed in plain English and with a healthy dose of common sense. According to Kav, it made no sense to say the president could not levy tariffs when the law would allow him to block trade completely. However, on this occasion, I think I favor the Chief's thinking. Kav viewed the powers granted as a continuum, but nothing in the law says that. As the Chief reasoned, taxing/tariffs are different in kind, not degrees from blocking or otherwise regulating trade.
Although unlikely to be reported or much agreed with in this forum, this case presents a great example of at least the six conservative justices (and I would say at least 7 with Kagan) doing precisely what they are supposed to: judging the case based on the law rather than as a means to support a politically favored policy. Kudos to the Court, including the dissenters.
Final thought: who on earth advised Trump to go issuing tariffs willy-nilly under a statute that did not mention tariffs when other statutes, which clearly delegate the right to set tariffs, could have been used for 90+% of what the administration wanted?
SCOTUS Ruling
Here is what no one wants to hear, but it should be the best news you hear all day. This Court operated as a Court should and decided this case based on the law as they understood it. The simple fact is that this statute easily could have but does NOT mention tariffs, taxes, or duties. This is a good reason for believing that Congress had not delegated away its power to tax and levy duties on imports as expressly provided in the Constitution. For three of the justices, the major questions doctrine also supported the decision, although I strangely find myself agreeing with the liberal judges that you really didn't need to lean on the major questions to decide the case in this way.
Kavanaugh's dissent was great. I love the way he writes and thinks. I would describe it as deep thinking, expressed in plain English and with a healthy dose of common sense. According to Kav, it made no sense to say the president could not levy tariffs when the law would allow him to block trade completely. However, on this occasion, I think I favor the Chief's thinking. Kav viewed the powers granted as a continuum, but nothing in the law says that. As the Chief reasoned, taxing/tariffs are different in kind, not degrees from blocking or otherwise regulating trade.
Although unlikely to be reported or much agreed with in this forum, this case presents a great example of at least the six conservative justices (and I would say at least 7 with Kagan) doing precisely what they are supposed to: judging the case based on the law rather than as a means to support a politically favored policy. Kudos to the Court, including the dissenters.
Final thought: who on earth advised Trump to go issuing tariffs willy-nilly under a statute that did not mention tariffs when other statutes, which clearly delegate the right to set tariffs, could have been used for 90+% of what the administration wanted?
re: Baltimore HS Senior with 0.13 GPA, in top half of his class, sent back to 9th grade
Posted by N.O. via West-Cal on 2/19/26 at 10:48 am to uggabugga
"Being sent back to 9th grade edges out a 0.13 [gpa]"
Probably just spent too much time on one subject.
Probably just spent too much time on one subject.
re: Marco Rubio = the next POTUS?
Posted by N.O. via West-Cal on 2/19/26 at 9:14 am to LordSaintly
"Maybe 2032 or 2036. He’s more than likely Vance’s running mate in ‘28."
I think you're probably right unless something happens to cause Vance's stock to drop. Vance has morphed into a more combative style, taking on a version of the persona of the president. I could see unforced errors for Vance, but such things--see Trump's Access Hollywood video--don't matter like they used to. Rubio, while similarly flexible on policy, has been a more consistent personality on the national stage and has more seasoning than Vance. This will be fun to keep an eye on.
I think you're probably right unless something happens to cause Vance's stock to drop. Vance has morphed into a more combative style, taking on a version of the persona of the president. I could see unforced errors for Vance, but such things--see Trump's Access Hollywood video--don't matter like they used to. Rubio, while similarly flexible on policy, has been a more consistent personality on the national stage and has more seasoning than Vance. This will be fun to keep an eye on.
re: Help me understand Derek Carr's stats / tenure in NO
Posted by N.O. via West-Cal on 2/16/26 at 11:11 am to Porpus
This is just from a quick AI search:
"During the 2023 season, Derek Carr’s red zone performance as a Saint was among the league's least efficient, featuring a 44% completion rate early on and ranking near the bottom in touchdown efficiency. He was tied for the lowest completion percentage among qualified passers on throws inside the 12-yard line (20%) at one point, with 4 TDs on 25 attempts."
So, as some have said, red zone efficiency was a part of the problem. Also, the truth is that Carr was not that bad a player. He definitely has NFL starter talent, but at least subjectively, he seemed to be a guy who was more of a mid tier to somewhat below average NFL starter. That's not chopped liver, but he was paid a lot to be the 19th best (or so) qb in the league.
"During the 2023 season, Derek Carr’s red zone performance as a Saint was among the league's least efficient, featuring a 44% completion rate early on and ranking near the bottom in touchdown efficiency. He was tied for the lowest completion percentage among qualified passers on throws inside the 12-yard line (20%) at one point, with 4 TDs on 25 attempts."
So, as some have said, red zone efficiency was a part of the problem. Also, the truth is that Carr was not that bad a player. He definitely has NFL starter talent, but at least subjectively, he seemed to be a guy who was more of a mid tier to somewhat below average NFL starter. That's not chopped liver, but he was paid a lot to be the 19th best (or so) qb in the league.
re: It seems very plausible that China will win the AI race
Posted by N.O. via West-Cal on 2/16/26 at 11:04 am to Powerman
One thing to recall is that "the race" is only so good as a metaphor with what happens with AI or any emergent technology. You don't just get to sprint through a tape, "win the race," and then rest on your laurels. If that were so, the US would have unwavering, massive advantages in almost every area of tech that has emerged since the Second World War. Instead, we have seen other countries adopting tech from those who are ahead and closing the gap or even taking the lead themselves. China is an example of a country doing so now, while Japan did so, especially in manufacturing, in the 1980s.
So, my strong suspicion is that even if you are correct that China wins the AI race, their victory will be fluid, as the US and others will be constantly seeking to recover. All such victories are, by their nature, temporary.
So, my strong suspicion is that even if you are correct that China wins the AI race, their victory will be fluid, as the US and others will be constantly seeking to recover. All such victories are, by their nature, temporary.
re: Once the Senate passes the SAVE Act & Trump signs it, a liberal judge will strike it down
Posted by N.O. via West-Cal on 2/13/26 at 6:44 pm to SPEEDY
Here is what the Constitution says:
Article I, Section 4, Clause 1:
The Times, Places and Manner of holding Elections for Senators and Representatives, shall be prescribed in each State by the Legislature thereof; but the Congress may at any time by Law make or alter such Regulations, except as to the Places of chusing Senators.
Note that this is limited to elections for House and Senate, but it looks like Congress has the power to override state rules at least in these elections.
Article I, Section 4, Clause 1:
The Times, Places and Manner of holding Elections for Senators and Representatives, shall be prescribed in each State by the Legislature thereof; but the Congress may at any time by Law make or alter such Regulations, except as to the Places of chusing Senators.
Note that this is limited to elections for House and Senate, but it looks like Congress has the power to override state rules at least in these elections.
re: Massie the only republican to vote against the SAVE Act
Posted by N.O. via West-Cal on 2/11/26 at 2:09 pm to hawgfaninc
While I would love it if every single state enacted something like the SAVE Act, I can understand a principled vote against as elections are entrusted to the states by our constitution.
re: Free Market-Friendly Policies for the Win ... But Given Little Credit.
Posted by N.O. via West-Cal on 2/11/26 at 12:32 pm to AUCom96
“The "free market" is a myth. Where we are now is an economy driven by international monopoly,”
This is fact-free garbage. There may not be a purely free market, but the facts—see above—establish what supply side economics based on at least roughly free markets have produced: widespread prosperity at a level never seen before.
This is fact-free garbage. There may not be a purely free market, but the facts—see above—establish what supply side economics based on at least roughly free markets have produced: widespread prosperity at a level never seen before.
re: Free Market-Friendly Policies for the Win ... But Given Little Credit.
Posted by N.O. via West-Cal on 2/11/26 at 12:28 pm to Penrod
collapse.
I’m a big Reagan fan, and most of what you posted was true, but the economy was nowhere near “a state of collapse”.
You know what? I agree with you! That was in the quote and if I had it to do over again, I would have put an ellipsis there.
I’m a big Reagan fan, and most of what you posted was true, but the economy was nowhere near “a state of collapse”.
You know what? I agree with you! That was in the quote and if I had it to do over again, I would have put an ellipsis there.
Free Market-Friendly Policies for the Win ... But Given Little Credit.
Posted by N.O. via West-Cal on 2/11/26 at 10:52 am
I cannot imagine that there is anything so beneficial that is more widely unappreciated than the incredibly prosperity brought about by the supply-side economic policies favored by people like Art Laffer (famous for the "Laffer Curve") and instituted primarily by Ronald Reagan and largely followed since, especially but entirely by Republican presidents.
It's an embarrassment of riches. In 1982, the Dow was at 800 and is now over 50,000. The market cap for US stocks roughly equals the rest of the world's combined. Quoting from the linked article, "when Reagan came into office: Inflation was running at about 12%, the top income tax rate was 70%, the corporate rate was 46%, the estate tax was 70%, and the capital gains rate was 28%. The economy was in a state of collapse.
Today inflation is roughly 3%, the top income tax rate is 39.6%, the corporate rate is down to 21%, the estate tax is 40%, and capital gains taxes are taxed at 23.4%."
And tax receipts, fueled by growth, soared. The top 1% used to pay about 19% of taxes and now pay 40% even though rates are lower.
And yet ... we scarcely hear in the mainstream media or popular culture any appreciation for this near-miracle. Instead, socialism keeps rearing its head, in various forms, despite an appalling track record when implemented in anything close to its purer forms (e.g., China grew rapidly and prospered only when it largely abandoned socialist principles).
Free market-friendly, supply-side economic policies need better P.R., but thank your lucky stars that we did not get mired in slow-growth, high tax/low revenues that Democrats typically espouse.
Stephen Moore Piece from Patriot Post
It's an embarrassment of riches. In 1982, the Dow was at 800 and is now over 50,000. The market cap for US stocks roughly equals the rest of the world's combined. Quoting from the linked article, "when Reagan came into office: Inflation was running at about 12%, the top income tax rate was 70%, the corporate rate was 46%, the estate tax was 70%, and the capital gains rate was 28%. The economy was in a state of collapse.
Today inflation is roughly 3%, the top income tax rate is 39.6%, the corporate rate is down to 21%, the estate tax is 40%, and capital gains taxes are taxed at 23.4%."
And tax receipts, fueled by growth, soared. The top 1% used to pay about 19% of taxes and now pay 40% even though rates are lower.
And yet ... we scarcely hear in the mainstream media or popular culture any appreciation for this near-miracle. Instead, socialism keeps rearing its head, in various forms, despite an appalling track record when implemented in anything close to its purer forms (e.g., China grew rapidly and prospered only when it largely abandoned socialist principles).
Free market-friendly, supply-side economic policies need better P.R., but thank your lucky stars that we did not get mired in slow-growth, high tax/low revenues that Democrats typically espouse.
Stephen Moore Piece from Patriot Post
re: Mike Johnson Makes a POINT and BODYSLAMS Dems who have no ANSWER!!
Posted by N.O. via West-Cal on 2/10/26 at 2:47 pm to Ag Zwin
"Something something Constitutional right something"
At least this would be an answer with a Constitutional basis, but too many Democrats have already tried to federalize elections to use this argument. So, instead they blather on about minorities somehow being less likely to have ID, which I find preposterous in 2026 America.
At least this would be an answer with a Constitutional basis, but too many Democrats have already tried to federalize elections to use this argument. So, instead they blather on about minorities somehow being less likely to have ID, which I find preposterous in 2026 America.
re: Rasmussen poll from 2/5: Who did a better job as president…Biden 48%, Trump 40%
Posted by N.O. via West-Cal on 2/10/26 at 2:42 pm to SPEEDY
This is a common phenomenon and I would not be too worried about it were it just one data point. Alas, it's not, and it bodes ill (for most of this board) in midterms.
re: Winning a Super Bowl in the state of California actually cost Sam Darnold 70k.
Posted by N.O. via West-Cal on 2/9/26 at 4:11 pm to BHTiger
“ How do you pay more that you make? Isn't a % of earning?”
He won’t. Although the so-called jock tax is real, the clip cited in the OP is a little misleading. Assuming the numbers are correct, My strong suspicion is that they are saying Darnold will pay more in TOTAL California state taxes than he made only Super Bowl bonus pay. Darnold makes about 30 MM as I recall, and he will have several days allocated to CA not just for the Super Bowl but for other games in CA—remember that the Rams and 49ers are in the same division—and much of the tax he will owe is based on his allocated salary. It doesn’t take much time in CA when make that kind of money.
He won’t. Although the so-called jock tax is real, the clip cited in the OP is a little misleading. Assuming the numbers are correct, My strong suspicion is that they are saying Darnold will pay more in TOTAL California state taxes than he made only Super Bowl bonus pay. Darnold makes about 30 MM as I recall, and he will have several days allocated to CA not just for the Super Bowl but for other games in CA—remember that the Rams and 49ers are in the same division—and much of the tax he will owe is based on his allocated salary. It doesn’t take much time in CA when make that kind of money.
re: I can’t help but think MAYBE we will be playing in this game next year
Posted by N.O. via West-Cal on 2/9/26 at 3:56 pm to TechDawg2007
It’s a very good sign that you can even ask a question like this!
re: A Franchise Recap: It time to completely give up.
Posted by N.O. via West-Cal on 2/6/26 at 1:50 pm to ghost2most
"Ditka-Saints level bad."
And what came after the Ditka Saints? First playoff win and then after some really hard times, our first Super Bowl title. Perspective, folks. Any franchise, no matter how bad, can turn it around with a few good moves. And the Pels need to make a good one for a change this offseason when they get a permanent head coach. I am not a JB hater, but we have to shake this thing up.
And what came after the Ditka Saints? First playoff win and then after some really hard times, our first Super Bowl title. Perspective, folks. Any franchise, no matter how bad, can turn it around with a few good moves. And the Pels need to make a good one for a change this offseason when they get a permanent head coach. I am not a JB hater, but we have to shake this thing up.
re: When was the last time there was a true conservative legislative victory?
Posted by N.O. via West-Cal on 2/6/26 at 10:01 am to burger bearcat
I see what you are getting at, but don't discount how important blocking bad legislation can be. If it weren't for Republicans, Joe Manchin, and Kristen Synema there would have been trillions MORE of so-called COVID relief and green energy pork that would have spiked inflation and the debt even more. Not dealing with those extra trillions is a big deal. It is, however, human nature not to appreciate harm avoided. It is one reason why communism never goes away and capitalism is so derided. Too many people don't consider how much worse off we would be if communism had prevailed for the last 100 years while assuming that all of the good things we have today--longer life expectancy, the smallest percentage of the world living in absolute poverty ever--would exist without the free markets that drove these accomplishments. But I digress ...
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