re: Kelly says analytics says to go for it on fourth down. But which analytics?

There are smart folks with computers (and AI) analyzing every possible decision. I'm sure this is based on a CFB-wide analysis, perhaps adjusted for LSU personnel and statistical trends (which admittedly would be a smaller sample for the current team).

Can't be said enough. Points on the road in a hostile environment are hard to come by. No time on the clock and they get the ball coming out of the half. TAKE THE POINTS!!

Analytics are much more useful in the NFL where the talent difference is much smaller.

Fourth and goal from the 2 would be much more difficult for LSU against Ohio State than against La Tech. You have to factor in the opposition with the average odds of success against all teams.

In isolation, going for it there wasn't necessarily a bad call. But when you've lost 3 straight opening games and EACH had a situation where you were stopped on 4th down instead of taking a FG, I agree, you may have to discard "analytics" there and do something different to try to get a different result.

No one can say how the game goes if LSU takes 3 there instead of getting stopped on 4th down. But if the second half goes the same 10-6 turns into 13-10 which turns into 20-10. A two-score game would have been massive late instead of putting your defense in an extreme pressure spot

They’re BS, just an excuse when coaches frick up.

What about with the clock expiring and no timeouts left?

yeah i get that in general its more likely to get the first down on the 40 yard line with 2 yards to go then punt the ball away and not allow 2 first downs. And I'm sure any strategic thinking, or analytics would tell you that. However that 4th down with 15 secs with no timeouts was just dumb and saying analytics told you to do it is even dumber.

Analytics my arse!

History of bonehead calls going for it on 4th down with bullshite play calls.

You need to look at a few things- timing, momentum, situation, and time left in the game. There was only 15 seconds left and the only timeout we had he used it before the stupid 4th down play call.

You kick the ball and get 3 points with momentum into halftime. Because even if you make it, you have to throw it in the endzone because if you get tackled in bounds, time runs out and you have time for 1-2 plays max.

Better to kick the FG and get 3 points before halftime.

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So, how in depth/accurate are these analytics? Are they based on LSU results only?

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BK also said he misinterpreted the Analytics because if factors in the number of plays you can run after that play. He said for the analytics to be favorable we meeded time yo run 4-5 more plays if successful on 4th down.

He admitted he should have kicked the FG.

Lmao