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re: LSU Baseball 2026 (and beyond) Recruiting Thread
Posted on 7/27/26 at 1:06 pm to JustinTI
Posted on 7/27/26 at 1:06 pm to JustinTI
quote:
Additionally, Schmidt is not a top 10 prospect. He was #45 on mlb.com.
Miso wasnt highly rated either, did not get drafted in the 5 round draft back in 2020, came back and signed for $2.35M 2 years later after essentially 1 year of any production at JUCO
In the end, there arent a ton of datapoints to go in because frankly not a ton of particularly highly rated kids ever do go the JUCO route, it doesnt mean there arent datapoints in the past saying it isnt a route someone cant be successful with though.
Some kids, like Miso, can take pretty large leaps especially during that kind of time frame. Look at how some kids come in here and look at end of year 2 sometimes.
Curiel came here because he really wanted college, but I bet if he went JUCO he would have probably signed for a large amount after just 1 year there too (maybe not $6M exactly, who knows, but certainly a large sum of money).
In the end, just not a ton of datapoints, but when someone is looking for the fastest route to a large MLB contract after not getting over like $1.5M offers initially out of high school, that route is not best suited to lock yourself in for 3 years at a d1 place. Technically speaking you can spend 1-2 years in JUCO and be eligible each year and might not have to wait 3 years to get what you want. Doesnt mean it will always work out, but also doesnt mean it wont work out either, but thats the fastest way to get yourself back into the draft for a someone who wont be 21 by the end of their sophomore year. I do think it's a difference pitch to a DES than it is to someone who has to be locked in for 3 years. It sounds a bit silly, but a year can make all the difference, especially being eligible with leverage for at least 2 years in d1, not just 1.
Keep in mind the promises being made are quite a bit different to a guy like this from LSU's end and a JUCO's end. Sure, we can pay him a nice comfortable amount to come here, but we can make no guarantees with playing time. We care about winning first and foremost and if he someone doesnt have it, they wont pitch much, flat out. Any JUCO out there would sell a weekend rotation spot and for him to pitch as much as he wants there by comparison.
This post was edited on 7/27/26 at 1:09 pm
Posted on 7/27/26 at 1:10 pm to hall59tiger
quote:
Maybe he’d rather make 3.5m next year instead of 5m in 3 years
I think this now-or-later math is what is keeping him up at night: should he start collecting earnings now or defer in hopes for something bigger later. LSU wants to offer enough now to tip things into its favor. It’s muddy and speculative. I raise my glass to Jay and Glasscock and Gordon, cheers men, let’s see what we can put together for him.
Posted on 7/27/26 at 1:16 pm to thunderbird1100
One thing to consider is that with his reclassification, one year at JUCO puts him at the same age as next year's HS graduates, but with a year of college baseball under his belt.
Regardless of the relative level of the baseball, it's still against older guys, some with track record and some with D1 and pro potential. That southern California JUCO league he'd be in at Golden West has some pretty good talent. And it would be a step above the talent the HS guys would be playing against.
He'd also have a more robust fall season than D1 guys to get looked at.
With his name recognition, there will be scouts out to look at him often.
Regardless of the relative level of the baseball, it's still against older guys, some with track record and some with D1 and pro potential. That southern California JUCO league he'd be in at Golden West has some pretty good talent. And it would be a step above the talent the HS guys would be playing against.
He'd also have a more robust fall season than D1 guys to get looked at.
With his name recognition, there will be scouts out to look at him often.
Posted on 7/27/26 at 1:21 pm to ProjectP2294
Does anyone know the deadline to when he has to decide? Guys get sent to JUCO roster after the fall so could he drag it out until then and can LSU even make a roster addition that late?
I'd think for D1 he has to be enrolled in school come the first day of class and I'd also think that Jay wants him here for the Fall if he's gonna contribute next year.
First day is Aug 24th so somewhere around then I'm guessing?
I'd think for D1 he has to be enrolled in school come the first day of class and I'd also think that Jay wants him here for the Fall if he's gonna contribute next year.
First day is Aug 24th so somewhere around then I'm guessing?
Posted on 7/27/26 at 1:22 pm to Glizzy_gang
I think you're right on with all of that
Posted on 7/27/26 at 1:25 pm to thunderbird1100
quote:
In the end, just not a ton of datapoints, but when someone is looking for the fastest route to a large MLB contract after not getting over like $1.5M offers initially out of high school, that route is not best suited to lock yourself in for 3 years at a d1 place.
I agree, and I'm not arguing that he should come to LSU. I'm saying that he should have taken the relatively disappointing signing bonus this year if his goal is getting to pro ball as fast as possible. It is definitely possible that he could improve his signing bonus by going to juco, but he just as easily could spend a couple of years in juco then get significantly less. If you look at the range of possibilities going the juco route, I would think his expected value is less than the $1.7M or so he would have got this year.
Posted on 7/27/26 at 1:27 pm to Glizzy_gang
The deadline to decide to decide between LSU and JUCO is the start of the semester.
Throwing out crazy, plausible possibilities... he could just come for the fall and see how he likes school and where he fits into the pecking order and still go JUCO for the spring if he isn't enjoying it. Hell, he could do all this and STILL come back to LSU later. We saw this with Priester and Grant Fontenot.
I would imagine 7 figures over 3 years but that's a good offer. It may could even be 1.7 over 3 with less in year 1. Then you are literally not losing any money over the next 3 years and still have the possibility of gaining more in 3 years.
Throwing out crazy, plausible possibilities... he could just come for the fall and see how he likes school and where he fits into the pecking order and still go JUCO for the spring if he isn't enjoying it. Hell, he could do all this and STILL come back to LSU later. We saw this with Priester and Grant Fontenot.
I would imagine 7 figures over 3 years but that's a good offer. It may could even be 1.7 over 3 with less in year 1. Then you are literally not losing any money over the next 3 years and still have the possibility of gaining more in 3 years.
Posted on 7/27/26 at 2:24 pm to ccox11
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But he'll get a ton more innings and oppurtunity at a JUCO than he would at LSU.
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Not if he becomes the Sunday starter at LSU IMO.
Posted on 7/27/26 at 3:23 pm to LesnarF5
quote:
Not if he becomes the Sunday starter at LSU IMO.
I hate to think of what happened to the rest of our staff if that came to fruition.
Posted on 7/27/26 at 5:04 pm to ProjectP2294
quote:
hate to think of what happened to the rest of our staff if that [becoming the third starter] came to fruition.
why so negative? I guess you are thinking injuries pave the way? Could be that he beats out a guy coming off a injury in Moore, the inconsistent Williams, Paz left, who am I missing? Now if he is given a crack at Sundays, will jay stick with him through the bumps in the road? Jay loves to win, and SEC games are not usually that place for giving more and more rope.
Posted on 7/27/26 at 5:14 pm to BayouPride
quote:
why so negative? I guess you are thinking injuries pave the way?
Yes, because I don’t think he can contribute meaningfully right now. So catastrophic things would have to happen for him to get starts in the SEC for us.
I don’t think he will be at lsu anyway, but if he did make it, he’s not an immediate help.
Posted on 7/27/26 at 5:37 pm to ProjectP2294
Does anybody know if he has ever been on campus? And visited the facilities?
Posted on 7/27/26 at 6:09 pm to Islandboy777
I'm sure he did before he committed but not sure how long ago that was.
Posted on 7/27/26 at 6:17 pm to TigerCub
So he may not even know about the removed planet fitness atrocity yet? Game changer imo.
Posted on 7/27/26 at 7:36 pm to BayouPride
quote:
Could be that he beats out a guy coming off a injury in Moore, the inconsistent Williams, Paz left, who am I missing?
You're missing Landon Hood, for one.
Posted on 7/27/26 at 8:24 pm to Jim Hopper
quote:
didn’t see your reply and basically plagiarized your whole comment. lol.
Lol, it's all good
Posted on 7/27/26 at 9:20 pm to BayouPride
quote:
Could be that he beats out a guy coming off a injury in Moore, the inconsistent Williams, Paz left, who am I missing?
Evans
The other schmidt
Moore
Hood
Posted on 7/27/26 at 9:33 pm to josh336
Not responding to anybody in particular, but I think L. Schmidt is being overhyped on this board by some. I know Jay/Yeskie want him, but he’s got a ways to go imo. He’s not some sure thing ready to make a major contribution next year IMO.
Nice to have if his heart/mind are into it? Yes
Make or break LSU next year? Nope
Nice to have if his heart/mind are into it? Yes
Make or break LSU next year? Nope
Posted on 7/27/26 at 10:02 pm to josh336
quote:
The other schmidt
Man I hope he turns into a dependable arm next year.
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