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Started By
Message
re: Louisiana COVID-19 - April 1, 2020 Update: 6,424 Cases - 45,776 tested - 273 dead
Posted on 4/1/20 at 12:42 pm to danilo
Posted on 4/1/20 at 12:42 pm to danilo
quote:
Italy’s population is 13x greater than LA
You don’t get to use that argument. When non panickers were saying we aren’t the next Italy because of population, panickers said “EXACTLY, we have less people and it’s the same trend!!! aaaahhhhh!”
Now population matters because the trends aren’t lining up?
1
Posted on 4/1/20 at 12:43 pm to CyrustheVirus
quote:
You don’t get to use that argument. When non panickers were saying we aren’t the next Italy because of population, panickers said “EXACTLY, we have less people and it’s the same trend!!! aaaahhhhh!”
Now population matters because the trends aren’t lining up?
Posted on 4/1/20 at 12:43 pm to tiger91
quote:We better hope not, based on the Harvard study put out a couple of days ago, if this thing is affected by seasonality and we lockdown in the summer, then we are in for another lockdown in the fall. Kiss football season goodbye.
I've heard "experts" say it's more humidity than heat
Posted on 4/1/20 at 12:45 pm to Ronaldo Burgundiaz
It is 100% going to spike again in the fall.
Hopefully we are better prepared with supplies and have a known treatment schedule to prevent another shut down.
Hopefully we are better prepared with supplies and have a known treatment schedule to prevent another shut down.
Posted on 4/1/20 at 12:45 pm to tLSU
quote:You posted the graph of Nola vs the State, not me.
What do either of those questions have to do with whether the rate of increase in confirmed cases is, on average, increasing faster in places outside of New Orleans than in New Orleans? That rate is the curve we hope will flatten.
Posted on 4/1/20 at 12:55 pm to Fun Bunch
quote:
One of my good friends that was tested 8 days ago finally got her results today, positive. She has long had no more symptoms and has been self isolating.
thats what I was thinking yesterday...these "new" cases are not "new" they are positive test from people that are no longer having symptoms....
Posted on 4/1/20 at 12:59 pm to TigersSEC2010
So out of the 4.6 million people in LA, 273 peopl have died and 6,400 have the virus that in most cases result in flu like symptoms. For fricks sake, what are we doing. Open the country up.
Posted on 4/1/20 at 1:01 pm to BigPerm30
quote:
So out of the 4.6 million people in LA, 273 peopl have died and 6,400 have the virus that in most cases result in flu like symptoms. For fricks sake, what are we doing. Open the country up.
Wait a second, you're on to something no one else has thought of. Quick get this man to the Oval Office to debrief the President!
Posted on 4/1/20 at 1:01 pm to ell_13
quote:
You posted the graph of Nola vs the State, not me.
Yes, I sure did post a graph showing the rate of daily increase in both. Aka "the curve". Then you responded durrr what about per capita durrr population durrr and other irrelevant information to the curve.
So I'll ask again, why do those things matter with respect to whether the curve is flattening? Why is it a "lie"?
This post was edited on 4/1/20 at 1:02 pm
Posted on 4/1/20 at 1:03 pm to BigPerm30
That's not how it works dude.
Posted on 4/1/20 at 1:03 pm to tgrbaitn08
The numbers are going to keep rising or at best staying the same for another week or so.
That’s the earliest we’ll start seeing the numbers drop to reflect preventative measures. Do yourselves a favor and don’t panic thinking that nothing we’re doing is working when the numbers don’t get better over the next week
That’s the earliest we’ll start seeing the numbers drop to reflect preventative measures. Do yourselves a favor and don’t panic thinking that nothing we’re doing is working when the numbers don’t get better over the next week
Posted on 4/1/20 at 1:08 pm to tLSU
quote:Well, for one, the data is never going to be linear. It needs to be normalized. It’s better to look at a log scale as well. Second, the point I was making is that Louisiana as a whole is doing Relatively well and it’s Nola disproportionately dragging the state’s numbers “down”.
Why is it a "lie"?
Posted on 4/1/20 at 1:09 pm to ell_13
quote:
Nola disproportionately dragging the state’s numbers “down”.
We are still just talking about Covid right?
Posted on 4/1/20 at 1:10 pm to Adam Banks
Posted on 4/1/20 at 1:19 pm to TigersSEC2010
Some of those stats in the link IE vents in use are better than what was predicted for today via this link .. scroll to Louisiana and hold the mouse over APRIL 1 .. it predicted many more vents needed today
LINK
It shows 851 predicted for today and the LDH site shows that 490 are in use. Not to say that 490 isn't a lot, just that the model is pretty off. Wonder if JBE & company are using this model at all?
LINK
It shows 851 predicted for today and the LDH site shows that 490 are in use. Not to say that 490 isn't a lot, just that the model is pretty off. Wonder if JBE & company are using this model at all?
This post was edited on 4/1/20 at 1:21 pm
Posted on 4/1/20 at 1:22 pm to rocket31
(no message)
This post was edited on 4/1/20 at 1:26 pm
Posted on 4/1/20 at 1:23 pm to rocket31
quote:
we are doing way better than projected, great to see.
actually we arent doing better, were just a day behind
as far as the deaths, they arent happening as fast, so either people are getting better or theyre hanging on longer before dying.
if cases keep rising so will deaths, sooner or later based on the mortality rate...whatever that may be
This post was edited on 4/1/20 at 2:20 pm
Posted on 4/1/20 at 1:25 pm to tiger91
quote:
Some of those stats in the link IE vents in use are better than what was predicted for today via this link .. scroll to Louisiana and hold the mouse over APRIL 1 .. it predicted many more vents needed today
LINK
It shows 851 predicted for today and the LDH site shows that 490 are in use. Not to say that 490 isn't a lot, just that the model is pretty off. Wonder if JBE & company are using this model at all?
so if this model holds true, we'll be in the same place were are today on May 7th, with a whole lot of bad in between now and then
Posted on 4/1/20 at 1:54 pm to fightin tigers
quote:
Those models have been off.
Yes they have so that is why I'm wondering and hoping that these aren't the only thing decisions are being based on.
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