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re: Louisiana COVID-19 - April 1, 2020 Update: 6,424 Cases - 45,776 tested - 273 dead

Posted on 4/1/20 at 12:13 pm to
Posted by SouthEndzoneTiger
Louisiana
Member since Mar 2008
10597 posts
Posted on 4/1/20 at 12:13 pm to
quote:

You haven’t been banned yet after your Home Depot post?

not yet


Please splain
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
164112 posts
Posted on 4/1/20 at 12:13 pm to
2,400 new cases the last two days. Almost 40% of all cases in the last two days.
Posted by More beer please
Member since Feb 2010
45050 posts
Posted on 4/1/20 at 12:13 pm to
Maybe. Regardless St Landry parish has a population of 80k and somehow has half the testing of even Orleans at 400k
This post was edited on 4/1/20 at 12:15 pm
Posted by ell_13
Member since Apr 2013
85025 posts
Posted on 4/1/20 at 12:13 pm to
Size has less impact than many other factors fwiw. Density for one. Average age. And so on.
Posted by Antonio Moss
Baton Rouge
Member since Mar 2006
48305 posts
Posted on 4/1/20 at 12:15 pm to
quote:

The real question is will warmer temperatures effect transmission?


Biology and history suggest it will.


quote:

But overall cases throughout the world based on location suggests it does to a degree.


true, but there are other factors. Most countries in the Southern hemisphere are not nearly as industrialized meaning that travel numbers to those countries is lower which suggests a possible delay in spread.

Need to look at Austrilia transmission rates; that should give a clearer picture.
Posted by Salmon
On the trails
Member since Feb 2008
83556 posts
Posted on 4/1/20 at 12:15 pm to
quote:

Italy’s population is 13x greater than LA


and?

that didn't stop the doomcasters from repeating the nonsense all last week?
Posted by danilo
Member since Nov 2008
20098 posts
Posted on 4/1/20 at 12:16 pm to
quote:

and?

Your “it’s not 100 day!” argument Don’t mean dick
This post was edited on 4/1/20 at 12:17 pm
Posted by MorbidTheClown
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2015
65881 posts
Posted on 4/1/20 at 12:17 pm to
not sure how the test results are reported. but, i know for a fact there is at least 1 positive test result in Cameron parish. while that report shows zero.
Posted by Teddy Ruxpin
Member since Oct 2006
39576 posts
Posted on 4/1/20 at 12:17 pm to
quote:


Italy’s population is 13x greater than LA


Most of their deaths were in Lombardy I believe, which would close that gap a little bit. Not sure how much.
Posted by tgrbaitn08
Member since Dec 2007
146214 posts
Posted on 4/1/20 at 12:18 pm to
quote:



Please splain


Gonzotrucker on Twitter
Posted by Thib-a-doe Tiger
Member since Nov 2012
35369 posts
Posted on 4/1/20 at 12:18 pm to
quote:

Most of their deaths were in Lombardy I believe, which would close that gap a little bit. Not sure how much.



more than double LA population
Posted by DomincDecoco
of no fixed abode
Member since Oct 2018
10864 posts
Posted on 4/1/20 at 12:19 pm to
Look at the last 4 days of actual cases vs projected cases


This post was edited on 4/1/20 at 12:26 pm
Posted by LSUFanHouston
NOLA
Member since Jul 2009
37081 posts
Posted on 4/1/20 at 12:19 pm to
quote:

hospitalized and vent numbers are alarming


Especially when you consider that people are still getting hospitalized and needing vents for non-COVID issues as well.
Posted by Salmon
On the trails
Member since Feb 2008
83556 posts
Posted on 4/1/20 at 12:20 pm to
quote:

Your “it’s not 100 day!” argument Don’t mean dick


it means we are not likely to hit the 700 deaths per day like Italy has, which I was told LA would almost certainly see by several posters

and you are also making the argument to those of us that told these people why we wouldn't hit Italy's numbers

thanks
This post was edited on 4/1/20 at 12:21 pm
Posted by rocket31
Member since Jan 2008
41819 posts
Posted on 4/1/20 at 12:21 pm to
we are doing way better than projected, great to see.


not sure what that means big picture, but ya, hope it continues
Posted by Dustydubs
Member since Mar 2020
483 posts
Posted on 4/1/20 at 12:22 pm to
Plus the bulk of Italy lives on top of each other add that to the fact they touch And kiss each other a lot. We are more spread out but our weakness is still food. We have to hoot these nasty stores to get food. Kind of a choke point.
Posted by Unknown_Poster
Member since Jun 2013
5758 posts
Posted on 4/1/20 at 12:22 pm to
Straight up comparison of Louisiana to Italy is a red herring given Louisiana has one tenth of the population of Italy. Deaths per day is also a red herring. Proportionally speaking, though, it seems the U.S./Louisiana going with social distancing/closing of businesses earlier than Italy will pay off.
quote:


hospitalized and vent numbers are alarming

This is the key. And, yes, the numbers are alarming but at least they are somewhat stable versus exponentially increasing.

Also morbid but true, is that as people die, ventilators become free. However, unless people are dying at a faster rate than people are requiring ventilators then it's still a significant issue. Hopefully more ventilators are forthcoming sooner rather than later.
Posted by REG861
Ocelot, Iowa
Member since Oct 2011
36415 posts
Posted on 4/1/20 at 12:24 pm to
quote:

we are doing way better than projected, great to see.


not sure what that means big picture, but ya, hope it continues




yep. Maybe all these measures we've taken are, you know, working after all
This post was edited on 4/1/20 at 12:25 pm
Posted by Antonio Moss
Baton Rouge
Member since Mar 2006
48305 posts
Posted on 4/1/20 at 12:24 pm to
quote:

Most of their deaths were in Lombardy I believe, which would close that gap a little bit. Not sure how much.


National and state measures are convenient but not all that helpful. Viruses don't give a frick about political borders.

For instance, the U.S. has the highest total cases but currently Wyoming's projections for COVID are incredibly minor.
Posted by tLSU
Member since Oct 2007
8623 posts
Posted on 4/1/20 at 12:25 pm to



Does it? What do either of those questions have to do with whether the rate of increase in confirmed cases is, on average, increasing faster in places outside of New Orleans than in New Orleans? That rate is the curve we hope will flatten.

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