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Hurricane Dorian - Headed to Canada

Posted on 8/23/19 at 9:29 am
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
19846 posts
Posted on 8/23/19 at 9:29 am
24 Hours Over Grand Bahama





This post was edited on 9/7/19 at 9:22 am
Posted by X123F45
Member since Apr 2015
27590 posts
Posted on 8/23/19 at 9:30 am to
What about the western Gulf?
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
19846 posts
Posted on 8/23/19 at 9:31 am to
98L is not a Gulf threat and will most likely slide out to sea.

99L is a long ways off but has some low end Gulf potential.

Also, there is a wave after 99L that will also need to be watched.
Posted by DeltaDoc
The Delta
Member since Jan 2008
16090 posts
Posted on 8/23/19 at 9:41 am to
Posted by tketaco
Sunnyside, Houston
Member since Jan 2010
19828 posts
Posted on 8/23/19 at 10:27 am to
Day 45 of Louisiana National Guard Activation in preparation for this storm.

LaPlace has been evacuated. NOLA in gridlock during contra flow. BTR is currently on fire.
Posted by CFDoc
Member since Jan 2013
2107 posts
Posted on 8/23/19 at 10:33 am to
*checks calendar

Yup, almost dove season. Guaranteed storm to f up opening day.
Posted by Zephyrius
Wharton, La.
Member since Dec 2004
8009 posts
Posted on 8/23/19 at 10:37 am to
The 99L GFS ensemble is concerning for the gulf but the Euro hasn't picked up anything yet from what I have seen.
Posted by 225Tyga
Member since Oct 2013
16026 posts
Posted on 8/23/19 at 10:41 am to
quote:

Hurricane Season - Heating Up


quote:

TS Dorian - FL & Gulf Concerns Growing






This post was edited on 8/28/19 at 8:50 am
Posted by soccerfüt
Location: A Series of Tubes
Member since May 2013
66256 posts
Posted on 8/23/19 at 10:59 am to
Thanks to this thread, Peej is, like Nash Roberts, officially on the clock.
Posted by East Coast Band
Member since Nov 2010
63015 posts
Posted on 8/23/19 at 12:07 pm to
ETA:
I like to post this table that helps determine just how strong a hurricane can be when looking at the forecasts that just list a low pressure value

This post was edited on 8/27/19 at 10:15 pm
Posted by theunknownknight
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2005
57508 posts
Posted on 8/23/19 at 12:28 pm to
If George Strait is right, those x’s will end up in Texas
Posted by fatboydave
Fat boy land
Member since Aug 2004
17979 posts
Posted on 8/23/19 at 12:48 pm to
quote:

Hurricane Season - Heating Up

Will my 7 loaves of bread get stale by the time we evacuate?
Posted by J Murdah
Member since Jun 2008
39814 posts
Posted on 8/23/19 at 1:24 pm to
Experts say this could mean possible hurricanes
Posted by NorthEndZone
Member since Dec 2008
11599 posts
Posted on 8/23/19 at 2:05 pm to
At least 4 spins of moisture over water...

Posted by Who_Dat_Tiger
Member since Nov 2015
18204 posts
Posted on 8/24/19 at 10:10 am to


That’s going to affect my trip to Punta Cana
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
164622 posts
Posted on 8/24/19 at 12:08 pm to
Damn. This shite coming right up Punta Cana’s a-hole.
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
19846 posts
Posted on 8/24/19 at 12:55 pm to
12z GEFS tracks


Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
19846 posts
Posted on 8/24/19 at 3:55 pm to
Euro EPS takes this along the NHC track but does show potential for trouble if the storm can move north of the bigger islands.

Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
19846 posts
Posted on 8/24/19 at 9:12 pm to
00z early cycle tracks



18z GEFS

Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
19846 posts
Posted on 8/25/19 at 8:57 am to
Pretty good agreement b/w the 00z Euro EPS and 06z GEFS of a track into the Caribbean that will send Dorian into a high shear environment. If this holds, the most likely scenario, which hasn't really changed over the last couple of days, is that Dorian gets sheared out and dies as it interacts with the Islands.

This post was edited on 8/25/19 at 12:34 pm
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