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re: River Flooding in the Ohio Valley coming to Louisiana in mid March
Posted on 2/27/18 at 8:53 am to ell_13
Posted on 2/27/18 at 8:53 am to ell_13
quote:
It depends. The stage graph only takes into account water that is already on the ground. If we get more rain through the valley or enough down here to keep things soaked and slow the flow, then it could reach that level. Another factor would be warm weather melting the snows that fell last week. Again, none of this is used in the predictions
That's not true. They use the 48 HR rainfall forecast in the river forecasts.
![](https://www.weather.gov/images/lmrfc/precip/QPF/QPF_48hr.jpg)
All of this rain is considered. It obviously could be much heavier or lighter, but this is part of the forecast nonetheless.
Posted on 2/27/18 at 8:54 am to ksayetiger
Supposed to get 2-4" of rain today through Thursday across North La, North MS, and Arkansas area to add to the water.
Posted on 2/27/18 at 8:56 am to slackster
quote:Since when? We've always talked about the rains not being part of the prediction. If that's the case, it's helpful, but it still doesn't do much to adjust the crest in BR which is over 2 weeks away. Maybe that's what I'm remembering being discussed.
That's not true. They use the 48 HR rainfall forecast in the river forecasts.
This post was edited on 2/27/18 at 8:58 am
Posted on 2/27/18 at 9:04 am to ell_13
We just had historic flooding up here in Northern Indiana. Look at news stories over the last week for Goshen and Elkhart Indiana.
Had about 18 inches of snow the week before last, then got about 5 inches of rain last weekend. This shite is all flowing down to you guys.
Your welcome.
Had about 18 inches of snow the week before last, then got about 5 inches of rain last weekend. This shite is all flowing down to you guys.
Your welcome.
Posted on 2/27/18 at 9:05 am to ell_13
quote:
Since when?
I don’t know since when, but it has accounted for current water + 48 hrs of predicted rainfall for a long time.
Posted on 2/27/18 at 9:09 am to ell_13
I'm waiting for the prognosticator of prognosticators to come out with his forecast:
![](https://i.imgur.com/SoYuDHdl.jpg)
![](https://i.imgur.com/SoYuDHdl.jpg)
Posted on 2/27/18 at 9:10 am to prostyleoffensetime
Yeah. I'm reading up on it now. I remember the conversations here in 2016 about the stage graphs and how they didn't take into account rain. I must have forgotten the specifics. Thanks.
Posted on 2/27/18 at 9:11 am to ell_13
There's already a few parks totally under water here in Shreveport
Posted on 2/27/18 at 9:13 am to ell_13
I have a trip to Punts Cana in March. T&P requested.
Posted on 2/27/18 at 9:22 am to ell_13
Lots of flooding in Kentucky all along the Ohio River.
Posted on 2/27/18 at 9:35 am to slackster
Yeah, they cook in future rainfall to an extent.
Also, if we get toward 41' in BR, they'll divert more down the atchafalaya. It takes a whole lot of water with the diversions to rise that last four feet.
Also, if we get toward 41' in BR, they'll divert more down the atchafalaya. It takes a whole lot of water with the diversions to rise that last four feet.
Posted on 2/27/18 at 10:32 am to ell_13
Someone told me yesterday there will be mass casualties from the flooding
Posted on 2/27/18 at 10:40 am to Walt OReilly
quote:
Someone told me yesterday there will be mass casualties from the flooding
no one told you that stop fricking lying
Posted on 2/27/18 at 11:04 am to slackster
quote:
Before any LA spillway, it got to 57.1 feet at Vicksburg. It got to 48.5 feet last spring, for reference.
This is the current projection and very close to the crest.
Red River Landing is the best gauge to use for us down here because that's the one they use to determine if they open Morganza.
Posted on 2/27/18 at 11:13 am to tgrbaitn08
![](https://feww.files.wordpress.com/2011/05/floodways.jpg)
morgan city here she comes.
Posted on 2/27/18 at 11:31 am to ell_13
We didn’t quite get to 1997 flood levels here in Louisville, but it was a Top 5 flood for us. And we’re supposed to get more rain later this week to add to it.
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