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Posted on 2/27/18 at 2:27 pm to TigerFanatic99
quote:
We just had historic flooding up here in Northern Indiana. Look at news stories over the last week for Goshen and Elkhart Indiana.
Flow rate in the Mississippi in Louisiana is about 1.2 MPH. It normally takes about 60-70 days to get from the upper mid west to south Louisiana.
Posted on 2/27/18 at 2:46 pm to ell_13
Are we looking at a 1993 flood event on the upper Mississippi.....yet? How are the levels on the lower Missouri currently and the Illinois?
Posted on 2/27/18 at 3:50 pm to ell_13
I'm 1 of the 2 Cat Masters from Ascension..we made the paper in 2007 when the river was up and we hammered the catfish out in Darrow. Biggest one was around 50-55lbs. We released them all in Rivergate Subdivision pond. Here in the last year a little kid made the paper twice with a 70lbs+ Cat and a 100lb Cat out of those ponds. I'm ready to to Catch some more of those big mules!
This post was edited on 2/27/18 at 4:06 pm
Posted on 2/27/18 at 3:58 pm to TulaneFan
quote:Maybe we should let the river change course like it is supposed to.
2011 was the worst flood in the Mississippi River since 1937... not good at all...
Posted on 2/27/18 at 4:17 pm to Scruffy
quote:
Maybe we should let the river change course like it is supposed to.
I'm sure Morgan City would love to see it.
There's far too much shipping and industry along the river past BR to let the river go without a significant amount of planning and time, not to mention New Orleans losing its source of fresh water and impacts up to the Baton Rouge water table. That's a lot of people that would have to end up being moved (at significant cost) or incredibly expensive infrastructure put into place to let people stay. In short, no we shouldn't let the river change its course without extensive planning for the drastic consequences it would bring SELa.
The NWS now has experimental plots forecasting river crests considering 16 day rain forecasts. Obviously 16 day forecasts are full of error, and the resulting projections shouldn't be taken as an official forecast (it has error bars to hammer that point home). Worth keeping an eye on at least.
LINK
Posted on 2/27/18 at 4:19 pm to Duke
quote:Extensive planning should have gone into where cities were built.
In short, no we shouldn't let the river change its course without extensive planning for the drastic consequences it would bring SELa.
Posted on 2/27/18 at 4:22 pm to Duke
#itshappening?
Posted on 2/27/18 at 4:22 pm to Scruffy
quote:
Extensive planning should have gone into where cities were built.
I don't think there was a ton of forward thinking in the 1700s. Hell, I have doubts about how far ahead current cities are planning with the current level of technology.
Posted on 2/27/18 at 4:22 pm to Duke
Can you imagine the catastrophe if the river goes to the upper end of that forecast error in Baton Rouge? The levees would be over topped from Baton Rouge south through Lutcher.
Posted on 2/27/18 at 4:23 pm to ell_13
All the tugboat baws bout to be pissed when they actually gotta work all day for the next few months.
Posted on 2/27/18 at 4:27 pm to Scruffy
quote:
Extensive planning should have gone into where cities were built.
It wasn't until the early part of the 1900s when anyone had an idea the river was going to change course. New Orleans had been established for a good 200 years by that point. That ignores the practical of how much industry and shipping are dependent on the river as it flows now. You're talking about 13% of the US oil refining capacity being knocked out and the ports that export all the food and products shipped down the river.
Posted on 2/27/18 at 4:32 pm to TDsngumbo
quote:
Can you imagine the catastrophe if the river goes to the upper end of that forecast error in Baton Rouge? The levees would be over topped from Baton Rouge south through Lutcher.
That's not considering Morganza opening or how the ORCS would divert flow, though if we were facing that much water, I'd be concerned about the ORCS period.
That being said, I'm not fretting about the upper confidence limit unless computer models start dropping biblical rains across the entire mid-west.
Posted on 2/27/18 at 4:39 pm to TigerFanatic99
quote:
Had about 18 inches of snow the week before last, then got about 5 inches of rain last weekend.
So, if snow is 10:1 with rain, you got 6.8 inches of rain in a week and a half.
I've seen more rain in the quad during an LSU football game.
This post was edited on 2/27/18 at 4:57 pm
Posted on 2/27/18 at 5:05 pm to TigerstuckinMS
quote:
during an LSU football game.
But never in the stadium!!!
This post was edited on 2/27/18 at 5:13 pm
Posted on 2/27/18 at 5:13 pm to doubleb
quote:
But never in the stadium!!!
Nope, but I remember a day game somewhere around 2006-2007 where it rained so hard there was something like 2 inches of standing water near the union. It just pissed all over us.
Posted on 2/27/18 at 6:04 pm to TDsngumbo
quote:
Can you imagine the catastrophe if the river goes to the upper end of that forecast error in Baton Rouge? The levees would be over topped from Baton Rouge south through Lutcher.
The only way BR ever sees MS River water flooding is through a terror attack on the levees
Posted on 2/27/18 at 8:27 pm to PhiTiger1764
Posted on 2/27/18 at 10:22 pm to financetiger
2011 levels won't be reached imo.
That was a historical amount of water.
That was a historical amount of water.
Posted on 2/27/18 at 10:27 pm to Scruffy
quote:
Extensive planning should have gone into where cities were built.
300 years ago?
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