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Message

re: When will oil come back?

Posted on 5/3/17 at 2:29 pm to
Posted by The Mick
Member since Oct 2010
43369 posts
Posted on 5/3/17 at 2:29 pm to
Well Trump just signed an executive order to start issuing offshore permits again. (I think I have that right)
Posted by Turftoe
Denver
Member since Mar 2016
3946 posts
Posted on 5/3/17 at 2:30 pm to
Permian Basin Baws got some work in the pipeline.
Posted by The Mick
Member since Oct 2010
43369 posts
Posted on 5/3/17 at 2:30 pm to
quote:

you must know a lot abount economics
Posted by AbuTheMonkey
Chicago, IL
Member since May 2014
8037 posts
Posted on 5/3/17 at 2:32 pm to
quote:

$100 oil is gone for a long time.


Decent chance that it's gone for good. Peak demand is projected in about fifteen years, right?
Posted by Nado Jenkins83
Land of the Free
Member since Nov 2012
59915 posts
Posted on 5/3/17 at 2:33 pm to
It's back for me.

Just give me 10-12 more years
Posted by abitabrewed4LSU
Houston, TX
Member since Feb 2009
1078 posts
Posted on 5/3/17 at 2:38 pm to
I want oil to be high enough to give back leverage to the employees.
Posted by LSUAlum2001
Stavro Mueller Beta
Member since Aug 2003
47192 posts
Posted on 5/3/17 at 2:40 pm to
The more we drill, the more oil prices will stay sub $60 unless there is some major event that disrupts worldwide production.
Posted by kjp811
Denver, CO
Member since Apr 2017
863 posts
Posted on 5/3/17 at 2:43 pm to
Oil will get over $100 once we forget about all that oil under our feet. Don't see that happening. I think $60 is a good price in this day and age.
Posted by GREENHEAD22
Member since Nov 2009
19674 posts
Posted on 5/3/17 at 2:45 pm to
Unless a war happens not anytime soon, like I am looking for another industry to have a career in soon.
Posted by saintsfan1977
West Monroe, from Cajun country
Member since Jun 2010
7827 posts
Posted on 5/3/17 at 2:46 pm to
quote:

Do you also like higher prices for every good? You know, like the things you dont need like food?


Thing is, the prices went up due to transportation cost, and they never went back down once oil hit the low. No doubt, if oil reached $75 a barrel again they will hike prices again and use the same excuse as last time.
Posted by OweO
Plaquemine, La
Member since Sep 2009
114217 posts
Posted on 5/3/17 at 2:51 pm to
quote:

Unless a war happens not anytime soon, like I am looking for another industry to have a career in soon.



Louisiana should have learned in the 80s that it can't heavily depend on the oil industry.

I think there will still be more job casualties as a result of the state of the oil industry.
Posted by AbuTheMonkey
Chicago, IL
Member since May 2014
8037 posts
Posted on 5/3/17 at 2:54 pm to
quote:

Thing is, the prices went up due to transportation cost, and they never went back down once oil hit the low. No doubt, if oil reached $75 a barrel again they will hike prices again and use the same excuse as last time.



Some of that is simply inflation catching up with goods after oil pulls back. Super markets, for instance, are extremely tight-margin businesses.
Posted by LSUChamp06
Kansas City
Member since Nov 2007
2859 posts
Posted on 5/3/17 at 3:02 pm to
Perfect example: oil has bounced over $50 several times in the last few months. Each time it does go over $50, companies ramp up production and the price goes back into the upper $40's.

To make $50 oil more economic to produce, better seismic technology needs to be developed. Currently about a 3rd of deepwater exploration drills are successes. These projects have a dry hole cost of around $70MM to $100MM. So it cost roughly around $210MM to $300MM just to find oil. Better seismic technology would increase the chance of success, saving money, and also make it easier to strike up joint ventures with other companies.
Posted by kingbob
Sorrento, LA
Member since Nov 2010
67296 posts
Posted on 5/3/17 at 3:03 pm to
quote:

What Ivy league school do you have a degree from?


Well, apparently what I posted wasn't obvious to everyone or else they wouldn't have started this thread. Don't blame me for giving out obvious information, blame the OP asking for what should be obvious information.
Posted by Masterag
'Round Dallas
Member since Sep 2014
18854 posts
Posted on 5/3/17 at 3:08 pm to
quote:

Back when it was 4$ a gallon they were paying 40$ an hour



yeah, and people don't like paying $4/gallon. so, either you speed up the technology to get rid of gas burning cars for good. or, you make less money, everyone is happy paying $2/gal, and we use oil/gas for a while longer.
Posted by tigerinthebueche
Member since Oct 2010
36791 posts
Posted on 5/3/17 at 3:09 pm to
quote:

We've gotten busy again the last 4 months.


We've been rolling since New Years. Lots of West Texas work and things are definitely looking up all over.
Posted by iAmBatman
The Batcave
Member since Mar 2011
12382 posts
Posted on 5/3/17 at 3:10 pm to
We seem to be doing just fine
This post was edited on 5/3/17 at 3:10 pm
Posted by islandtiger
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2012
1787 posts
Posted on 5/3/17 at 3:11 pm to
quote:

Trump's bringing coal back.


He has no ability to "bring coal back" nor does he have control over global oil prices (short of starting WWIII). He likes to think he has more control than he really does. Kind of fun to watch him get frustrated when he snaps his fingers and nobody responds!
Posted by Masterag
'Round Dallas
Member since Sep 2014
18854 posts
Posted on 5/3/17 at 3:11 pm to
quote:

These baws need to support the oil baws when economy is down.



interesting how everyone becomes a liberal when they're broke, but couldn't give two shits about anyone else when you're holding the cards
Posted by redstick13
Lower Saxony
Member since Feb 2007
38712 posts
Posted on 5/3/17 at 3:12 pm to
There's too much supply. We saw a small uptick in activity in Q2 and expect it to basically stay flat rest of 2017. Only small growth in 2018 with the industry somewhat stabilizing. Expect it to stay this way for 2-3 years. Better get accustomed to the status quo.
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