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Does LSU even make the field of 64?

Posted on 4/8/26 at 6:46 am
Posted by pitchandcatch27
Huntsville,AL
Member since Jul 2018
4326 posts
Posted on 4/8/26 at 6:46 am
NC
Posted by mdomingue
Lafayette, LA
Member since Nov 2010
46408 posts
Posted on 4/8/26 at 6:51 am to
quote:

NC


National Championship? No Chance? No care? Noncomittal? Not conscious? Not concerned? Noncompliance?
Posted by hashtag
Comfy, AF
Member since Aug 2005
33454 posts
Posted on 4/8/26 at 6:55 am to
Keep winning SEC series and easily, yes.
Posted by Big4SALTbro
Member since Jun 2019
24076 posts
Posted on 4/8/26 at 7:08 am to
15-15 sec record or better yes

Probably could do 14-16 but these midweek losses aren’t helping.

12-18 no way
Posted by vidtiger23
Member since Feb 2012
9393 posts
Posted on 4/8/26 at 7:09 am to
Hard to say without knowing how we do in the weekend series. 14 is probably the number we need to reach
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
177028 posts
Posted on 4/8/26 at 7:13 am to
RPI is in the tank with 5 quad 4 losses. They had 2 last season. Warren Nolan says even if they go 16-14 in the SEC their RPI will only be 43.

They’ll make the tournament if they win enough SEC games, but like I Love Lucy said, California here we come.
This post was edited on 4/8/26 at 7:18 am
Posted by Pelican fan99
Lafayette, Louisiana
Member since Jun 2013
39477 posts
Posted on 4/8/26 at 7:19 am to
They should but it's far from a lock they will have to play well down the stretch and really need to sweep poo USC
Posted by schwabbie28
United States
Member since Apr 2006
324 posts
Posted on 4/8/26 at 7:24 am to
In what sport?
Posted by Tiger Ryno
#WoF
Member since Feb 2007
108179 posts
Posted on 4/8/26 at 7:30 am to
Doubtful without a major uptick in SEC wins.
Posted by mdomingue
Lafayette, LA
Member since Nov 2010
46408 posts
Posted on 4/8/26 at 7:48 am to
quote:

RPI is in the tank with 5 quad 4 losses. They had 2 last season. Warren Nolan says even if they go 16-14 in the SEC their RPI will only be 43.

They’ll make the tournament if they win enough SEC games, but like I Love Lucy said, California here we come.



The Predicted Team Sheets on Warren Nolan has us getting swept at Georgia (Q1, the best kind of losses to have), Sweeping SoCar (Q4, the worst kinds of wins to have), losing the series at Moo State (Q1), winning all our midweek games and the series at Ole Miss (Q1), vs Kentucky (Q1), and vs aTm (Q1).



If we can pick up one game at Georgia or Moo State, we'll be a bit higher. If we drop another midweek game or any of the series we are supposed to win, it could be very iffy. Being the reigning champ has gotten teams some consideration historically, but not as much in the last several years as in the past.

edited to correct the source of the image.
This post was edited on 4/8/26 at 8:09 am
Posted by GeauxPanthers2
Fort Lauderdale, FL
Member since Dec 2024
2015 posts
Posted on 4/8/26 at 7:51 am to
The fact that a 16-14 SEC record would only have us in the 40's in RPI shows losing all of these midweek games does in fact matter.

A lot of people keep saying if we go 15-15 in conference we are a shoe-in. I am not sure that's the case based on the numbers presented in this thread.
Posted by tigerfoot
Alexandria
Member since Sep 2006
61332 posts
Posted on 4/8/26 at 7:58 am to
Unfortunately we have dug ourselves a huge hole. I imagine 14 SEC wins will sneak us in. But 8 more wins on this schedule will require some really good baseball coming in. We need to capitalize this week and against SC. Aggie, State, and UGA will be tough to get more than 3-4 wins, so we need at a minimum two series wins against Ole Miss and SC
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
50275 posts
Posted on 4/8/26 at 8:04 am to
quote:

quote:
NC


National Championship? No Chance? No care? Noncomittal? Not conscious? Not concerned? Noncompliance?

He's saying he's a normous count, just getting it out of the way quickly in his OP.
Posted by notbilly
alter
Member since Sep 2015
7036 posts
Posted on 4/8/26 at 8:07 am to
quote:

quote:

NC



National Championship? No Chance? No care? Noncomittal? Not conscious? Not concerned? Noncompliance?


I think he was saying he has No Cock. Odd thing to admit on here though.
Posted by mdomingue
Lafayette, LA
Member since Nov 2010
46408 posts
Posted on 4/8/26 at 8:08 am to
quote:

The fact that a 16-14 SEC record would only have us in the 40's in RPI shows losing all of these midweek games does in fact matter.

A lot of people keep saying if we go 15-15 in conference we are a shoe-in. I am not sure that's the case based on the numbers presented in this thread.



Depends on who that loss is to; if it's a game to South Carolina, it will hurt. Actually, the South Carolina series will hurt our RPI regardless. Even winning Quad 4 games can drop your RPI.
Posted by pgaddxn
between here and there
Member since Jul 2008
1236 posts
Posted on 4/8/26 at 8:13 am to
I think with a 15-15 record in the sec we get in no matter what. I don’t think anyone would keep us out at that point. We probably don’t host but we are definitely in.
Posted by vidtiger23
Member since Feb 2012
9393 posts
Posted on 4/8/26 at 8:15 am to
quote:

Doubtful without a major uptick in SEC wins.

Wrong. We stay on the same winning percentage for the rest of the season and we are in
Posted by Kool Kaliper
Mansfield, TX
Member since Nov 2018
3599 posts
Posted on 4/8/26 at 8:18 am to
I think we make it based off LSU history.
Posted by Big4SALTbro
Member since Jun 2019
24076 posts
Posted on 4/8/26 at 8:19 am to
Feel like we would need 18 to be in host conversation or 2 seed at weak east coast spot.

Unless we go on a 08 type run, national seed is probably dead already. The good news is the curse of being paired with LSU is alive so we could host a super after being a 2
Posted by thunderbird1100
GSU Eagles fan
Member since Oct 2007
72180 posts
Posted on 4/8/26 at 8:19 am to
quote:

I think with a 15-15 record in the sec we get in no matter what. I don’t think anyone would keep us out at that point. We probably don’t host but we are definitely in.



Agree, it would be pretty difficult to miss the NCAAT at 15-15 in conference play; I think there's a way it COULD happen, but would require something crazy like going 1-3 or 0-4 in the rest of our mid-week games and not winning an SECT game probably.

More interesting thing is 14-16 SEC teams dont get left out the tournament, but I think there's a very realistic scenario if we finished 14-16 we could get left out if we lost 1-2 more mid-week games and poor SECT performance potentially with how bad the RPI could look.

What a lot of people dont understand what makes this season unique for us is we already have 5 Q4 losses, which we've never had more than than 2 in any COMPLETE season the 5 previous years. This is really whats destroyed our RPI to this point. We saw after losing our 5th last night our RPI dropped from 70 to 75. Those games can really hurt you bad if you lose.
This post was edited on 4/8/26 at 8:21 am
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