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Has any QB drafted "on potential" every panned out? AR15, Levis, etc
Posted on 12/15/24 at 2:27 pm
Posted on 12/15/24 at 2:27 pm
If you look at Anthony Richardson's college stats, they are pretty bad 53% completion rate. Same for Will Levis, 2400 yards, 10 interceptions. Not horrible, but definitely not 1st or 2nd round stats. They are both now bottom of the NFL QBs.
Now take Joe Burrow and Jayden. Jayden set an all time FBS record for passer rating, 208, and I believe YPA, 11.6 against a Top 5 SOS. Burrow had absurd stats at LSU. And look at them now, both top 5 QBs. Burrow for sure is.
I'm a big advocate of how they perform in college relative to SOS is very likely how they perform in the NFL. Not always, but just never hear of a 50% same amount of TD as INTs in college become a hall of famer.
Now take Joe Burrow and Jayden. Jayden set an all time FBS record for passer rating, 208, and I believe YPA, 11.6 against a Top 5 SOS. Burrow had absurd stats at LSU. And look at them now, both top 5 QBs. Burrow for sure is.
I'm a big advocate of how they perform in college relative to SOS is very likely how they perform in the NFL. Not always, but just never hear of a 50% same amount of TD as INTs in college become a hall of famer.
This post was edited on 12/15/24 at 2:29 pm
26
Posted on 12/15/24 at 2:29 pm to Saunson69
Josh Allen
But the list is short
But the list is short
Posted on 12/15/24 at 2:30 pm to Saunson69
Josh Allen. He had a good career at Wyoming, but he was drafted so high purely off his measurables and not from some great college career.
Posted on 12/15/24 at 2:31 pm to metallica81788
That's the first one I thought of. I thought he would be a failure due to accuracy issues.
Posted on 12/15/24 at 2:33 pm to Saunson69
Josh Allen. Patrick Mahomes. Lamar Jackson.
quote:Tom Brady was very mid in college
I'm a big advocate of how they perform in college relative to SOS is very likely how they perform in the NFL.
Posted on 12/15/24 at 2:34 pm to Saunson69
quote:
I'm a big advocate of how they perform in college relative to SOS is very likely how they perform in the NFL.
Tom Brady
Brett Favre wasn't great in college either
This post was edited on 12/15/24 at 2:37 pm
Posted on 12/15/24 at 2:37 pm to Saunson69
Josh allen?
Posted on 12/15/24 at 2:38 pm to saintsfan22
quote:
Patrick Mahomes.
Threw for a million yards and won a good amount of games at Texas Tech
quote:
Lamar Jackson.
Won the heisman and had Louisville in the national championship conversation
quote:
Tom Brady was very mid in college
And taken at the end of the draft
quote:
I'm a big advocate of how they perform in college relative to SOS is very likely how they perform in the NFL.
It’s seemingly a crapshoot either way, but the guys that sucked in college surprisingly always suck in the NFL too. Why these teams continue to draft those guys so high is beyond me.
This post was edited on 12/15/24 at 2:40 pm
Posted on 12/15/24 at 2:40 pm to saintsfan22
quote:
Patrick Mahomes
Led NCAA in yards and TDs. Obviously Tech has produced some high power offenses in the recent past. But he didn’t come out of nowhere.
quote:
Lamar Jackson.
Produced in college, obviously. Also was the last pick of the first round (compared to Richardson who did little in college and went 4th).
This post was edited on 12/15/24 at 2:42 pm
Posted on 12/15/24 at 2:44 pm to Saunson69
Randall Cunningham
Brett Favre
Donovan McNab
Aaron Rodgers
Jay Cutler
Andy Dalton
Brett Favre
Donovan McNab
Aaron Rodgers
Jay Cutler
Andy Dalton
Posted on 12/15/24 at 2:47 pm to KosmoCramer
quote:
Aaron Rodgers
quote:
Donovan McNab
McNab was awesome in college
quote:
Aaron Rodgers
Was very good in college
quote:
Jay Cutler
Was very good in college
quote:
Andy Dalton
Was very good in college
Posted on 12/15/24 at 3:06 pm to OleVaught14
quote:
Josh Allen. He had a good career at Wyoming
his stats at Wyoming were mediocre to bad.
Posted on 12/15/24 at 3:13 pm to Saunson69
quote:
Now take Joe Burrow and Jayden.
#1 and #2 overall picks.
You're comparing apples to oranges here for the most part.
quote:
I'm a big advocate of how they perform in college relative to SOS is very likely how they perform in the NFL
Sure. You're making a thread about the tier of QBs picked AFTER the guys you love are picked.
Posted on 12/15/24 at 3:15 pm to saintsfan22
quote:Lol what?
Lamar Jackson.
Posted on 12/15/24 at 3:23 pm to Ostrich
Brady doesn't really apply here. He was, at best, drafted as a backup. As late as he was, he was more likely just a camp arm. And his measurable were...not impressive
Posted on 12/15/24 at 3:24 pm to Saunson69
Joe Flacco. Dude played at like Delaware. Won a Super Bowl and is still in the league doing decently as of last season
Posted on 12/15/24 at 3:26 pm to BeachDude022
One thing brady had was BALLS. You can measure a lot of things at the combine but you cant measure the size of a mans balls.
Posted on 12/15/24 at 3:28 pm to SlowFlowPro
quote:
Sure. You're making a thread about the tier of QBs picked AFTER the guys you love are picked.
Richardson was taken 4th overall
quote:
Joe Flacco. Dude played at like Delaware
And threw for over 4k yards in his last season
This post was edited on 12/15/24 at 3:30 pm
Posted on 12/15/24 at 3:29 pm to Saunson69
I think a lot of times the teams just have to make business decisions and draft these guys because no better options appear to exist, then send them out there and make the best and the NFL media plays along because there isn't much else they can do.
So we get sold on potential while the GM and team are just accepting awful QB play for a few years.
So we get sold on potential while the GM and team are just accepting awful QB play for a few years.
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