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re: Why do folks on here feel good about midterms? Odds related

Posted on 10/9/26 at 11:39 pm to
Posted by davyjones
NELA
Member since Feb 2019
38185 posts
Posted on 10/9/26 at 11:39 pm to
Also the same exact shite the exact same overly vocal minority was crowing about in the lead up to the 2024 election. And guess what? It was precisely them and their sort who chased off all those voters who wound up with Trump.
Posted by Powerman
Member since Jan 2004
176686 posts
Posted on 10/9/26 at 11:41 pm to
quote:

Also the same exact shite the exact same overly vocal minority was crowing about in the lead up to the 2024 election. And guess what? It was precisely them and their sort who chased off all those voters who wound up with Trump.

The final real clear politics polling average had Trump with a slight lead over Harris.

Again...you do know that you can look this up right?
Posted by DeBoar
Member since Jan 2024
6942 posts
Posted on 10/9/26 at 11:43 pm to
Nobody expected him to win the popular vote
Posted by BeeFense5
Kenner
Member since Jul 2010
43202 posts
Posted on 10/9/26 at 11:44 pm to
Davyjones lives in an alternate universe
Posted by davyjones
NELA
Member since Feb 2019
38185 posts
Posted on 10/9/26 at 11:50 pm to
You found one poll that was so late in the game that it had no choice but to try and save its reputation in the moment?

And also you’re inviting me to participate in backfilling your embarrassing effort to backfill yet another really bad fit over Donald Trump?
Posted by davyjones
NELA
Member since Feb 2019
38185 posts
Posted on 10/9/26 at 11:53 pm to
It’s nearly impossible for me, personally, to figure out how to dumb myself down enough to e-fight with a limit of 6 or 7 words at a time. I have no choice but to admit you own the lowbrow game.
Posted by davyjones
NELA
Member since Feb 2019
38185 posts
Posted on 10/9/26 at 11:56 pm to
Nobody expected him to clean up on the most key swing states like he did either. But muh historically unpopular President!!
Posted by MizzouBS
Missouri
Member since Dec 2014
6930 posts
Posted on 10/10/26 at 12:03 am to
Where I live in Missouri we share local tv and news with Kansas and Northwest Oklahoma. Friday night high school football highlights show scores from all 3 states. During election years we see ads from all 3 states. In the Senate race in Kansas it’s probably been 4 to 1 adds for the Democrat Adam Hamilton. They are good ads focused on GOP Senator Roger Marshall. They aren’t focused on Trump, but on Marshall’s past as a doctor and his voting records. Marshal’s ads are basic ads fighting against Pelosi or against Hamilton’s church. Hamilton is the pastor of a Methodist mega church.

A Democrat PAC bought $5 million worth of TV and digital media ads to start tomorrow until Election Day. Every Prime, YouTube TV, and whatever streaming service that has ads will be full of attack ads against Marshall.

Marshall will probably win, but I wouldn’t be surprised if Hamilton upsets Marshall.

A large turnout in the Kansas City Metro might decide the outcome.
This post was edited on 10/10/26 at 12:14 am
Posted by SnacknGold06
Member since Oct 2025
234 posts
Posted on 10/10/26 at 12:17 am to
Trump’s approval is in the 30s, gas prices are elevated due to another Middle East war of choice, and grocery costs continue to rise. The GOP will be slaughtered in a month. Independents vote their wallet and that’s enough to swing these elections towards the donkey side.

People that don’t see that have blinders on. Why else would the reps be dumping money in otherwise safe states like TX, KS, IA? They’re trying to prevent a 53-47 scenario. Fetterman will flip but 52 screws them in Congress.
Posted by davyjones
NELA
Member since Feb 2019
38185 posts
Posted on 10/10/26 at 12:23 am to
Blinders? Try not to forget, none of us has the ability to foretell the future, so just the look of someone being so overly confident that they know precisely what’s going to happen, and on top of that might not think much of those who don’t share that same belief in the guarantee, well, is that not a bad look??
Posted by Branson
Member since Dec 2023
643 posts
Posted on 10/10/26 at 7:42 am to
quote:

People that don’t see that have blinders on. 


No people that don't see this are not paid propagandists doomers trying to bring this country down. I completely understand the 2 party system sucks but it's all we have at the moment. If someone calls themselves independent and can't see the contrast of ideologies in these elections, then maybe they are not so independent.
Posted by MizzouBS
Missouri
Member since Dec 2014
6930 posts
Posted on 10/10/26 at 8:13 am to
quote:

I completely understand the 2 party system sucks but it's all we have at the moment. If someone calls themselves independent and can't see the contrast of ideologies in these elections, then maybe they are not so independent.


One of the main problems is primaries. Voters should have the option to vote for who they want. Instead they have to choose between a Republican ballot or a Democrat ballot. This can cause far left or far right candidates to get on the ballot. The top 2 candidates should be on the fall ballot. In some states this might mean 2 republicans or 2 democrats on on the November ballot.
This post was edited on 10/10/26 at 8:20 am
Posted by Timeoday
Easter Island
Member since Aug 2020
27947 posts
Posted on 10/11/26 at 6:19 pm to
When I tell you a crow will frig a buzzard, believe me because I would hate to see you have to lay out in the road and play dead.

Posted by djmed
Member since Aug 2020
4415 posts
Posted on 10/11/26 at 8:01 pm to
All about turnout. if normal people go vote reps win
Posted by davyjones
NELA
Member since Feb 2019
38185 posts
Posted on 10/11/26 at 8:11 pm to
End of story. This vocal minority we witness here day in and day out is nowhere near an accurate representation of the aforementioned normal people.
Posted by OWLFAN86
Arrogant Dickweed
Member since Jun 2004
199740 posts
Posted on 10/11/26 at 8:16 pm to
I think theres a good chance, in this case the silent majority of this board's readership are staying silent about the general frustration with the MAGA'tards on this board and the embarrassing groupthink mentality displayed by the absolutism of the water-headed simpletons.

Posted by DeBoar
Member since Jan 2024
6942 posts
Posted on 10/11/26 at 8:18 pm to
It’s quite loud with the same tards who are always saying maga is gonna lose.
Posted by OWLFAN86
Arrogant Dickweed
Member since Jun 2004
199740 posts
Posted on 10/11/26 at 8:21 pm to
like who ?

I've only stated paxton's gonna lose; I've not commented on any other race
Posted by davyjones
NELA
Member since Feb 2019
38185 posts
Posted on 10/11/26 at 8:29 pm to
Well great job then, you’ve managed to demonstrate precisely why you’re one of the most vocal members of the vocal minority whose lack of self awareness and relentless foolishness has caused the silent majority amongst us to be even more silent.
Posted by OWLFAN86
Arrogant Dickweed
Member since Jun 2004
199740 posts
Posted on 10/11/26 at 8:31 pm to
Odd I don't ever remember you shutting up
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