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re: Why do folks on here feel good about midterms? Odds related

Posted on 10/11/26 at 8:32 pm to
Posted by davyjones
NELA
Member since Feb 2019
38185 posts
Posted on 10/11/26 at 8:32 pm to
Of course you don’t, you’re too busy researching how to be wrong about everything.
Posted by OWLFAN86
Arrogant Dickweed
Member since Jun 2004
199740 posts
Posted on 10/11/26 at 8:36 pm to
Whereas for you it just comes natural
Posted by OWLFAN86
Arrogant Dickweed
Member since Jun 2004
199740 posts
Posted on 10/11/26 at 9:41 pm to
that shut you up
Posted by Sams Crow
Idaho
Member since Apr 2026
1083 posts
Posted on 10/11/26 at 9:43 pm to
quote:

You realize that if you flipped a little over 100,000 votes between Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania and Harris would’ve won in 2024, right?

You didnt factor in the dem cheat.
Posted by davyjones
NELA
Member since Feb 2019
38185 posts
Posted on 10/11/26 at 9:49 pm to
You’re so addicted to being wrong that you’re setting me up to be forced to make you wrong, again. Main lining wronghood. shite’s bad for you, ya know. Wait I said that incorrectly myself. It’s good for you I meant.
Posted by OWLFAN86
Arrogant Dickweed
Member since Jun 2004
199740 posts
Posted on 10/11/26 at 9:53 pm to
And what have I been wrong about exactly?


And if you want to say the Texas Senate race well, you've been arguing all along that none of us can say what's going to happen because it hasn't happened yet

So again what have I been wrong about?
This post was edited on 10/11/26 at 9:55 pm
Posted by davyjones
NELA
Member since Feb 2019
38185 posts
Posted on 10/11/26 at 10:05 pm to
Well in that instance you were and still are wrong in continuing to insist that Paxton will not win, or any of the other ways you put it. Yep, even despite your random mention or two in passing that it’s “only a prediction.”

So there’s one just right there, and you gave me that one.
Posted by OWLFAN86
Arrogant Dickweed
Member since Jun 2004
199740 posts
Posted on 10/11/26 at 10:07 pm to
But I'm right, and I will be proven right in three weeks

So I'm
quote:

right
ahead of the curve, which makes me even more right
Posted by davyjones
NELA
Member since Feb 2019
38185 posts
Posted on 10/11/26 at 10:09 pm to
Wrong five times in a single post, and short one at that.
Posted by OWLFAN86
Arrogant Dickweed
Member since Jun 2004
199740 posts
Posted on 10/11/26 at 10:11 pm to
Enumerate one wrong in that post


And remember, since we don't know the future, you cannot say with certainty that I'm wrong. I am saying with certainty that I'm right; I have that much confidence in my ability
Posted by hoopde
Member since Sep 2026
284 posts
Posted on 10/12/26 at 6:32 am to
quote:

Outstanding. 58 GOP Senators and 231 GOP Congressmen at a minimum.


The delusion is so strong here.
Posted by Victor R Franko
Member since Dec 2021
5173 posts
Posted on 10/12/26 at 6:41 am to
Polymarkets are an oversampling of young people. Also need to examine if those numbers are based on money wagered, or number of wagers, or some combination/average. Simplistic just to look at just the visual of what the link shows.

“If you are not a liberal at 25, you have no heart. If you are not a conservative at 35, you have no brain.”


quote:

The average age of a Kalshi user is 33, according to platform leadership. While specific average age data for Polymarket is not explicitly stated in the provided search results, analysts note that 18- to 20-year-olds are a significant driver of growth in the prediction market sector, filling a gap for those too young for traditional sports betting.
This post was edited on 10/12/26 at 6:47 am
Posted by cssamerican
Member since Mar 2011
8290 posts
Posted on 10/12/26 at 6:43 am to
People here routinely underestimate how stupid the average American voter is. It’s hard to understand why, given that the evidence is everywhere:
• Queers for Palestine
• “Speech is violence”
• Almost any transgender issue
• “Reproductive healthcare”
• “Tax the rich”
• “The Jews did it”
The list goes on. We live in a country full of delusional people who keep proving it, so I’m no longer surprised by how they vote.
Posted by Timeoday
Easter Island
Member since Aug 2020
27947 posts
Posted on 10/12/26 at 8:20 am to
quote:

The delusion is so strong here.


Deep down inside you be scarit'.
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