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re: Why do folks on here feel good about midterms? Odds related
Posted on 10/9/26 at 9:18 pm to davyjones
Posted on 10/9/26 at 9:18 pm to davyjones
quote:
Did you notice how not only did Trump win the Presidency back in 2024, but how definitively did he do so?
You realize that if you flipped a little over 100,000 votes between Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania and Harris would’ve won in 2024, right?
Posted on 10/9/26 at 9:21 pm to VOLhalla
Did the wine moms and soccer moms sink Trump, as was the uber-confident prediction? Or was it that not only did that not happen, but they actually broke for Trump, at least that’s the reasonable explanation, relative to what was being gleefully predicted by the vocal minority here.
Posted on 10/9/26 at 9:26 pm to GeauxLaneTrain
The house is gone, been gone for a while now. Any mfer on here saying otherwise is a bot or a bitch. Ban bet for life on that still open. You almost can’t bet on it, as it’s at 91%.
The Senate is close but Libtards have the advantage.
A lot of people here don’t trust polls as Trump typically under polls, particularly against HRC (but everyone hated her) but it is not just a polls or trends, it’s all them,
The Senate is close but Libtards have the advantage.
A lot of people here don’t trust polls as Trump typically under polls, particularly against HRC (but everyone hated her) but it is not just a polls or trends, it’s all them,
Posted on 10/9/26 at 9:27 pm to davyjones
quote:
Did the wine moms and soccer moms sink Trump, as was the uber-confident prediction?
Polls had Trump winning in 2024 . . .
You seem to be confusing 2024 and 2016
Posted on 10/9/26 at 9:28 pm to VOLhalla
Lol no
Posted on 10/9/26 at 9:29 pm to VOLhalla
And cool dodge of the specific point about soccer and wine moms.
Posted on 10/9/26 at 9:30 pm to VOLhalla
Polls had Massie winning big. Didn’t happen
Posted on 10/9/26 at 9:30 pm to GeauxLaneTrain
Harris had a lead on polymarket over Trump on October 6, 2024.
Posted on 10/9/26 at 9:31 pm to GeauxLaneTrain
No one believes the liberal media or liberal polls....except dems....it has gotten ridiculous. Libs actually pay pollsters to slant.
Posted on 10/9/26 at 9:36 pm to GeauxLaneTrain
Because usually in normal elections it is REPUBLICANS vs. DEMOCRATS but this election is COMMUNISTS vs. AMERICANS
That's why. People have woken up.
That's why. People have woken up.
Posted on 10/9/26 at 10:37 pm to davyjones
You wrote up a lot here but I see where it’s going.
Do you think that independent vote that went Trump is going to show up this go round? Trump has done some good but frick man it’s tough out there for your average American. Add that to Trump’s childish antics, that’s a lot of middle of the road and RINO votes he’s abt to lose. MAGA (votes only who Trump endorses and nothing else) makes up about 33% of republican voters. It’s not crazy to think the middle of the road voting majority to sway Dem. It’s also not difficult to believe the RINO’s not showing up to the polls.
TRDL; GOP is going to have a lot of sit outs and independents will vote with their checkbook
Do you think that independent vote that went Trump is going to show up this go round? Trump has done some good but frick man it’s tough out there for your average American. Add that to Trump’s childish antics, that’s a lot of middle of the road and RINO votes he’s abt to lose. MAGA (votes only who Trump endorses and nothing else) makes up about 33% of republican voters. It’s not crazy to think the middle of the road voting majority to sway Dem. It’s also not difficult to believe the RINO’s not showing up to the polls.
TRDL; GOP is going to have a lot of sit outs and independents will vote with their checkbook
This post was edited on 10/9/26 at 11:26 pm
Posted on 10/9/26 at 10:44 pm to GeauxLaneTrain
I don’t feel good at all, there are a lot of uninformed, unintelligent voters who decide the fate of the nation.
Posted on 10/9/26 at 10:50 pm to Timeoday
quote:
Outstanding. 58 GOP Senators and 231 GOP Congressmen at a minimum.
It’s starting to look more and more like this might happen.
Posted on 10/9/26 at 11:06 pm to davyjones
quote:
Did you notice how not only did Trump win the Presidency back in 2024, but how definitively did he do so?
Nobody wins the presidential election any more. They lose it.
Trump didn't win in 2024, the public rejected Harris/Biden.
It's human nature to ignore what's right and only notice what's not, but unfortunately, society has moved so far in that psychological direction (due to the domination of populism) that hardly anybody votes for anything anymore, they just vote against stuff. The incumbent is always going to be at a disadvantage in that environment, especially a Republican incumbent.
As long as it stays this way, every election is going to be a referendum on the current administration. And as much as people on the right think it's not true because they exist in an echo chamber, the average person is still highly influenced by the legacy media.
Posted on 10/9/26 at 11:09 pm to davyjones
quote:
Lol no
The RCP averages were essentially even going into the election nationally
Trump won where he needed to win
There was no narrative that Harris was far ahead in the polls going into election day. If you think that, it's only because you imagined it.
Posted on 10/9/26 at 11:16 pm to wackatimesthree
The electorate rejected the Democrat Party right along with the candidates. It was a different, unusual, call it even unprecedented, just as it is now. Folks saw the worst of the Democrat Party, and not just that the then-existing administration had failed to produce but something way, way beyond that. Many voters, ones who were and are capable of eventually identifying and acknowledging ugly truths, that very important cross section finally identified and acknowledged how manipulated they had been by the left and they were offended. The right is nowhere near that openly and unabashedly offensive.
So the question becomes whether what the same critical “swing voters” have viewed anything done or not done by the right to be worse than that which chased them away from the left in the last election. My observation and belief is that the right certainly hasn’t surpassed the offensiveness of the left as was noted last time, and in fact if anything has gotten worse ie more offensive.
So while those voters may not be pleased with the right, has anything significant enough come about that would push them back to the left? IMO no.
So the question becomes whether what the same critical “swing voters” have viewed anything done or not done by the right to be worse than that which chased them away from the left in the last election. My observation and belief is that the right certainly hasn’t surpassed the offensiveness of the left as was noted last time, and in fact if anything has gotten worse ie more offensive.
So while those voters may not be pleased with the right, has anything significant enough come about that would push them back to the left? IMO no.
Posted on 10/9/26 at 11:19 pm to Powerman
Maybe you’re right and the rest of the country is wrong.
Classic revisionist history. No one’s going to believe your attempt at saying the widespread belief that Trump was going to be run out of town never happened. Efforts to cherry pick info here and there notwithstanding.
Classic revisionist history. No one’s going to believe your attempt at saying the widespread belief that Trump was going to be run out of town never happened. Efforts to cherry pick info here and there notwithstanding.
Posted on 10/9/26 at 11:21 pm to davyjones
What’s hilarious is that you think there isn’t a growing contingent of former Trump supporters that are tired of his bull shite. Crazy you can’t see that.
Posted on 10/9/26 at 11:35 pm to BeeFense5
People said the same thing after Jan 6th then he comes back and won the popular vote.
Posted on 10/9/26 at 11:38 pm to davyjones
quote:
Maybe you’re right and the rest of the country is wrong.
What sort of nonsense are you talking about?
quote:
Classic revisionist history. No one’s going to believe your attempt at saying the widespread belief that Trump was going to be run out of town never happened. Efforts to cherry pick info here and there notwithstanding.
The polling data did not suggest that Trump was going to get blown out by Harris close to the election. Several months out? Maybe. A week before the election there was no polling consensus that suggested Harris would have an easy victory.
Again, if that's the way you remember it, it's your imagination/memory playing tricks on you. You know you can look this stuff up right?
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