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re: What will Russia do if Ukraine re-takes Crimea?

Posted on 7/9/26 at 1:27 pm to
Posted by WestCoastAg
Member since Oct 2012
150722 posts
Posted on 7/9/26 at 1:27 pm to
quote:

They will send an Oreshnik to Germany or the U.K.
we even sure they can actually launch these bad boys?
Posted by boxcar willie
kenner
Member since Mar 2011
16196 posts
Posted on 7/9/26 at 1:30 pm to
quote:

People in Crimea would rather be Russian by the way.


then they should move to russia
Posted by No Colors
Sandbar
Member since Sep 2010
13661 posts
Posted on 7/9/26 at 1:40 pm to
quote:

they are so incredibly weak militarily that Russia risks occupation (the Western-European portion at least). China cannot save them, and I doubt they would even try.

You've got it backwards.

It was never Europe that threatened to occupy Western Russia.

And it's not that China won't come to their aid.

It's Eastern Russia that will get occupied.

And it's China that will do the occupation.

China let Russia walk into a trap with their No Limits Partnership. In effect signing off on their invasion of Ukraine.

If it's successful China gets more oil, gas, coal, and grain from warm water Ukrainian ports occupied by Russia. So that's a win.

If it's a failure then China gets a dramatically weaker Russia. That reduces the price of Nat Gas on the Power of Siberia line. And it makes Russia defenseless to a Chinese occupation of Siberia.

China wins either way. As usual.
Posted by VolSquatch
First Coast
Member since Sep 2023
8581 posts
Posted on 7/9/26 at 1:43 pm to
quote:

How will there ever be a peace deal, with or without Putin, that returns the Donbas and Crimea to Ukraine?

At some point Russia is going to have to admit it lost and was wrong.


You aren't really familiar with Russian history, are you?
Posted by texas tortilla
houston
Member since Dec 2015
4822 posts
Posted on 7/9/26 at 2:16 pm to
Russia will take Odessa and Kiev leaving a rump state. Once everything must come into Ukraine via train through Poland the Ukrainian nazis will be toast.
Posted by goatmilker
Castle Anthrax
Member since Feb 2009
76844 posts
Posted on 7/9/26 at 2:21 pm to
They ridin donkeys?
Posted by B747Tiger
Member since Jul 2026
382 posts
Posted on 7/9/26 at 2:45 pm to
quote:

Russia will take Odessa and Kiev leaving a rump state. Once everything must come into Ukraine via train through Poland the Ukrainian nazis will be toast.


Is this a serious post?
Posted by omegaman66
greenwell springs
Member since Oct 2007
27489 posts
Posted on 7/9/26 at 3:09 pm to
quote:

Somehow this has been the case according to yall for years now…..



Yet Z and Ukraine keep on trucking


So you disagree that Ukraine military has been degraded! Then how do you explain them not being able to shoot down a single missile in recent days? Not even their capital city!!!

How do you explain the divisions are running with personnel of sometimes only 30%.

Look I didn't come here to preach for or against Ukraine. But facts are facts and those facts are the same regardless of which side of this conflict you are on.

But the facts are that up until today, Russia has month over month increased the amount of land they occupy.

Ukraine has been losing ground, been losing personnel that they can not replace fast enough.

I am not a Russian fan boy, here to pump up russia or Putin. The do have problems in Crimea. But losing it to Ukraine isn't one of them. The issue from the Russian side of it is how vulnerable it is due to the difficulty in getting supplies to basically and island.

The question is not whether Russia can hold Crimea they question is how much pain can Ukraine inflict due to Russia holding it.

Russia will have to deal with internal issues due to the war. Public unrest as they grow tired of sacrificing with the end not yet in sight.

But from a physical stand point, russia is producing as much military hardware as they are using. Tanks, aircraft, armored transport are all being made at levels that prevent that from being an issue of the battle front.

Those are all facts. Pro Ukraine or pro Russia.
Posted by Rebel
Graceland
Member since Jan 2005
144534 posts
Posted on 7/9/26 at 3:12 pm to
I don’t think Russia is going to give up access to that warm water port. Isn’t the bulk of their navy stationed there?
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
132356 posts
Posted on 7/9/26 at 3:15 pm to
quote:

then they should move to russia


Crimea is russia

Note that obama allowed putin to have it
Posted by B747Tiger
Member since Jul 2026
382 posts
Posted on 7/9/26 at 3:18 pm to
quote:

I don’t think Russia is going to give up access to that warm water port. Isn’t the bulk of their navy stationed there?


I don’t think we’re there yet, but in 6 months to a year (assuming things to go poorly for Russia in the war) that a peace deal could be made where Crimea becomes an independent country but Russia retains its naval base there along with some of the land they’ve taken to remain Russian.
Posted by Camp Randall
The Shadow of the Valley of Death
Member since Nov 2005
17648 posts
Posted on 7/9/26 at 3:21 pm to
Oof our pro war Putin supporters aren’t gonna like this
Posted by doubleb
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2006
42944 posts
Posted on 7/9/26 at 4:02 pm to
quote:

I don’t think Russia is going to give up access to that warm water port. Isn’t the bulk of their navy stationed there?


Their navy isn’t stationed there anymore.
Posted by doubleb
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2006
42944 posts
Posted on 7/9/26 at 4:06 pm to
quote:

Look I didn't come here to preach for or against Ukraine. But facts are facts and those facts are the same regardless of which side of this conflict you are on.


Yes

quote:

But the facts are that up until today, Russia has month over month increased the amount of land they occupy.


Actually recent analysis indicates otherwise. Ukraine regained slightly more land than they lost.

quote:

I am not a Russian fan boy, here to pump up russia or Putin. The do have problems in Crimea. But losing it to Ukraine isn't one of them. The issue from the Russian side of it is how vulnerable it is due to the difficulty in getting supplies to basically and island.


Yes, and while Russia isn’t about to lose Crimea, they are having a tough time managing things there and elsewhere.
Posted by Jbird
Shoot the tires out!
Member since Oct 2012
92087 posts
Posted on 7/9/26 at 4:11 pm to
Retake with what?

They are in a stalemate.
Posted by ATrillionaire
Houston
Member since Sep 2008
3465 posts
Posted on 7/9/26 at 4:27 pm to
quote:

ukraine and to a lesser extent iran is proof that we need to have all hands on deck creating anti drone technologies that can fight cheap drone technology with cheap anti drone technology.

We're surrounded by water and two friendly nations.
Posted by ruffleforeskin
Member since Dec 2021
687 posts
Posted on 7/9/26 at 4:32 pm to
Lmao. Just like Ukraine was going to take back all their land in their laughable great summer 2023 offensive. You people are so damn delusional.
Posted by diat150
Louisiana
Member since Jun 2005
48126 posts
Posted on 7/9/26 at 4:33 pm to
quote:

We're surrounded by water and two friendly nations.


that means nothing.
Posted by NC_Tigah
Make Orwell Fiction Again
Member since Sep 2003
140624 posts
Posted on 7/9/26 at 4:36 pm to
quote:

What will Russia do if Ukraine re-takes Crimea?
Considering the wishes of Crimeans (which of course, you don't), Ukraine might well ask itself the same question in reverse ... What will Ukraine do if it finds itself holding the Crimean "wolf by the ears" ?
Posted by ATrillionaire
Houston
Member since Sep 2008
3465 posts
Posted on 7/9/26 at 5:28 pm to
quote:

Considering the wishes of Crimeans

Russia has transferred hundreds of thousands of Russian citizens to Crimea since it's annexation.
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