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re: What will Russia do if Ukraine re-takes Crimea?

Posted on 7/9/26 at 9:56 am to
Posted by SloaneRanger
Upper Hurstville
Member since Jan 2014
14181 posts
Posted on 7/9/26 at 9:56 am to
quote:

What are they going to nuke Kiev? Do you think the world, even Trump, is just gonna let that slide? All of the assets currently in Europe and the ME currently bombing Iran would start bombing the shite out of every Russian troop formation in Ukraine. Theres Europeans would join in too.


Dude, Russia has the largest nuclear arsenal in the world. If Russia is attacked as you described, every major European city could be incinerated with the quickness. You know, they used to call it mutual assured destruction (MAD) for a reason. This whole Ukraine thing is descending into madness. All for the most corrupt country on earth and its kleptomaniac dictator.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
481024 posts
Posted on 7/9/26 at 9:57 am to
quote:

This whole Ukraine thing is descending into madness. All for the most corrupt country on earth and its kleptomaniac dictator.

Yes Russia is a-hole and a terrible country run by a terrible, corrupt dictator working on behalf of a kleptocratic oligarchy.

That's why people have been shouting this since they invaded Ukraine
This post was edited on 7/9/26 at 9:58 am
Posted by NC_Tigah
Make Orwell Fiction Again
Member since Sep 2003
140624 posts
Posted on 7/9/26 at 10:03 am to
quote:

after the Russian-influenced shenanigans that led to Maidan in 2013-2014 caused complete chaos
Posted by Eurocat
Member since Apr 2004
17494 posts
Posted on 7/9/26 at 10:05 am to
quote:

People in Crimea would rather be Russian by the way.


Not true.

How did Crimea’s residents feel before the war?
My research shows that identity in Crimea was far more complex than a region with a Russian, or pro-Russian, majority. Few in Crimea identified as pro-Russian nationalists. In fact, only those I interviewed within pro-Russian parties and movements identified as such. Instead, many identified as ethnically Russian, but with few cultural or political ties to Russia. Many others identified as between Ukraine and Russia: as Crimean. Meanwhile, many younger people did not identify, ethnically, even as Russian speakers, rather they identified as Ukrainian citizens.

We know we had underestimated the strength of people’s political identification with Ukraine before Russia’s war against Ukraine. Equally, we underestimated Ukraine’s capacity to mobilise citizens. Crimea was considered particularly unlikely to be a region with a community identifying foremost as Ukrainian citizens. Yet, in Kin Majorities I explore how political identification with Ukraine was important for many in Crimea before annexation, especially younger people.

Illegal, pointless and undesirable: a common view of Russian citizenship pre-2014
My book also highlights the fact that Crimea was passportised by Russia after annexation and not before. We know there were pockets of Russian citizens in Sevastopol before annexation – primarily those connected to the military, or military pensioners. But, outside of these pockets, there is little evidence of en masse acquisition of Russian citizenship before 2014.

My research shows that it is likely that Crimea was not passportised by Russia prior to annexation because Crimea’s residents viewed Russian citizenship as inaccessible, undesirable, illegitimate, and illegal.

Only the minority in pro-Russian parties wanted Russian citizenship. They wanted it to provide leverage against Ukraine. But Russian citizenship was not accessible to them. It was illegal by Ukrainian law. And Russia did not seem to facilitate access to Russian citizenship in Crimea – even for those in pro-Russian parties.

Instead, most people I interviewed in Crimea saw Russian citizenship as illegal and pointless. Even if Russian citizenship had been accessible for them, it would still have been undesirable. Russian citizenship failed to offer much in the way of rights they needed or wanted. Instead, they respected Ukraine’s laws where dual citizenship was illegal.

Posted by B747Tiger
Member since Jul 2026
382 posts
Posted on 7/9/26 at 10:16 am to
quote:

Dude, Russia has the largest nuclear arsenal in the world. If Russia is attacked as you described, every major European city could be incinerated with the quickness. You know, they used to call it mutual assured destruction (MAD) for a reason. This whole Ukraine thing is descending into madness. All for the most corrupt country on earth and its kleptomaniac dictator.


Are you aware of what the word “Mutually” in MAD means?
Posted by FlySaint
FL Panhandle
Member since May 2018
2652 posts
Posted on 7/9/26 at 10:51 am to
Russia has largely left Kiev alone. If Crimea is truly threatened that will change.
Posted by tigeraddict
Baton Rouge
Member since Mar 2007
15060 posts
Posted on 7/9/26 at 11:13 am to
Ukraine is not taking Crimea. they are not crossing the Dniepur River, which is would need to happen first before trying to take Crimea.

could they make russia military presence in crimea untenable sure, they already made the Black sea fleet flee from Sevastopol to Novorossiysk.

they also moved fiters/bombers out of crimea as well....
Posted by JCdawg
Member since Sep 2014
9671 posts
Posted on 7/9/26 at 11:14 am to
Ukraine isn’t taking Crimea for fricks sake. What a dumb thread.
This post was edited on 7/9/26 at 11:35 am
Posted by AGGIES
Member since Jul 2021
12928 posts
Posted on 7/9/26 at 11:25 am to
quote:

Ukraine will need way more offensive capabilities than it currently has to take back Crimea


Ukraine isn’t going to plan an entire Crimea offensive right now. Ukraine is planning to cut off Crimea from Russian supply lines.
Posted by goatmilker
Castle Anthrax
Member since Feb 2009
76844 posts
Posted on 7/9/26 at 11:52 am to
I don't see the Ukes having the boots to take Crimea.
Can they make a deal to get it? Don't see that.

How will there ever be a peace deal, with or without Putin, that returns the Donbas and Crimea to Ukraine?

Don't see one without the other. I guess I don't see a end without a collapse of one of the combatants.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
481024 posts
Posted on 7/9/26 at 12:27 pm to
quote:

How will there ever be a peace deal, with or without Putin, that returns the Donbas and Crimea to Ukraine?

At some point Russia is going to have to admit it lost and was wrong.
Posted by CastleBravo
Rapid City, SD
Member since Sep 2013
2072 posts
Posted on 7/9/26 at 12:28 pm to
This whole thread as retarded as saying "Iran won".

And likely by the same people.
Posted by goatmilker
Castle Anthrax
Member since Feb 2009
76844 posts
Posted on 7/9/26 at 12:34 pm to
Did you laugh when you typed that cause you should have.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
481024 posts
Posted on 7/9/26 at 12:39 pm to
It's slightly less funny than the 3-day war going on over 1600 days
Posted by LsuNav
Sacramento
Member since Mar 2008
2271 posts
Posted on 7/9/26 at 12:40 pm to
Didn’t we just fight Iran to a draw? Limited warfare puts a superpower on more or less equal footing with a less powerful opponent. Vietnam, Korea, Afghanistan, Iraq and every war Israel fights with Hamas and Hezbollah are firm examples of this. Limited warfare is diplomacy with a missile. It isn’t very effective as that is not how war was meant to be fought.
Posted by B747Tiger
Member since Jul 2026
382 posts
Posted on 7/9/26 at 12:42 pm to
I won’t go as far as to say that Russia has lost yet. But they certainly winning. Their performance so far has been abysmal.

Trump sees the tide turning too which is why he supporting strikes deep inside Russia, licensing Patriot missile manufacturing for Ukraine and likely ramping up the amount intel sharing with Ukraine.

Can Ukraine physically take Ukraine? No, but they can make it costly for Russia to keep in the long run.
Posted by Adam Banks
District 5
Member since Sep 2009
38278 posts
Posted on 7/9/26 at 12:49 pm to
quote:

Sounds good but the opposite is what is happening. Ukraine is the country that is diverting recourses and on top of that they are out of missile defense weaponry. They have zero defense even in Kiev against incoming Russian military. Despite what you have been told, Ukrainian military is the military that is being degraded.






Somehow this has been the case according to yall for years now…..



Yet Z and Ukraine keep on trucking
Posted by texag7
College Station
Member since Apr 2014
41576 posts
Posted on 7/9/26 at 12:50 pm to
quote:

How much land area has Ukraine retaken in Crimea as of today? Don’t see that in your post


Have you figured this out yet OP?
Posted by Adam Banks
District 5
Member since Sep 2009
38278 posts
Posted on 7/9/26 at 12:52 pm to
quote:

It's slightly less funny than the 3-day war going on over 1600 days



Zelensky is a maniac fighting an unwinnable war and forcing his people to die for nothing!!!1!1!1!111!!! He should just give up!!
Posted by LARancher1991
Baton Rouge
Member since Jul 2015
2339 posts
Posted on 7/9/26 at 1:20 pm to
So you are saying Ukraine takes back Crimea with an uprising by citizens within it?
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