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re: Tracking the Presidential Election race: 8/11 update - Harris Leading

Posted on 8/7/24 at 9:30 am to
Posted by SDVTiger
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
94240 posts
Posted on 8/7/24 at 9:30 am to
quote:

Misuse of the word ironic. It amazes me how people can get it so wrong.


Lc14 is a real.high iq poster
Posted by hogcard1964
Alabama
Member since Jan 2017
17756 posts
Posted on 8/7/24 at 9:32 am to
You're going to be very disappointed.
Posted by Mickey Goldmill
Baton Rouge
Member since Mar 2010
26370 posts
Posted on 8/7/24 at 9:33 am to
quote:

Democrats are not necessarily excited about Kamala. They are excited that they have a live body they can vote for. The Weekend at Bernie's routine for Biden was even too much for Democrat adjacent voters. In terms of breathing the juxtaposition between Kamala and Biden is pretty big and this excites a lot of apolitical and Democrat adjacent voters.


You are 100% correct here.
Posted by GumboPot
Member since Mar 2009
138911 posts
Posted on 8/7/24 at 9:33 am to
quote:

Even Nate silver has stated that due to EV breakdown that Dems need to take popular vote by at least 2.5%.



Interesting. I've been saying Harris needs 3% but I'm not the professional pollster like Nate Silver.
Posted by GumboPot
Member since Mar 2009
138911 posts
Posted on 8/7/24 at 9:34 am to
quote:

You are 100% correct here.


I was being hyperbolic in jest but I think it captures the point.
Posted by Jrv2damac
KS (mountain time)
Member since Mar 2004
72416 posts
Posted on 8/7/24 at 9:35 am to
This has been posted multiple times and they all ignore relevant information on purpose.
Posted by Bama Bird
Pittsburgh, PA
Member since Mar 2013
22756 posts
Posted on 8/7/24 at 9:36 am to
Clinton won PV by 2.1% with a D+4 turnout. Harris will need at least a 3% lead assuming turnout is closer to D+2 (D+1 in 2020)
Posted by Bandit1980
God's Country
Member since Nov 2019
4456 posts
Posted on 8/7/24 at 9:36 am to
BS...................she is not. But keep trying little person.
Posted by lionward2014
New Orleans
Member since Jul 2015
13556 posts
Posted on 8/7/24 at 9:40 am to
Trump needs to live in Georgia and Pennslyvania. Arizona and Wisconsin would be nice, but without them he still wins.

I think Arizona is close to going from light red to light blue and solid blue soon. Too many Californians and liberal Texans moving there.
Posted by SDVTiger
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
94240 posts
Posted on 8/7/24 at 9:41 am to
quote:

You are 100% correct here.


Damn you ppl are so pathetic
Posted by MilwaukeeKosherDills
Member since Aug 2021
483 posts
Posted on 8/7/24 at 9:55 am to
quote:

God damn when will you dumb fricks stop posting national polls vs battleground polls


While I agree the battleground polls are more indicative, the national polls do give us a trend indication so they are at least somewhat useful.

If I ran a polling company, I'd want my opinion polls to be as accurate as possible in order to deemed more credible and because of that be able to charge more for my information. That is simple capitalism. Polling organizations that consistently lean one way lose their credibility.
Posted by Dixie2023
Member since Mar 2023
4660 posts
Posted on 8/7/24 at 10:01 am to
Maybe he needs a tampon.
Posted by Scruffy
Kansas City
Member since Jul 2011
76603 posts
Posted on 8/7/24 at 10:02 am to
Posted by MemphisGuy
Germantown, TN
Member since Nov 2023
13822 posts
Posted on 8/7/24 at 10:03 am to
quote:

Democrats are not necessarily excited about Kamala. They are excited that they have a live body they can vote for. The Weekend at Bernie's routine for Biden was even too much for Democrat adjacent voters. In terms of breathing the juxtaposition between Kamala and Biden is pretty big and this excites a lot of apolitical and Democrat adjacent voters.


Pretty sad state of that party when you consider that when Biden DOES speak, even in his dementia riddled state, he's actually far more coherent and understandable than Kamala is when she speaks.
Posted by Old1937
Member since Jun 2024
1381 posts
Posted on 8/7/24 at 10:06 am to
show me a national poll that's not weighted for Democrats, Rasmussen is the only one.
Posted by financetiger
Member since Feb 2008
1849 posts
Posted on 8/7/24 at 10:06 am to
And get ready for those numbers to go up. Supposedly she has Taylor Swift and Beyoncé going to sing at the DNC. All the young black women love Beyoncé and the white ones love Taylor. They know exactly what they are doing. There are some young women that will vote for her strictly bc of this. Sad but true.
Posted by Scruffy
Kansas City
Member since Jul 2011
76603 posts
Posted on 8/7/24 at 10:07 am to
quote:

show me a national poll that's not weighted for Democrats, Rasmussen is the only one.
Rasmussen is generally +1 or 2 Democrat, which is more accurate.
Posted by Jake88
Member since Apr 2005
78348 posts
Posted on 8/7/24 at 10:09 am to
quote:

Lol, they are putting out these fake numbers to help make it believable when they fix the election for her
That's your defense mechanism. "If we lose, we were cheated!!!" I've got news for you, this country is a government dependent socialist wanna be state. The people are dopes who can't stand on their own. They will vote Santa Claus and that is Harris.
Posted by crazyatthecamp
Member since Nov 2006
2264 posts
Posted on 8/7/24 at 10:10 am to
True
Harris is in Wisconsin today and it's been publicized.
Apparently Vance is in WI too but it was publicized as well

Meanwhile Milwaukee has drop boxes ready to go and liberal Madison has many more per capita too.

Red areas?

We gotta step it up
Posted by Vacherie Saint
Member since Aug 2015
46403 posts
Posted on 8/7/24 at 10:14 am to
I'm married to a drama queen so I have a rare understanding of confounding psychological proclivities, but the gay exuberance of a never Trumper, every time the leftist agitprop media tells them his goose is cooked will always be a mystery to me.

Say what you will about Trump (and you'd be right most of the time), but how do you root for his demise against this particular Dem ticket and call yourself conservative or even moderate?
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