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re: Tracking the Presidential Election race: 8/11 update - Harris Leading

Posted on 8/7/24 at 8:35 am to
Posted by BBONDS25
Member since Mar 2008
57332 posts
Posted on 8/7/24 at 8:35 am to
Congrats?
Posted by L1C4
The Ville
Member since Aug 2017
16190 posts
Posted on 8/7/24 at 8:35 am to
quote:

Good grief you bots are so pathetic
An ironic statement coming from a bot.
Posted by ezride25
Constitutional Republic
Member since Nov 2008
26303 posts
Posted on 8/7/24 at 8:36 am to
____________ (insert name here) is leading trump in the polls.

Yesterday they wrote joe, today they write Kamala. I wonder who is going to be written in as leading the race by tomorrow over trump?

Whomever it is will have “momentum” and you’ll be “weird” if you don’t vote how they tell you to.

Muh democracy.


Posted by ArHog
Gulf Coast
Member since Jan 2008
38269 posts
Posted on 8/7/24 at 8:36 am to
Oh look, Jon Scam is back
Posted by Knight of Old
New Hampshire
Member since Jul 2007
12661 posts
Posted on 8/7/24 at 8:37 am to
Go back to your handlers…
Posted by GumboPot
Member since Mar 2009
138911 posts
Posted on 8/7/24 at 8:38 am to
quote:

While that electoral college map is based on the most recent polling from each state, the most recent polling is a little out of date. If new swing state polliing tracks in same direction as the national polling, expect the map to shift in Harris’ favor in the near future.



But you have crazy polling by Bloomberg where Kamala is +11 in Michigan and they have Trump +4 in PA.

The +11 for Kamala in MI is nuts and it skews the RCP MI trend for a few weeks.
Posted by oleheat
Sportsman's Paradise
Member since Mar 2007
14569 posts
Posted on 8/7/24 at 8:38 am to
Here's my prediction: There's an 80% chance that the left will carry out political violence post election when Harris loses- which she likely will, in the EC.
Both the media and the democratic party will cry foul- fanning the flames and blaming it on "dangerous rhetoric" and "Trump's threat to our democracy" rather than the vermin actually committing it.
So get ready for a long ride, no matter the outcome....

Those who live in the usual places had best prepare for it.
Posted by RAB
Member since Aug 2019
1629 posts
Posted on 8/7/24 at 8:39 am to
The Democratic ticket will continue to see slight increases in polling until after their convention. After Labor Day I fully expect things to settle down.
Posted by TheSadvocate
North Shore
Member since Aug 2020
4638 posts
Posted on 8/7/24 at 8:39 am to
k bro

Posted by BBONDS25
Member since Mar 2008
57332 posts
Posted on 8/7/24 at 8:42 am to
quote:

An ironic statement coming from a bot.


Misuse of the word ironic. It amazes me how people can get it so wrong.
Posted by AulderMagee
Dallas
Member since Mar 2024
3087 posts
Posted on 8/7/24 at 8:44 am to
quote:

Harris leading


lmao.

Do you even know which bathroom to use?
Posted by Old1937
Member since Jun 2024
1381 posts
Posted on 8/7/24 at 8:46 am to
What pisses me off is theres no truth any longer. RCP allows a poll that show Harris up 3 that interviewed 717 Democrats and 592 Republicans and Harris is up only three ? What Crap !
Posted by Hateradedrink
Member since May 2023
4045 posts
Posted on 8/7/24 at 8:50 am to
To re-emphasize, all Harris has to do is take off WI and PA while maintaining MI on this map.

Their campaign stops today are in WI and MI after starting in PA.

LINK

There is a very real chance of harris winning. The infrastructure in those states will facilitate dem ballot harvesting.

Trump campaign needs to focus on those three states as well. There’s really no point in campaigning anywhere else except maybe GA.
Posted by tigeraddict
Baton Rouge
Member since Mar 2007
14442 posts
Posted on 8/7/24 at 8:53 am to
Even Nate silver has stated that due to EV breakdown that Dems need to take popular vote by at least 2.5%.

Biden “won” 2020 by 4.4% and look how close 3 states were that mattered in EVs

And this is still just the honeymoon boost.
Posted by RockyMtnTigerWDE
War Damn Eagle Dad!
Member since Oct 2010
108325 posts
Posted on 8/7/24 at 8:58 am to
Axlerod is not so confident and says internal polling has not improved with Harris.
Posted by doubleb
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2006
41900 posts
Posted on 8/7/24 at 8:59 am to
Harris is likely the winner of the popular vote. Trump is doing pretty well to be this close.
Posted by oleheat
Sportsman's Paradise
Member since Mar 2007
14569 posts
Posted on 8/7/24 at 9:00 am to
quote:

Axlerod is not so confident and says internal polling has not improved with Harris.


Because he realizes she has yet to face anything resembling an actual question, at this point. They're coming.....
Posted by SlidellCajun
Slidell la
Member since May 2019
16100 posts
Posted on 8/7/24 at 9:01 am to
I really think trump is leading in the key swing states but it’s still close and that is really hard for me to believe with such horrible candidates on the left.

Kamala is a lightweight and Walz is a puss.

It’s really bizarro world
Posted by SirWinston
PNW
Member since Jul 2014
101975 posts
Posted on 8/7/24 at 9:01 am to
Mate did you see that the real Jon Hamm was on the comedians for Harris call?

Don Draper would have never
Posted by shoelessjoe
Member since Jul 2006
11204 posts
Posted on 8/7/24 at 9:13 am to
Be sure to update when Harris decides to match records with Trump. Also make sure it’s updated after she starts answering questions and talks policy. Honeymoon is over so these polls will change soon.
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