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re: The +3 Harris Iowa Poll - Are you guys insane?

Posted on 11/2/24 at 9:18 pm to
Posted by Scruffy
Kansas City
Member since Jul 2011
77268 posts
Posted on 11/2/24 at 9:18 pm to
quote:

If it was a fricking junk poll no one would care, but it’s not.
It is a suppression poll. That’s it.

It was paid for fluff.
quote:

It doesn’t have to be a catastrophe, it’s just interesting
The only interesting aspect is those, like you, who think it has value, although you aren’t willing to stand by it.

Again, if this poll is even within a margin of being accurate, Trump loses every single state.

That is how absolutely insane this poll is.
Posted by bamabonners
Alabama
Member since Nov 2015
5159 posts
Posted on 11/2/24 at 9:18 pm to
I keep saying it.... The polls are there to be the "data" when they steal this election again. I hate to be pessimistic. I just didn't see where anything changed to make sure elections are more secure.
This post was edited on 11/2/24 at 9:22 pm
Posted by cypher
Member since Sep 2014
5654 posts
Posted on 11/2/24 at 9:19 pm to
quote:


It doesn’t have to be a catastrophe, it’s just interesting


Especially if her methods were the same in her 2 previous polls.

June Trump +18

September Trump +4
Posted by Scruffy
Kansas City
Member since Jul 2011
77268 posts
Posted on 11/2/24 at 9:20 pm to
quote:

Nawlins isn't worth banning shite over. He is a jackass.
I don’t know about jackass, but he is clearly retarded.


Posted by OMLandshark
Member since Apr 2009
120445 posts
Posted on 11/2/24 at 9:20 pm to
(no message)
This post was edited on 5/13/26 at 6:13 pm
Posted by NawlinsTiger9
Where the mongooses roam
Member since Jan 2009
39665 posts
Posted on 11/2/24 at 9:20 pm to
quote:

Again, if this poll is even within a margin of being accurate, Trump loses every single state.


Just because you keep saying this doesn’t make it true

quote:

although you aren’t willing to stand by it.


I can acknowledge its possible value and still think she’s losing Iowa. Jesus dude
Posted by udtiger
Over your left shoulder
Member since Nov 2006
115462 posts
Posted on 11/2/24 at 9:21 pm to
quote:

They have zero critical thinking skills


some of us do...
Posted by OMLandshark
Member since Apr 2009
120445 posts
Posted on 11/2/24 at 9:21 pm to
(no message)
This post was edited on 5/13/26 at 6:13 pm
Posted by NawlinsTiger9
Where the mongooses roam
Member since Jan 2009
39665 posts
Posted on 11/2/24 at 9:22 pm to
quote:

I don’t know about jackass, but he is clearly retarded.


Alright man I gave you the benefit of the doubt because I like you but you’ve clearly let this election shite break you. Best of luck
Posted by fr33manator
Baton Rouge
Member since Oct 2010
134654 posts
Posted on 11/2/24 at 9:22 pm to
Don't even make that bet scruffy we need you

Learned Doctor and all
Posted by NawlinsTiger9
Where the mongooses roam
Member since Jan 2009
39665 posts
Posted on 11/2/24 at 9:23 pm to
Literally said she was still losing Iowa in that same post

My god yall are beyond help
Posted by Scruffy
Kansas City
Member since Jul 2011
77268 posts
Posted on 11/2/24 at 9:24 pm to
quote:

Just because you keep saying this doesn’t make it true
It was a larger margin of victory than Texas and Florida.

If a state that was so heavily in Trump’s pocket in 2020 switched to being close to Harris, even, or marginally Trump, then Texas and Florida, which both had half of the spread, wouldn’t stand a chance, let alone PA, WI, MI, VA, NC.



Do you actually read what you post?
quote:

can acknowledge its possible value and still think she’s losing Iowa. Jesus dude
It isn’t a matter of just losing.

It is the point spread.

If you think Trump has lost that degree of support in Iowa, of all places, the election doesn’t even need to occur at all.

Harris will win every state.

That is how insane that poll actually is.
This post was edited on 11/2/24 at 9:26 pm
Posted by Bunta
Member since Oct 2007
12700 posts
Posted on 11/2/24 at 9:25 pm to
It’s getting as much attention as it is because it’s so fricking ludicrous
Posted by Fat Bastard
alter hunter
Member since Mar 2009
91100 posts
Posted on 11/2/24 at 9:25 pm to
(no message)
This post was edited on 11/3/24 at 9:31 am
Posted by Sofaking2
Member since Apr 2023
21262 posts
Posted on 11/2/24 at 9:26 pm to
quote:

Nobody was talking Iowa before this poll. Hell, I don’t know if Harris has even been to Iowa. If her internals thought she could win Iowa, Harris would be in Iowa. This poll is an outlier.

This lady Selzer is going to have egg on her face after this election.
Posted by Scruffy
Kansas City
Member since Jul 2011
77268 posts
Posted on 11/2/24 at 9:27 pm to
quote:

Alright man I gave you the benefit of the doubt because I like you but you’ve clearly let this election shite break you. Best of luck
Break me?

You’ve lost all critical thinking skills.

And I’m fricking pessimistic about this election.

I’m also not an idiot though.
This post was edited on 11/2/24 at 9:29 pm
Posted by Jwho77
cyperspace
Member since Sep 2003
84314 posts
Posted on 11/2/24 at 9:30 pm to
Posted by clamdip
Rocky Mountain High
Member since Sep 2004
21525 posts
Posted on 11/2/24 at 9:37 pm to
The future of Democracy at stake alright.
Posted by RohanGonzales
Pronoun: Whatever
Member since Apr 2024
10699 posts
Posted on 11/2/24 at 9:37 pm to
quote:


If it’s indicative of waning support in key demos for midwestern states and he *only* wins Iowa by 4-5 points, then he’s probably in trouble in the grand scheme

It’s an outlier from a very good pollster, it’s not gospel.

You seem to think it must be dead on accurate to be a useful data point and that just isn’t how to evaluate these things



The tune changes
Posted by SportTiger1
Stonewall, LA
Member since Feb 2007
29860 posts
Posted on 11/2/24 at 9:38 pm to
So every other state says Economy/inflation and Immigration are there top 2 issues? All 49 others states. We're talking, 100s of polls that have all agreed on that for the last year.

But Iowa....IOWA says their top 2 issues are Democracy and Abortion

That should eliminate all doubt this is highly skewed for the Harris campaign
This post was edited on 11/2/24 at 9:41 pm
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