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re: The +3 Harris Iowa Poll - Are you guys insane?

Posted on 11/3/24 at 12:02 am to
Posted by John Barron
The Mar-a-Lago Club
Member since Sep 2024
17101 posts
Posted on 11/3/24 at 12:02 am to
Donald Trump will win Iowa by 8-12 points guaranteed. He won it in 2020 by 8 points when it was a D +2 electorate. Now in 2024 it is a R +8 electorate. Emerson a A+ rated pollster has it Trump +10.5, that lines up with the early data vote that shows a 12 point shift to Republicans from 2020
Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
128843 posts
Posted on 11/3/24 at 9:03 am to
How did Iowa go in 2022? All Dem I’m assuming based on your hackneyed logic.
Posted by hogcard1964
Alabama
Member since Jan 2017
20008 posts
Posted on 11/3/24 at 9:05 am to
It's real.

...and the frikery is definitely happening.
Posted by wareagle7298
Birmingham
Member since Dec 2013
3666 posts
Posted on 11/3/24 at 9:11 am to
quote:

Iowa disproportionately white (swingy on abortion) and agricultural (hostile to tariffs).


The same tariff platform he has run on the past two elections?

As far as abortion - your logic makes no sense. You poll white women in Alabama and probably 75% are against abortion beyond 3 months.
Posted by Tiger2tiga
Member since Sep 2023
1424 posts
Posted on 11/3/24 at 9:14 am to
It is possible , President Obama did win Iowa
Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
128843 posts
Posted on 11/3/24 at 9:16 am to
Sure. If Obama was running, he might win Iowa. If Reagan was running, he would win Iowa.
Posted by TDTOM
Member since Jan 2021
25893 posts
Posted on 11/3/24 at 9:18 am to
Did you people read the crosstabs for this poll? If you read them and still think this poll is credible you need to seek help.
Posted by Tiger2tiga
Member since Sep 2023
1424 posts
Posted on 11/3/24 at 9:19 am to
Well it really doesn’t matter bc she will win the election with or without Iowa!
Posted by TDTOM
Member since Jan 2021
25893 posts
Posted on 11/3/24 at 9:20 am to
Nah.
Posted by oldskule
Down South
Member since Mar 2016
25322 posts
Posted on 11/3/24 at 9:25 am to
MSM pushing the vote out for the DEMs....that is all this is.
Posted by SportTiger1
Stonewall, LA
Member since Feb 2007
29860 posts
Posted on 11/3/24 at 9:30 am to
quote:

It is possible , President Obama did win Iowa
81% of the poll participants say they have never supported Trump.

67% are never-trumpers

You think that is even close to the Iowa electorate, considering he won 55% just 4 years ago?

This is a propaganda poll with the most obvious Democrat bias I've ever seen.
Posted by bdavids09
Member since Jun 2017
1513 posts
Posted on 11/3/24 at 9:32 am to
I have no idea. But we will find out in two days. If she is right then that’s impressive. But if she’s way off she will never be taken seriously ever again.
Posted by wareagle7298
Birmingham
Member since Dec 2013
3666 posts
Posted on 11/3/24 at 9:34 am to
quote:

81% of the poll participants say they have never supported Trump.

67% are never-trumpers


LOL what??? Is that true?

If that is the case, they performed their 'poll' on the Des Moines sub reddit at a 2AM on Monday.
Posted by Tiger2tiga
Member since Sep 2023
1424 posts
Posted on 11/3/24 at 9:35 am to
He won Iowa 4 years ago, but that was before he committed an insurrection. A lot of Iowans are patriotic.
Posted by Jbird
Shoot the tires out!
Member since Oct 2012
90762 posts
Posted on 11/3/24 at 9:35 am to
quote:

He won Iowa 4 years ago, but that was before he committed an insurrection. A lot of Iowans are patriotic.

Posted by Tiger2tiga
Member since Sep 2023
1424 posts
Posted on 11/3/24 at 9:35 am to
That man making up numbers. Tell him to link the information where he got it from
Posted by Sofaking2
Member since Apr 2023
21262 posts
Posted on 11/3/24 at 9:37 am to

Mostly peaceful protests burned police precincts. Lol
Posted by wareagle7298
Birmingham
Member since Dec 2013
3666 posts
Posted on 11/3/24 at 9:37 am to
quote:

He won Iowa 4 years ago, but that was before he committed an insurrection. A lot of Iowans are patriotic.




Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
128843 posts
Posted on 11/3/24 at 9:41 am to
quote:

He won Iowa 4 years ago, but that was before he committed an insurrection. A lot of Iowans are patriotic.


You’ve never been to Iowa if you think Iowa was bothered by J6.
Posted by SportTiger1
Stonewall, LA
Member since Feb 2007
29860 posts
Posted on 11/3/24 at 9:41 am to
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