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taking an alternative look at Virginia
Posted on 10/29/20 at 6:38 pm
Posted on 10/29/20 at 6:38 pm
what happens there if Trump gets 20% of the AA vote and 40% of the Hispanic?
does that pretty much neutralize the Beltway counties?
does that pretty much neutralize the Beltway counties?
Posted on 10/29/20 at 6:41 pm to vl100butch
If Trump loses Fla or TX or GA it is over because of he loses those States he will lose many others.
If Trump wins VA he wins in a landslide because he will 2qin all swing states.
If Trump wins VA he wins in a landslide because he will 2qin all swing states.
Posted on 10/29/20 at 6:42 pm to vl100butch
I think NOVA just needs to merge with DC and let them have those electoral votes, so the rest of the real Commonwealth can be red like it's intended to be.
Posted on 10/29/20 at 6:47 pm to vl100butch
quote:Friend, per the Swingometer, Trump would need 26% of the black vote and 40% of the Hispanic vote to win VA! Unbelievable it's that far gone!
what happens there if Trump gets 20% of the AA vote and 40% of the Hispanic?
Posted on 10/29/20 at 6:48 pm to bayoubengals88
But 13 and 35 gives him MI, PA, and WI!
Posted on 10/29/20 at 6:51 pm to bird35
quote:
Trump wins VA he wins in a landslide because he will 2qin all swing states.
If he wins NH and VA, pop the champagne early because it's over.
Posted on 10/29/20 at 6:52 pm to LSUSkip
CNU poll a few days ago showed Biden up in VA by 12 points.
Posted on 10/29/20 at 6:53 pm to East Coast Band
quote:
I think NOVA just needs to merge with DC and let them have those electoral votes, so the rest of the real Commonwealth can be red like it's intended to be.
Merge DC, MD, and NOVA into MD (let the western MD counties join VA if they are too conservative for what is left).
Posted on 10/29/20 at 6:55 pm to pankReb
quote:
CNU poll a few days ago showed Biden up in VA by 12 points.
Lots of Swamp Rats in those parts that want to go back to business-as-usual.
Posted on 10/29/20 at 6:55 pm to vl100butch
Virginia is going to be the this year's version of 2016 Minnesota.
Trump didn't really even go after Minnesota hard in 2016, and he barely lost despite the polls saying he was down by 10 points.
Trump has been to Virginia once in 2020, and it was really only to double dip with North Carolina voters.
I think he loses Virginia by less than 2.5 points. I would still say a win there is very unlikely, though.
Trump didn't really even go after Minnesota hard in 2016, and he barely lost despite the polls saying he was down by 10 points.
Trump has been to Virginia once in 2020, and it was really only to double dip with North Carolina voters.
I think he loses Virginia by less than 2.5 points. I would still say a win there is very unlikely, though.
Posted on 10/29/20 at 6:55 pm to bayoubengals88
quote:
Friend, per the Swingometer, Trump would need 26% of the black vote and 40% of the Hispanic vote to win VA! Unbelievable it's that far gone!
I can't get it to work on my computer...what happens if non-college partipation goes up to 60% under the same scenairo?
Posted on 10/29/20 at 6:58 pm to East Coast Band
quote:
I think NOVA just needs to merge with DC and let them have those electoral votes, so the rest of the real Commonwealth can be red like it's intended to be.
^^^^^THIS!!
Posted on 10/29/20 at 6:58 pm to vl100butch
I was in northern Virginia a while back, and every house had a BLM sign on it.
Posted on 10/29/20 at 7:03 pm to East Coast Band
quote:
I think NOVA just needs to merge with DC and let them have those electoral votes, so the rest of the real Commonwealth can be red like it's intended to be.
There's nothing "Virginia" about Northern Virginia
Posted on 10/29/20 at 7:08 pm to vl100butch
IF we can get the remaining 63% of Rep/Conservative voters to go vote, we can easily flip Virginia on the Presidential race and all the down ballot races. Last election, only 37% of the Republican/conservative voters cast a vote. That's why Virginia is blue.
Posted on 10/29/20 at 7:15 pm to BFIV
quote:
IF we can get the remaining 63% of Rep/Conservative voters to go vote, we can easily flip Virginia on the Presidential race and all the down ballot races. Last election, only 37% of the Republican/conservative voters cast a vote. That's why Virginia is blue.
Why is that? Obviously Fairfax, Loudon, and even most of Prince William Counties have been infected by a viral cockroach dem infestation of assholes who are not real Americans with American values. I know Virginia well, like a lot of other posters in this very thread do. Are your numbers correct? Source? Is it because the country boys in rural counties that make up a HUGE portion of the Commonwealth don't vote? I'm having a hard time believing that; not trolling you either...I know you have a long history on here and you have been credible. Please elaborate.
Posted on 10/29/20 at 7:17 pm to bird35
quote:
If Trump loses Fla or TX or GA it is over because of he loses those States he will lose many others.
If Trump wins VA he wins in a landslide because he will 2qin all swing states.
I can’t argue with either statement, not sure why it’s catching downvotes.
Posted on 10/29/20 at 7:18 pm to pankReb
quote:
There's nothing "Virginia" about Northern Virginia
Truth.
Posted on 10/29/20 at 7:22 pm to vl100butch
Trump lost VA by 180K in 2016.
He would need 25% of the black vote and a huge turnout to overcome the beltway DCers.
He would need 25% of the black vote and a huge turnout to overcome the beltway DCers.
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