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taking an alternative look at Virginia

Posted on 10/29/20 at 6:38 pm
Posted by vl100butch
Ridgeland, MS
Member since Sep 2005
34649 posts
Posted on 10/29/20 at 6:38 pm
what happens there if Trump gets 20% of the AA vote and 40% of the Hispanic?

does that pretty much neutralize the Beltway counties?
Posted by bird35
Georgia
Member since Sep 2012
12169 posts
Posted on 10/29/20 at 6:41 pm to
If Trump loses Fla or TX or GA it is over because of he loses those States he will lose many others.

If Trump wins VA he wins in a landslide because he will 2qin all swing states.
Posted by East Coast Band
Member since Nov 2010
62763 posts
Posted on 10/29/20 at 6:42 pm to
I think NOVA just needs to merge with DC and let them have those electoral votes, so the rest of the real Commonwealth can be red like it's intended to be.
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
18910 posts
Posted on 10/29/20 at 6:47 pm to
quote:

what happens there if Trump gets 20% of the AA vote and 40% of the Hispanic?

Friend, per the Swingometer, Trump would need 26% of the black vote and 40% of the Hispanic vote to win VA! Unbelievable it's that far gone!
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
18910 posts
Posted on 10/29/20 at 6:48 pm to
But 13 and 35 gives him MI, PA, and WI!
Posted by LSUSkip
Central, LA
Member since Jul 2012
17545 posts
Posted on 10/29/20 at 6:51 pm to
quote:

Trump wins VA he wins in a landslide because he will 2qin all swing states.


If he wins NH and VA, pop the champagne early because it's over.
Posted by pankReb
Defending National Champs Fan
Member since Mar 2009
64513 posts
Posted on 10/29/20 at 6:52 pm to
CNU poll a few days ago showed Biden up in VA by 12 points.
Posted by Quidam65
Q Continuum
Member since Jun 2010
19307 posts
Posted on 10/29/20 at 6:53 pm to
quote:

I think NOVA just needs to merge with DC and let them have those electoral votes, so the rest of the real Commonwealth can be red like it's intended to be.



Merge DC, MD, and NOVA into MD (let the western MD counties join VA if they are too conservative for what is left).
Posted by Tantal
Member since Sep 2012
13960 posts
Posted on 10/29/20 at 6:55 pm to
quote:

CNU poll a few days ago showed Biden up in VA by 12 points.


Lots of Swamp Rats in those parts that want to go back to business-as-usual.
Posted by Eat Your Crow
caught beneath the landslide
Member since May 2017
9190 posts
Posted on 10/29/20 at 6:55 pm to
Virginia is going to be the this year's version of 2016 Minnesota.

Trump didn't really even go after Minnesota hard in 2016, and he barely lost despite the polls saying he was down by 10 points.

Trump has been to Virginia once in 2020, and it was really only to double dip with North Carolina voters.

I think he loses Virginia by less than 2.5 points. I would still say a win there is very unlikely, though.
Posted by vl100butch
Ridgeland, MS
Member since Sep 2005
34649 posts
Posted on 10/29/20 at 6:55 pm to
quote:

Friend, per the Swingometer, Trump would need 26% of the black vote and 40% of the Hispanic vote to win VA! Unbelievable it's that far gone!


I can't get it to work on my computer...what happens if non-college partipation goes up to 60% under the same scenairo?
Posted by geaux88
Northshore, LA
Member since Oct 2003
16355 posts
Posted on 10/29/20 at 6:58 pm to
quote:

I think NOVA just needs to merge with DC and let them have those electoral votes, so the rest of the real Commonwealth can be red like it's intended to be.


^^^^^THIS!!
Posted by West Palm Tiger561
Palm Beach County
Member since Dec 2018
1527 posts
Posted on 10/29/20 at 6:58 pm to
I was in northern Virginia a while back, and every house had a BLM sign on it.
Posted by pankReb
Defending National Champs Fan
Member since Mar 2009
64513 posts
Posted on 10/29/20 at 7:03 pm to
quote:


I think NOVA just needs to merge with DC and let them have those electoral votes, so the rest of the real Commonwealth can be red like it's intended to be.


There's nothing "Virginia" about Northern Virginia
Posted by BFIV
Virginia
Member since Apr 2012
7717 posts
Posted on 10/29/20 at 7:08 pm to
IF we can get the remaining 63% of Rep/Conservative voters to go vote, we can easily flip Virginia on the Presidential race and all the down ballot races. Last election, only 37% of the Republican/conservative voters cast a vote. That's why Virginia is blue.
Posted by Janky
Team Primo
Member since Jun 2011
35957 posts
Posted on 10/29/20 at 7:09 pm to
Dude isn't winning VA.
Posted by geaux88
Northshore, LA
Member since Oct 2003
16355 posts
Posted on 10/29/20 at 7:15 pm to
quote:

IF we can get the remaining 63% of Rep/Conservative voters to go vote, we can easily flip Virginia on the Presidential race and all the down ballot races. Last election, only 37% of the Republican/conservative voters cast a vote. That's why Virginia is blue.


Why is that? Obviously Fairfax, Loudon, and even most of Prince William Counties have been infected by a viral cockroach dem infestation of assholes who are not real Americans with American values. I know Virginia well, like a lot of other posters in this very thread do. Are your numbers correct? Source? Is it because the country boys in rural counties that make up a HUGE portion of the Commonwealth don't vote? I'm having a hard time believing that; not trolling you either...I know you have a long history on here and you have been credible. Please elaborate.
Posted by Red Stick Rambler
Member since Jun 2011
1148 posts
Posted on 10/29/20 at 7:17 pm to
quote:

If Trump loses Fla or TX or GA it is over because of he loses those States he will lose many others.

If Trump wins VA he wins in a landslide because he will 2qin all swing states.


I can’t argue with either statement, not sure why it’s catching downvotes.
Posted by roadGator
Member since Feb 2009
140361 posts
Posted on 10/29/20 at 7:18 pm to
quote:

There's nothing "Virginia" about Northern Virginia


Truth.
Posted by LSUAlum2001
Stavro Mueller Beta
Member since Aug 2003
47130 posts
Posted on 10/29/20 at 7:22 pm to
Trump lost VA by 180K in 2016.

He would need 25% of the black vote and a huge turnout to overcome the beltway DCers.
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