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re: Saudi Arabia's petro-dollar exit: A global finance paradigm shift

Posted on 6/13/24 at 7:39 am to
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
476439 posts
Posted on 6/13/24 at 7:39 am to
quote:

Nobody said anything about an apocalypse.

The USD not being the petro dollar and the US lashing out like you said will lead to worldwide apocalypse and a devolution similar to Europe when the Western Roman Empire ended.
Posted by Rip Torner
Member since Jul 2023
2200 posts
Posted on 6/13/24 at 7:44 am to
That’s because both of you have virtually no economic or political basic knowledge. If you think other nations ditching the dollar is a good thing then any further discussions are pointless. It doesn’t mean that it will reduce inflation which is what you are trying to justify. Other nations using the dollar helps stabilize its perceived value because when you have no real tangible backing of a paper currency its perceived value is its only value. Meaning, other nations use the dollar therefore they believe it is a stable investment. When that ceases to exist, it’s no different than any other nation in the past that has destroyed its currency by overprinting and collecting massive debts. It doesn’t mean “fewer countries are using it so it’s more rare, therefore more valuable”. That’s a simplistic, nonsensical argument that might be slightly true if we didn’t have trillions of dollars in debt already accrued
Posted by KiwiHead
Auckland, NZ
Member since Jul 2014
37485 posts
Posted on 6/13/24 at 7:47 am to
China, Japan, India... they may want to pay in their money, but when they sell, they want the dollars. So China says to Saudi, we will buy this oil with yuan, Saudi says, .....whatever, I'll take it. Saudi then tries to buy something from China and China says, great ..... can we do that trade in greenback dollars with dead white men on them?
Posted by ronricks
Member since Mar 2021
12105 posts
Posted on 6/13/24 at 7:50 am to
quote:

This:


Our Military is more worried about LGBTQ+, 'Equity', Diversity and Pronouns than actually destroying someone. Nobody is going to fear that no matter who is in charge. The only thing protecting the dollar is our Military which is becoming more of a joke by the year. This is how Rome collapsed along with Illegal Immigration.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
476439 posts
Posted on 6/13/24 at 7:51 am to
China has historically devalued the yuan on purpose to make their exports cheaper to buy. Now China is trying to buy in yuan...

So SA will accept yuan for oil for how long while they watch China devalue the yuan they hold? SA can't really do anything else with it other than hold it, b/c nobody else wants that shitty currency.

Or will China stop devaluing the yuan, making their exports even more disliked in an international economy where China's manufacturing is being replaced, post-Covid? While they're in a major economic down turn? Sounds like a great plan
Posted by OccamsStubble
Member since Aug 2019
10057 posts
Posted on 6/13/24 at 7:51 am to
quote:

. To you Biden groupies, the ones who hate the America of my father, the ones who hate Donald Trump almost as much as his MAGA supporters you will finally get what you’ve always wanted - the death of America.


Did those Biden groupies hate America when he printed 8 trillion during his term, which causes inflation?


Did those Trump groupies hate America when he printed 8 trillion during his term, which causes inflation?



This post was edited on 6/13/24 at 7:53 am
Posted by Timeoday
Easter Island
Member since Aug 2020
22860 posts
Posted on 6/13/24 at 7:57 am to
quote:

Did those Trump groupies hate America when he printed 8 trillion during his term, which causes inflation?


Being attacked with a bio-weapon that choice was clear. Having an election stolen prevented the response. But it's coming.
Posted by KiwiHead
Auckland, NZ
Member since Jul 2014
37485 posts
Posted on 6/13/24 at 8:01 am to
China is bargain hunting with this scheme. Either MbS is inflating the oil price to the Chinese or he figures he can quickly convert to dollars almost as soon as he gets the yuan.. Either way the last thing he wants is to hold the yuan.. he's not interested in seeing his payment value reduced by 20% over night on a whim.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
476439 posts
Posted on 6/13/24 at 8:33 am to
I think SA/MBS is just trying to diversify a bit, but they can burn money for short periods of time with no real impact to the bottom line.

This is clearly not a long-term strategy.
Posted by KiwiHead
Auckland, NZ
Member since Jul 2014
37485 posts
Posted on 6/13/24 at 8:45 am to
Right. He's figuring he can pull even with some arbitrage on a daily basis given the value at any particular time. But make no mistake, he values dollars and the relationship with the US more than anything to do with China....mostly for reasons you outlined
Posted by Bard
Definitely NOT an admin
Member since Oct 2008
59194 posts
Posted on 6/13/24 at 8:57 am to
quote:

US is the largest exporter in the world as of 2023 & 2024. Sorry.


Incorrect. You are confusing "producers" with "exporters".
Posted by moneyg
Member since Jun 2006
62958 posts
Posted on 6/13/24 at 9:32 am to
quote:

Eventually the debt bomb will in part be solved through confiscatory taxes on accumulated wealth, IRAs etc. We will be given a government stipend in our retirements. There is a lot of money in those retirement accounts.



They would have to take 100% of it to pay off the debt.
Posted by NC_Tigah
Make Orwell Fiction Again
Member since Sep 2003
138746 posts
Posted on 6/13/24 at 9:48 am to
quote:

A shift away from the US dollar is happening in real time, and investors must be ready
by Malli Karjuna
Mon, Jun 10, 2024


The US dollar’s dominance is in decline as Russia and Saudi Arabia eye the Chinese yuan for oil trades, and investors may need to begin to revise their long-term investment strategies, warns the CEO and founder of one of the world’s largest independent financial advisory and asset management companies, deVere Group.
...

“One of the most significant but under-reported outcomes of April’s three-day summit between Russia’s Vladimir Putin and China’s Xi Jinping was that Putin said Russia is now in favour of using the Chinese yuan for oil settlements," said Green. This suggests that the world’s second-largest economy and the world’s largest energy exporter are actively intending to reduce the dominance of the US dollar as the bedrock of the international financial system.
...

“Oil is one of the most important and widely traded commodities in the world, and it has traditionally been priced and traded in US dollars," said Green. "This has given the US dollar a dominant role in global financial markets as countries that want to purchase oil must first acquire US dollars in order to do so."

If oil trading were to shift away from the US dollar it would dramatically reduce the demand for US dollars, which would lead to a decrease in the value of the US currency.

"This could have a number of ripple effects throughout the global economy, including hugely increased inflation in the US and potentially destabilising effects on financial markets," said Green.

Additionally, a shift away from the US dollar in oil trading could lead to greater economic and geopolitical competition between countries. If the yuan were to become more widely used in oil trading, this could significantly increase the economic power and influence of China, challenging the dominance of the US in major global affairs.

LINK
Posted by Zarkinletch416
Deep in the Heart of Texas
Member since Jan 2020
8689 posts
Posted on 6/13/24 at 10:38 am to
I ain’t no economist but I do understand what the term “flight from the dollar” means and the impact on our economy here in America. So can any of your Biden groupies (I know you’re out there) tell me the impact on my grocery bill or the price of fuel for my car? What is the “best guess” scenario on the probable outcome of this “flight from the dollar”? Don’t be shy.
This post was edited on 6/13/24 at 10:43 am
Posted by Nosevens
Member since Apr 2019
19224 posts
Posted on 6/13/24 at 11:17 am to
Americans having sufficient resources was referencing its natural resources. You know the topic of discussion
Posted by Jack Carter
Member since Sep 2018
12200 posts
Posted on 6/13/24 at 4:14 pm to
quote:

The USD not being the petro dollar and the US lashing out like you said will lead to worldwide apocalypse and a devolution similar to Europe when the Western Roman Empire ended.


You don't have faith in the CIA?
Posted by biscuitsngravy
Tejas, north America
Member since Jan 2011
3885 posts
Posted on 6/13/24 at 10:12 pm to
Couldn't say it any better
Posted by OccamsStubble
Member since Aug 2019
10057 posts
Posted on 6/13/24 at 10:17 pm to
quote:

quote:Did those Trump groupies hate America when he printed 8 trillion during his term, which causes inflation?


Being attacked with a bio-weapon that choice was clear. Having an election stolen prevented the response. But it's coming.


Option: don’t roll over and frick those who elected you.


Other Option: do
Posted by Lee B
Member since Dec 2018
3945 posts
Posted on 6/13/24 at 10:29 pm to
quote:

quote:
US is the largest exporter in the world as of 2023 & 2024. Sorry.


Incorrect. You are confusing "producers" with "exporters".


Yeah... we're producing a lot, exporting the excess (though this is a global market so we're really just talking numbers of barrels... ours are probably sold somewhere and replaced with cheaper barrels someone buys from Mexico).

Saudi Arabia is careful about how much oil they let be pumped out of the ground, but they use comparatively little of it, domestically, and export the majority of it.
Posted by lake chuck fan
Vinton
Member since Aug 2011
23697 posts
Posted on 6/14/24 at 7:02 am to
quote:

If you think other nations ditching the dollar is a good thing then any further discussions are pointless. It doesn’t mean that it will reduce inflation which is what you are trying to justify. Other nations using the dollar helps stabilize its perceived value because when you have no real tangible backing of a paper currency its perceived value is its only value.


I agree. It's really simple. The more of a thing exist but isn't being used, the less value that thing retains.
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