re: predict the % of black voters that vote for Trump, nationally

According to 2020 exit polls split was

12% trump
87% Biden

Trumps top end is like 18%

But see it more likely 14-15%

However, I feel that blacks will turn out in less numbers this year. They are not very enthusiastic

Where is see the biggest demographic change will be in Hispanic. 2020 exit had:

Trump 32%
Biden 66%

Some polling is showing trumps stronger in the range of:

Trump 35%
Kamala 57%
Rest undecided/ or other candidate

Hispanic represent more population %. If Trump holds with blacks but picks up in Hispanics that will affect swing states more….

14%

27.5%

I remember on this board someone posting these stats a few years ago...

something like...if Trump gets 10 to 12% he can landslide it. don't start me on 2020 as he won every bellwether State and county. (I think he lost by a hair ONE bellwether county nationwide) As well as he gained the black vote...

it is why they stuck Kamala in. then got Oprah. didn't help.

so the only thing they got is Trump will take away every womans mammograms, tampons, will monitor every pregnancy with a zillion machines. the Karen's are already dumb as a box of hammers...

so then they will try to bag the ballot mail box Biden pays the USPS to load. AND a huge UFO will appear in da sky. also a new virus that will be super scary only democrats that already signed up can vote by mail.

if all these things aren't working they will JFK Trump and blame some zit face with three names.

19.3%

You dumb? First election??

could get interesting

5-10%. Once in the both they fall back to their bad habits.

Hope I’m wrong.

14% floor, 23% ceiling.

19%

18

Most don't want to, really and truly, leave the plantation.

Hopefully a large volume of that 18% are yankees- PA, WI. I have my doubts.