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re: Polymarket odds on the Senate
Posted on 11/3/26 at 11:28 am to Stidham8
Posted on 11/3/26 at 11:28 am to Stidham8
Kansas is not as ruby red as you think it is plus the Dem candidate was a registered Republican before announcing his candidacy. Still a Dem who will vote with Dems, but he’s positioned himself as middle-of-the-road.
Same reason why Collins has served Maine for so long.
Same reason why Collins has served Maine for so long.
Posted on 11/3/26 at 11:30 am to Stidham8
Polymarkets said the dems would win Guam by a decent margin.
They got smoked.
They got smoked.
Posted on 11/3/26 at 11:30 am to Blizzard of Chizz
quote:
It’s very seductive to think oh these poor farmers are so fighting mad about diesel prices that they are going to pull the lever for the other side, but that ignores the reality they live in.
No really about diesel. This goes back to tariffs. Farmers in states like Kansas and Iowa want to be able to sell to China. Just the way it is. They need that market.
This is what they are pissed about. Pissed enough not to vote.
Posted on 11/3/26 at 11:30 am to Stidham8
quote:.
How the heck are Kansas and Iowa now in play for the Dems?
Because Kansans and Iowans worked their asses off to give Republicans the House, Senate, and the White House, and got little in return?
Maybe that
Posted on 11/3/26 at 11:30 am to Stidham8
That one pollster that said Trump would lose Iowa probably went all in
Posted on 11/3/26 at 11:31 am to Stidham8
quote:
How the heck are Kansas and Iowa now in play for the Dems?
Perpetual inflation + decisions that lead to rising interest rates after campaigning on cutting rates + war after campaigning on no wars + high gas prices + the housing market the shakiest it’s been in 20+ years = this
That’s not meant to be a political statement or snarky at all..trust me I voted R today and have all my life…. It’s just what happens when this is occurring when leading up to an election…results matter a lot more compared to what you say…especially when it’s said loudly and boisterous.
I hope to goodness the D’s don’t get control of the Senate….but this is just the pendulum swinging back and forth every 2-4 years. It’s just the cycle and always will be.
This post was edited on 11/3/26 at 11:34 am
Posted on 11/3/26 at 11:35 am to WhiteMandingo
quote:
Well your right about the democrats wanting to kill oil and gas , but what ambassador thus administration done to help them?? Its like deciding d to cut of an ear but you get to pick which one? Its a choice but not a good outcome either way
Deal with it. It’s a temporary war. The democrats war on fossil fuels is PERMANENT.
Posted on 11/3/26 at 11:37 am to Stidham8
I wonder where this shite would be without the Iran bullshite
Posted on 11/3/26 at 11:37 am to Stidham8
One of the first rules of sports betting is never bet on your own team. Too much bias and emotion involved. This rule definitely would apply to betting on politics, I'd imagine.
Posted on 11/3/26 at 11:38 am to OccamsStubble
quote:
Because Kansans and Iowans worked their asses off to give Republicans the House, Senate, and the White House, and got little in return? Maybe that
Got little in return? The Republican Party isn’t the party of welfare. It’s the only thing keeping the country from importing millions of the third world each month.
Our country is incredibly selfish. Conservatives conserve the current culture, not drastically change it.
Posted on 11/3/26 at 11:39 am to Stidham8
quote:
Polymarket odds on the Senate
How the heck are Kansas and Iowa now in play for the Dems?
Because fools and their money were lucky to get together in the first place. (Polymarkets)
Posted on 11/3/26 at 11:41 am to Stidham8
quote:
Wait, the farmers are dumb enough to think that the democrats (the party that wants to cripple fossil fuels) are the better option?
LMFAO, this country is full of f’n idiots.
Yes. Democrats didn't start the Iran conflict.
Posted on 11/3/26 at 11:48 am to Stidham8
In Kansas Sen Roger Marshall is as bad a candidate as Paxton. Democrats are running a former registered Republican pastor from a mega church. His church has over 20,000 members. Marshall has pissed off a lot of Republican statewide elected officials. (I’m not sure why)
Marshall didn’t really start campaigning until September. He has terrible commercials on TV. Hamilton has had ads on streaming services since June. Hamilton ads are good and effective.
Marshall
1. He is a retired doctor that has lives in Florida
2. His practice sued patients and had some arrested for not paying bills. Some of bills were for less than $100, a few didn’t know they had a bill, a few had new phones, and a few had moved and were not getting notices. One woman that was arrested was 8 months pregnant and with her 2 year old
3. Kansas farmers depend on diesel and gas for farming. He said something controversial about it that really upset farmers, I don’t know what it was.
4. Tariffs have hurt a lot of farmers
5. Campaign ads that were easily proven false
6. The Epstein files are a big deal in Kansas.
7. Because of Wichita, Lawrence, and the KC metro. Kansas is a moderate Republican state not ruby red. They have a governor that is a Democrat.
8. Former statewide Republican elected officials disagree with Marshall on a lot of his voting record and they probably want to run as a moderate Republican in the future
Marshall didn’t really start campaigning until September. He has terrible commercials on TV. Hamilton has had ads on streaming services since June. Hamilton ads are good and effective.
Marshall
1. He is a retired doctor that has lives in Florida
2. His practice sued patients and had some arrested for not paying bills. Some of bills were for less than $100, a few didn’t know they had a bill, a few had new phones, and a few had moved and were not getting notices. One woman that was arrested was 8 months pregnant and with her 2 year old
3. Kansas farmers depend on diesel and gas for farming. He said something controversial about it that really upset farmers, I don’t know what it was.
4. Tariffs have hurt a lot of farmers
5. Campaign ads that were easily proven false
6. The Epstein files are a big deal in Kansas.
7. Because of Wichita, Lawrence, and the KC metro. Kansas is a moderate Republican state not ruby red. They have a governor that is a Democrat.
8. Former statewide Republican elected officials disagree with Marshall on a lot of his voting record and they probably want to run as a moderate Republican in the future
This post was edited on 11/3/26 at 11:52 am
Posted on 11/3/26 at 11:50 am to Powerman
They started the invasion of the southern border. A conflict that is far more significant for this country.
Posted on 11/3/26 at 11:51 am to Stidham8
Powerwoman won't respond to that.
Posted on 11/3/26 at 11:52 am to MizzouBS
quote:
Marshall didn’t really start campaigning until September.
We got the same from Mike Collins here in Georgia. I asked the question "where is Mike Collins? When will we see him?" The answer I was told was "Labor Day".
Posted on 11/3/26 at 11:55 am to Stidham8
Because its a money bet on a result picked by ordinary people making $2 bets and then leaving the table.
Plus its an ongoing poll as opposed to polls posted by the media from Analytics Firms.
Plus its an ongoing poll as opposed to polls posted by the media from Analytics Firms.
Posted on 11/3/26 at 11:59 am to Stidham8
quote:
They started the invasion of the southern border. A conflict that is far more significant for this country.
That is a great chart. It also shows that Democrats effectively started slowing down immigration pretty dramatically in the back half of 2024 because they knew it was going to get them clobbered in November. They could have shut it down anytime they wanted. Absolutely horrible.
Also, place the names of Haley and DeSantis over the red bars and they would have the same result. Any republican winner was going to shut that shite down butt cold.
Posted on 11/3/26 at 12:01 pm to Stidham8
The biggest question is why are you dumb enough to think Polymarket has anything to do with this?
Posted on 11/3/26 at 12:04 pm to bird35
He's United Methodist minister but most people don't know the UMC has gone completely woke and trans. They have drag queen shows at his church. It's satanic. IMO UMC will not exist is 10 years.
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