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Message
Polymarket odds on the Senate
Posted on 11/3/26 at 11:00 am
Posted on 11/3/26 at 11:00 am
Posted on 11/3/26 at 11:02 am to Stidham8
Because are placing bets that Iowa and Kansas go blue, it has nothing to do with actual results
Posted on 11/3/26 at 11:03 am to Stidham8
They're probably not, really. Certainly not with that type of confidence level.
Prediction markets are the new suppression polls
Prediction markets are the new suppression polls
Posted on 11/3/26 at 11:04 am to UtahCajun
If those odds go chalk then Dems are flipping 7 Senate seats and holding everywhere else.
NC
Texas
Kansas
Maine
Alaska
Ohio
Iowa
The one silver lining is that’ll be a huge presidential year in 2032 for Republicans flipping a lot of senate seats back. Georgia and North Carolina will be in play then too.
NC
Texas
Kansas
Maine
Alaska
Ohio
Iowa
The one silver lining is that’ll be a huge presidential year in 2032 for Republicans flipping a lot of senate seats back. Georgia and North Carolina will be in play then too.
This post was edited on 11/3/26 at 11:05 am
Posted on 11/3/26 at 11:04 am to Stidham8
quote:
How the heck are Kansas and Iowa now in play for the Dems?
You're asking how two states with higher than average concentrations of farmers that also use gas, diesel, and groceries can be in play for the opposition party this year? Seriously?
Posted on 11/3/26 at 11:05 am to Green Chili Tiger
quote:
You're asking how two states with higher than average concentrations of farmers that also use gas, diesel, and groceries can be in play for the opposition party this year? Seriously?
Wait, the farmers are dumb enough to think that the democrats (the party that wants to cripple fossil fuels) are the better option?
LMFAO, this country is full of f’n idiots.
This post was edited on 11/3/26 at 11:06 am
Posted on 11/3/26 at 11:06 am to Stidham8
Because Polymarket makes money regardless of who wins.
Posted on 11/3/26 at 11:08 am to DarthRebel
Right? And people still don’t get it, they think it’s like sports betting where the house sets the odds. It isn’t like that at all.
Posted on 11/3/26 at 11:10 am to Stidham8
Please stop posting prediction market threads if you dont understand prediction markets work
Posted on 11/3/26 at 11:14 am to Stidham8
Kansas democrats ran a man who appears normal and moderate who is a pastor at a megachurch.
I’m sure his policies are crazy liberal, but he can pretend to be moderate during the election especially with the media covering for him.
Also, the tariffs and cost of diesel fuel have caused more pain in Kansas than many other States.
I think Kansas stays red but it will be close.
I’m sure his policies are crazy liberal, but he can pretend to be moderate during the election especially with the media covering for him.
Also, the tariffs and cost of diesel fuel have caused more pain in Kansas than many other States.
I think Kansas stays red but it will be close.
Posted on 11/3/26 at 11:17 am to Stidham8
I bet money on dems winning several states.
Will they? Doubt it. But if they do ill be dancing to the bank
Will they? Doubt it. But if they do ill be dancing to the bank
Posted on 11/3/26 at 11:17 am to Barstools
quote:
Please stop posting prediction market threads if you dont understand prediction markets work
This.
These threads are just stupid and uneducated.
It’s like posting and bitching about Vegas odds. The odds go a certain way for a reason. They WANT you to bet a certain way - they win regardless.
This post was edited on 11/3/26 at 11:18 am
Posted on 11/3/26 at 11:19 am to Green Chili Tiger
quote:
You're asking how two states with higher than average concentrations of farmers that also use gas, diesel, and groceries can be in play for the opposition party this year? Seriously?
This is wishcasting. It’s very seductive to think oh these poor farmers are so fighting mad about diesel prices that they are going to pull the lever for the other side, but that ignores the reality they live in. Farmers exist in a world of fluctuations, where the price of everything in their industry goes up and down. They may bitch about gas prices like the rest of us, but at the end of the day most are as dug into their political ideology as the rest of us. If you believe Dems and their lunacy were bad for the country when fuel was 2 dollars a gallon you still believe Dems and their lunacy is bad for the country when fuel is 4 dollars a gallon..
The only real factor in play here is apathy. You either find it worth your time to get off your arse and vote or you don’t.
Posted on 11/3/26 at 11:20 am to Stidham8
Well your right about the democrats wanting to kill oil and gas , but what has this administration done to help them??
Its like deciding to cut of a ear but you get to pick which one?
Its a choice but not a good outcome either way.
Its like deciding to cut of a ear but you get to pick which one?
Its a choice but not a good outcome either way.
This post was edited on 11/3/26 at 12:17 pm
Posted on 11/3/26 at 11:22 am to Stidham8
Relax. Dem candidates themselves and betting huge on themselves to generate interest and suppress R votes.
The less you listen to pollsters and betting off sites the more informed you will be. How many examples of Selzer Iowa polls do you need to realize all of this is rigged?
The less you listen to pollsters and betting off sites the more informed you will be. How many examples of Selzer Iowa polls do you need to realize all of this is rigged?
Posted on 11/3/26 at 11:23 am to Stidham8
They all going to cash out when it started flipping back to the Republicans once polls start closing
Posted on 11/3/26 at 11:24 am to Bama Bird
quote:
Prediction markets are the new suppression polls
I think there is some truth to this. I also think people believe the Dems are better positioned than they truly are due to wish-casting by left-leaning media outlets.
The left has largely run campaigns against someone who isn't on any ballot. I'm not sure that's a strategy for success.
Posted on 11/3/26 at 11:25 am to Stidham8
Is there any scientific basis behind that like true polling or is it like Kalshi where people bet what they think?
The amount of money wasted on the Telefreko candidacy shows how people will throw money at something wish casting it comes true.
The amount of money wasted on the Telefreko candidacy shows how people will throw money at something wish casting it comes true.

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