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re: Official US/Israel vs Iran war thread
Posted on 3/1/26 at 1:13 pm to hawgfaninc
Posted on 3/1/26 at 1:13 pm to hawgfaninc
1
Posted on 3/1/26 at 1:13 pm to BOHICAMAN
quote:
Clearly you do
Clearly I don't
Posted on 3/1/26 at 1:14 pm to EagleEye99
Ignorance is bliss I suppose
Posted on 3/1/26 at 1:14 pm to hawgfaninc
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This post was edited on 3/1/26 at 1:15 pm
Posted on 3/1/26 at 1:15 pm to BOHICAMAN
quote:
Ignorance is bliss I suppose
Pot meet kettle
Posted on 3/1/26 at 1:15 pm to BayouBengal51
quote:
Ze French are coming. It only took having one of their naval bases to be attacked to make them do something
Sailing from the Baltic to the Eastern Mediterranean? Isn’t that like 2700 miles or something?
Ok France, cool, see you in a month…
Posted on 3/1/26 at 1:15 pm to hawgfaninc
Posted on 3/1/26 at 1:17 pm to hawgfaninc
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France is moving to keep the conflict from spilling into the Mediterranean and to preserve NATO control of the air and sea picture while Hormuz risk stays elevated.
This is France buying optionality and protecting European exposure.
1) What a French carrier deployment really means
It signals three things:
1. Air and missile defense depth
A carrier group adds sensors, fighters, and layered defense. That helps protect shipping, bases, and allied airspace if missile and drone spillover widens.
2. Escalation management
Presence creates a buffer. It gives the coalition more ways to respond without immediately leaning on U.S. assets for every move.
3. European credibility
Europe cannot watch a global energy choke point crisis from the sidelines and pretend it has strategic weight. A carrier is Paris proving it still matters.
2) Why the eastern Med specifically
The eastern Med is the staging area for:
•ISR
•air corridors
•missile defense coverage
•potential contingency for Lebanon, Syria, and Israel adjacent escalation
It is also a signal to Iran and proxies that the western flank is watched.
3) What France is trying to prevent
France is trying to prevent two spillovers:
•Red Sea disruption expanding into broader maritime chaos
•strikes and retaliation creating a Mediterranean theater that threatens European trade and tourism corridors
They are insulating Europe from second order effects.
4) What this implies about the duration
Carrier deployments are a bet on weeks of volatility.
So this reinforces the idea that the coalition expects an extended phase, not a quick off ramp.
5) What Iran does with this
Iran will treat European involvement as:
•coalition hardening
•reduced diplomatic escape routes
So Iran’s leverage shifts more toward:
•economic warfare
•shipping insurance fear
•deniable harassment
It also increases incentive to pressure Europe through proxies rather than direct confrontation.
6) Bottom line
France moving a carrier is a signal that the conflict has become a broader security of sea lanes problem, not just an Israel Iran problem.
It is coalition consolidation in NATO clothing.
Posted on 3/1/26 at 1:17 pm to hawgfaninc
It’s popping off on this live feed.
Posted on 3/1/26 at 1:18 pm to Blizzard of Chizz
This post was edited on 3/1/26 at 1:19 pm
Posted on 3/1/26 at 1:18 pm to hawgfaninc
Maybe with the French in the Eastern Mediterranean we can reposition the Ford to the Arabian Sea to support the coming ground war.
Posted on 3/1/26 at 1:18 pm to Blizzard of Chizz
A lot of missiles being intercepted in the skies above Tel Aviv.
Posted on 3/1/26 at 1:20 pm to hawgfaninc
Posted on 3/1/26 at 1:20 pm to Kjnstkmn
Pretty badass that we can make their navy float at the bottom of the sea.
Posted on 3/1/26 at 1:25 pm to AlterEd
The feed from the associated press isn’t showing the sky this time for the missile interceptions. Why is it being censored? He panned down camera on purpose
Posted on 3/1/26 at 1:26 pm to LegendInMyMind
Anyone know about how many missiles Iran has left?
Posted on 3/1/26 at 1:26 pm to schwartzy
quote:
The feed from the associated press isn’t showing the sky this time for the missile interceptions. Why is it being censored? He panned down camera on purpose
The Israeli government seems to have told them to stop showing film of the intercepts.
Posted on 3/1/26 at 1:28 pm to AlterEd
Posted on 3/1/26 at 1:29 pm to BOHICAMAN
quote:
Anyone know about how many missiles Iran has left?
Posted on 3/1/26 at 1:29 pm to AlterEd
quote:
The Israeli government seems to have told them to stop showing film of the intercepts.
Probably don’t want their launcher locations identified via live streams
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