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hawgfaninc
| Favorite team: | Arkansas  |
| Location: | https://youtu.be/torc9P4-k5A |
| Biography: | Sordid Details |
| Interests: | under water basket weaving and tiddlywinks |
| Occupation: | deck hand on tFlagship |
| Number of Posts: | 62259 |
| Registered on: | 11/28/2011 |
| Online Status: | Not Online |
Recent Posts
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re: Official US/Israel vs Iran war thread
Posted by hawgfaninc on 4/12/26 at 12:08 am to hawgfaninc
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Speaking as someone inside Iran who stayed connected through Starlink during the total blackout, I can sincerely affirm the real mood across the country right now:
We are relieved the ceasefire negotiations collapsed.
The spirit inside Iran and the genuine desires of the people stand totally against any truce or bargaining with this brutal regime — particularly figures like Ghalibaf, a murdering psychopath who has countless Iranian blood on his hands
Every form of engagement or compromise with the Islamic Republic is strongly opposed by ordinary Iranians. We are determined to complete the uprising we launched in January. Any support the international community — above all the United States — can offer is deeply appreciated.
For nearly five decades we have suffered relentless torture, sexual violence, executions, degradation, and sorrow at the hands of this tyranny. The outside world has no real grasp of the extent of our pain. The Iranian public feels zero concern for Hezbollah, yet the regime is ready to endanger the entire nation for them. They have always prioritized their terrorist proxies over the well-being of their own citizens.
We exhausted every peaceful option: huge street demonstrations, open resistance, attempts at gradual reform, dialogue — you name it. None succeeded. The regime’s consistent reply has been gunfire, nooses, and fresh waves of fear.
With the talks now broken down, I’m writing this from inside Iran with mixed emotions of anxiety, hope and grief. Whatever unfolds from here, most Iranians will feel a sense of release. No price is too steep to get rid of this evil regime and the price of letting this nightmare drag on is far greater, and for many of us, even dying feels better than one more day under these monsters.
This reflects the authentic voice of the majority of Iranians — a people who frequently lack internet access, global reach, or any platform to speak.
When we lose internet access, the Iranian diaspora becomes our voice abroad. While the ceasefire talks dragged on, they took to the streets in protest, clearly showing the world that we reject any negotiation with this regime and want Crown Prince Reza Pahlavi to represent the Iranian people — because no one inside this regime ever can
As I have said before, the world will soon see why we declare:
Anything for freedom. Anything to destroy this evil.
re: Official US/Israel vs Iran war thread
Posted by hawgfaninc on 4/12/26 at 12:03 am to hawgfaninc
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Read Between the Lines - JD Vance announcement “we didn’t get a deal,” is really code to Iran, Pakistan is no longer supporting you. You’re alone in this.
“Whatever shortcomings of the negotiation, it wasn’t because of the Pakistanis who did an amazing job and really tried to help us and the Iranians bridge the gap and get to a deal,” Vance said.
quote:
Exactly. No deal because the Islamic Republic refuses to abandon its nuclear bomb dream and terror networks.
The mullahs are more isolated than ever - and the Iranian people demand regime change.
We’ve had 47 years of oppression, poverty & “Death to America” chants. They are a threat to the world and region.
The regime is the problem. Freedom and support for the Iranian people is the only real solution.
re: Official US/Israel vs Iran war thread
Posted by hawgfaninc on 4/12/26 at 12:01 am to hawgfaninc
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I am of the opinion that the negotiations with the Iranian regime in Islamabad was successful.
Successful in the sense that JD was given his first direct assignment to negotiate directly with leaders of an hostile regime to understand clearly how power out there in the world looks like.
He obviously gets the Intel and sits down with the President and the National Security team but this time he realizes that without American display of force, conflicts outside its borders will just get worse.
He got reports that the Iranian Navy, Airforce, Missle capabilities and nuclear ambitions were anniliated but he couldn't get an agreement with the Iranian regime.
Just goes to show that diplomacy doesn't always work and not every regime and leadership is willing to strike deals willingly.
Now that's that.
At this point, if the Iranian regime doesn't interrupt the clearance of the Strait of Hormuz for commerce to resume, they could be spared.
If they make the conscious decision to strike US assets in the process of clearance or afterwards, there will be justification to do a complete regime change.
Right now, there nuclear facilities have been significantly destroyed.
Their missle capabilities reduced dramatically.
They don't have too much capability to project power beyond their own borders without being anniliated this time.
The leadership in Tehran will reign in the troops so they themselves don't fall victim to US and Israeli military forces.
At least that's how I see this playing out.
Now Joe Kent and Tucker need to be informed accordingly.
re: Official US/Israel vs Iran war thread
Posted by hawgfaninc on 4/11/26 at 11:57 pm to hawgfaninc
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Before he launched a daring military capture of the dictator Nicholas Maduro, President Donald Trump brought the Venezuelan economy to its knees with a naval blockade that strangled the nation’s oil revenues.
If Iran refuses to accept the final deal the United States offered Saturday, Trump could bomb Tehran back to the “Stone Ages” as he vowed. Or he might just reprise his successful blockade strategy to choke an already teetering Iranian economy and ratchet up diplomatic pressure on China and India by cutting them off one of their key sources of oil.
Ironically, the massive USS Gerald Ford carrier that led the Venezuelan blockade is now in the Persian Gulf after a brief hiatus for repairs and crew rest after a deadly fire. And now it joins the USS Abraham Lincoln and other major naval assets.
In short, Trump simply could out-blockade Iran’s hold over the Strait of Hormuz, experts said.
“It would be very easy for the US Navy to exert complete control over what does and does not go up and down the Strait now,” the Lexington Institute’s national security expert Rebecca Grant told Just the News. “I've heard about 10 ships have moved in the last 24 hours. One of them was a reflagged Russian tanker, and we know that cargos have gone out to China, to India, and we've seen some inbound traffic.
“If Iran gets intransigent, then absolutely, the US Navy can set up with great overwater surveillance … and watch everything that goes in and out of that Strait and you'll have to ask the US Navy if you want to move past Kharg Island or past that narrow part by Oman,” she added.
After a marathon peace negotiation, Vice President JD Vance left Pakistan late Saturday without a deal with Iran and declared that the United States had offered its “final and best offer” to Tehran.
Vance told a press conference that American officials negotiated in good faith for 21 hours, and now it is up to Iran to decide whether to accept the final terms approved by President Donald Trump.
“We leave here with a very simple proposal, a method of understanding that is our final and best offer,” Vance said. “We will see if the Iranians accept it.”
The specifics of what the United States offered were not immediately released.
But Vance made clear Iran had not yet agreed to Trump's "central goal": abandoning their development of nuclear weapons.
"We haven’t seen that yet,” Vance said.
With a sand clock waning on the temporary cease-fire, the Trump administration already prepared multiple options if Iran refuses Trump's final offer.
The idea of a naval blockade was first suggested last week by retired Gen. Jack Keane, one of the nation’s top military strategists.
“If the war resumes and after we degrade Iran’s remaining military assets sufficiently, the US military could choose to occupy Kharg — or to destroy it,” Keane wrote it a New York Post column. “Alternatively, the US Navy could set up a blockade, shutting down Tehran’s export lifeline.”
If we preserve Kharg’s infrastructure but take physical control, we’d have a chokehold over Iran’s oil and its economy,” he added. “That’s the ultimate leverage we’d need to seize its ‘nuclear dust,’ or stores of enriched uranium, and to eliminate its enrichment facilities.”
re: Official US/Israel vs Iran war thread
Posted by hawgfaninc on 4/11/26 at 11:54 pm to hawgfaninc
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?The CIA and Mossad knew from the very beginning, through eavesdropping on the conversations and communications of the Islamic Republic's leaders, that the two sides' demands were 180 degrees in opposition. So why waste time and even send JD Vance into the mix?
?Two main reasons:
?1. Diplomatic showmanship, so that if the tables turn someday, they can tell the world we gave negotiations a chance until the very last second, and in the end, it was they who flipped the table.
?2. Sending JD Vance (who is inherently anti-war) was to let him see with his own eyes what the other side is after. When someone like him, who opposes conflict, comes and experiences the Islamic Republic's "tricks" up close, no one in Washington can say anymore, "It could have been resolved with sweet talk."
?In fact, America didn't go there to reach an agreement; it went to "fact-build" the "impossibility of agreement" for everyone (especially its own internal hardliners).
Confirmed that Iran has been trying to acquire nuclear weapons
Posted by hawgfaninc on 4/11/26 at 11:52 pm
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If tweet fails to load, click here. Funny, could’ve swore Dems & panicans said they were doing no such thing. They’d never lie to advance an agenda.
re: Official US/Israel vs Iran war thread
Posted by hawgfaninc on 4/11/26 at 11:45 pm to moontigr
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The thing nobody is talking about is that we finally have positive confirmation from the mullahs themselves that they intend to acquire nuclear weapons.
The USA can never allow a group of 8th Century savages who want nukes so they can precipitate Armageddon, thereby causing the Twelfth Imam to arise from a well in Qom, to EVER obtain those nukes.
If the Democrats and European "elites" were not so blinded by hatred for Trump they would understand that this is a humanity-saving mission.
re: Official US/Israel vs Iran war thread
Posted by hawgfaninc on 4/11/26 at 11:19 pm to hawgfaninc
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As an Iranian inside Iran, I cannot describe the wave of relief that hit me when I heard the ceasefire talks had failed.
I knew from the beginning this so called ceasefire would end like this. Still, these past few days sat on my chest like stone. I could think of nothing except the nightmare of this ending with the terrorist Islamic Regime occupying Iran still standing over us, after everything we have endured, after all the dead, after all the blood, after all the years stolen from us.
The moment I saw JD Vance say no agreement had been reached, it felt like breath returning to my lungs.
Once again the terrorist Islamic Regime occupying Iran proved what it is. Terror is not a tactic for them. It is in their marrow. You cannot soften it with promises or frighten it into decency with pressure alone. The carrot changes nothing. The stick changes nothing. Its nature remains the same.
The only road back to peace in the Middle East runs through the end of this occupation over Iran.
Level the field. Let the Iranian people finish what history has already begun.
re: Official US/Israel vs Iran war thread
Posted by hawgfaninc on 4/11/26 at 11:14 pm to hawgfaninc
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As a Pakistani diplomat who I happened to meet today, told me, "In essence, the United States can not conduct serious diplomacy; their arrogance and maximalist approach make it extremely difficult for them to show minimum care and flexibility for the interests and concerns of other nations."
re: Official US/Israel vs Iran war thread
Posted by hawgfaninc on 4/11/26 at 11:08 pm to hawgfaninc
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Starting to think that we are currently witnessing the transition from Step 4 to Step 5 in Trump’s 7 Steps of Maximum Pressure.
Step 1. US has already “Asked for the Moon” (initial pre-conflict demands)
Step 2. “Whipped out the Big Button” (decapitated Iran leadership, destroyed Iran Navy,..)
Step 3. “Punch Someone in the Mouth” (Infrastructure Day)
Step 4. Break Bread, Make Friends ->
The ceasefire is the magnanimous gesture.
Trump went from “a whole civilization will die tonight” to “workable basis for negotiation” & “Golden Age of the Middle East” within a few hours.
He “accepted” Iran’s 10 point plan as a starting framework after calling it “not good enough” the day before.
He invited delegations to Islamabad.
Markets rallied & the world exhaled.
Now you sit down, you break bread, you behave generously & you make the other side believe the deal is real & imminent.
Which means that the walkaway (Step 5: Leave the Bride at the Altar) hasn’t happened yet.
The Islamabad talks on April 10 are the altar.
Vance, Witkoff, & Kushner fly in.
Pakistani mediators set the table.
Iran sends a delegation (probably led by Araghchi or Ghalibaf).
The optics will suggest momentum.
The world will believe a deal is forming.
Then, if Iran doesn’t concede to a favorable deal for the US..
Trump walks away.
If Iran’s version of “reopening” amounts to escorted convoys under IRGC coordination rather than unconditional free passage, Trump can declare the ceasefire condition unmet.
He goes back to Truth Social: “Iran has NOT opened the Strait. They are playing games. The deal is OFF.”
Oil spikes & markets panic again.
Iran, having already made concessions (accepting the ceasefire, sending a delegation, publicly engaging), is now in a worse position than before, because the world saw them come to the table & now fail.
The blame now rests on Iran, they are now the “unreasonable party” that is causing an economic calamity.
The external & internal pressure on Iran to concede will intensify dramatically.
That’s when we get to Step 6 (Kiss & Make Up).
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