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re: New SCOTUS ruling shifts 12 house seats to Republicans across the South

Posted on 4/29/26 at 11:52 am to
Posted by coolpapaboze
Parts Unknown
Member since Dec 2006
21828 posts
Posted on 4/29/26 at 11:52 am to
I don't think there will be formal secession, or a hot civil war. What I mean is that you'll see people self select (it's already happening) by migrating to places where they can live with people with the same values. Red states will get redder, blue states will get bluer, and eventually you'll have states just ignore the federal government on certain issues.
Posted by Eurocat
Member since Apr 2004
17244 posts
Posted on 4/29/26 at 11:57 am to
"we need a constitutional amendment to do away with partisan gerrymandering forever. "Safe" Democratic districts where you win the primary election (and therefore the general election) by being as leftist as possible and "safe" Republican districts where you win the primary election (and therefore the general election) by being as right wing as possible are a very large part of what's wrong with American politics."

Totally agree. Too bad SCOTUS took a big hard pass on this issue a few years ago (in a case that had nothing to do with race, so this is a different issue).

LINK

Supreme Court of the United States
Argued March 26, 2019
Decided June 27, 2019
Full case name Robert A. Rucho et al. v. Common Cause et al.
Docket no. 18-422

Holding
Partisan gerrymandering claims present political questions beyond the reach of the federal courts.

Case opinions
Majority Roberts, joined by Thomas, Alito, Gorsuch, Kavanaugh

Dissent Kagan, joined by Ginsburg, Breyer, Sotomayor

Rucho v. Common Cause, No. 18-422, 588 U.S. 684 (2019) is a landmark case of the United States Supreme Court concerning partisan gerrymandering.[1] The Court ruled that while partisan gerrymandering may be "incompatible with democratic principles", the federal courts cannot review such allegations, as they present nonjusticiable political questions outside the jurisdiction of these courts.[2]


The case was one of three heard in the 2018 term dealing with issues related to partisan gerrymandering used in the districting plans of states. It was combined with Rucho v. League of Women Voters of North Carolina, and its decision included the Court's judgment on Lamone v. Benisek, a partisan gerrymandering case from Maryland.[3] The 5–4 decision, divided along ideological lines, left in place North Carolina's congressional districts, which favored the Republican Party, and Maryland's congressional districts, which favored the Democratic Party.[4]

Background
While the case was challenged at the Supreme Court, the previous chairmen of the state's redistricting committee, State Senator Bob Rucho and Representative David R. Lewis, brought in an expert to help with a new map, while a new redistricting committee was formed by the Republican-favored General Assembly and voted on seven principles for this new map. Among them, the new map would not be developed using any data on racial makeup, but that it would use political makeup to strive to keep the same proportion of voters in each district. Lewis was quoted as saying "I propose that we draw the maps to give a partisan advantage to 10 Republicans and three Democrats, because I do not believe it’s possible to draw a map with 11 Republicans and two Democrats."[5] The District Court approved the 2016 map, and it has been used for both the 2016 and was set to be used in the 2018 general elections.


The Court issued its decision in Rucho and Lamone on June 27, 2019. In the 5–4 majority opinion, the Court ruled that "partisan gerrymandering claims present political questions beyond the reach of the federal courts", vacating and remanding the lower courts' decisions with instructions to dismiss for lack of jurisdiction. Chief Justice John Roberts delivered the majority opinion, joined by Justices Thomas, Alito, Gorsuch, and Kavanaugh.[20] Roberts made clear that partisan gerrymandering can be distasteful and unjust, but that states and Congress have the ability to enact laws to curb excessive partisan gerrymandering.[2]

Justice Elena Kagan wrote the dissenting opinion, joined by Justices Ginsburg, Breyer, and Sotomayor. Kagan's opinion was critical of the majority: "Of all times to abandon the Court's duty to declare the law, this was not the one. The practices challenged in these cases imperil our system of government. Part of the Court's role in that system is to defend its foundations. None is more important than free and fair elections. With respect but deep sadness, I dissent."[2]
Posted by Chuck Barris
Member since Apr 2013
3226 posts
Posted on 4/29/26 at 12:01 pm to
quote:

Republicans have to scrap this idea of playing honest and by the rules.
Just so everyone knows, this is exactly the same language being used in left-leaning online communities.

"We always lose because we fight with one hand tied behind our backs! The Republicans don't give a shite about rules and principles and we do, so we let them get away with everything. Yeah, partisan gerrymandering is bad, but at least we're finally fighting back and not rolling over."
Posted by TigerAxeOK
Where I lay my head is home.
Member since Dec 2016
38060 posts
Posted on 4/29/26 at 12:03 pm to
quote:

This is how you essentially get states to self select into some kind of disunited states.

That's how it was supposed to be, as the original design by our founding fathers... long before the rot and bloat of an infinitely overreaching federal bureaucracy. Individual nation-States, united only beneath a mutually beneficial banner of military protection and an extremely finite set of rules placed at the federal level.
quote:

Secession will be the ultimate outcome, either explicit or implicit.

A totally acceptable outcome, though I would prefer just returning to limited federal power and oversight. Balkanization would be a big win.

Unfortunately, the Etatist Kleptocracy cannot and will not let a peaceful and amicable separation occur, nor allow a retrofitted form of government to be installed that will deprive them of their power and wealth. This ends in a civil war. A very, VERY ugly and biblical one. That's the unfortunate truth.

Call me a "doomer" like others if you wish, but I've been looking at this scenario and studying it for many moons, and a review of past history of similar scenarios serves to portend a bleak and violent future for our nation. The rot has to be dealt with, and when you cannot handle it through voting, civil discourse in negotiation or the rights bestowed upon you, there is only one remaining solution. Some people won't see it until it's already happened, and they'll wonder why there was "no warning". Others among us can see it coming, and are spreading warnings that fall upon the deaf ears of the ignorant.
Posted by BuckeyeGoon
Member since Jan 2025
1200 posts
Posted on 4/29/26 at 12:03 pm to
quote:

Republican districts where you win the primary election (and therefore the general election) by being as right wing as possible

I get what you're saying but there arent any parts of the country where far right candidates are winning anything.
Posted by Bard
Definitely NOT an admin
Member since Oct 2008
59314 posts
Posted on 4/29/26 at 12:05 pm to
quote:

What I mean is that you'll see people self select (it's already happening) by migrating to places where they can live with people with the same values. Red states will get redder, blue states will get bluer, and eventually you'll have states just ignore the federal government on certain issues.


I'm not seeing that as a negative and think it would be a vast improvement over progressives making their blue states shitholes then moving to red states and trying to make the same mistakes all over again.
Posted by Deek
Member since Sep 2013
1327 posts
Posted on 4/29/26 at 12:06 pm to
I absolutely agree that those two districts need to be changed. My statement was more to the fact that she hasn't done much of anything in several months besides give the teachers another raise, raise my gas taxes, and built a one BILLION dollar prison. I was being sarcastic.
Posted by BugAC
St. George
Member since Oct 2007
57898 posts
Posted on 4/29/26 at 12:07 pm to
quote:

United States Supreme Court concerning partisan gerrymandering.


What does that have to do with this case, regarding racial gerrymandering?
Posted by udtiger
Over your left shoulder
Member since Nov 2006
115486 posts
Posted on 4/29/26 at 12:07 pm to
Could...

Presuming governors and legislatures get off their collective asses.
Posted by rooster108bm
Member since Nov 2010
3237 posts
Posted on 4/29/26 at 12:08 pm to
quote:

The districts that run from Mobile to the Georgia State line are idiotic


As is district 7 that includes half of montgomery and still has to have a section that runs up 59 to birmingham to give a black majority.
Posted by Chuck Barris
Member since Apr 2013
3226 posts
Posted on 4/29/26 at 12:12 pm to
quote:

I get what you're saying but there arent any parts of the country where far right candidates are winning anything.
I'm not going to get into a semantics debate about what is and isn't "far right."

I'm saying that there are many districts where the golden rule of politics is "don't let anyone run to the right (or left) of you in the primary and you've got it in the bag." I don't think there's much room to debate against that point.
Posted by FlySaint
FL Panhandle
Member since May 2018
2566 posts
Posted on 4/29/26 at 12:13 pm to
If the R’s retain both houses in November they need to pass legislation to prevent future rounds of political gerrymandering.

Otherwise may need a Convention of States to cement an amendment to codify things.

We should start with a new census that excludes all non citizens!

Posted by BBONDS25
Member since Mar 2008
59474 posts
Posted on 4/29/26 at 12:15 pm to
quote:

Long term, this is not a win for any of us.


Mwade is pissed he can’t be racist with the rest of the Dems anymore.
This post was edited on 4/29/26 at 12:15 pm
Posted by Chuck Barris
Member since Apr 2013
3226 posts
Posted on 4/29/26 at 12:18 pm to
quote:

If the R’s retain both houses in November they need to pass legislation to prevent future rounds of political gerrymandering.

Otherwise may need a Convention of States to cement an amendment to codify things.
I'm in favor of anything that prevents politicians from choosing their voters instead of the other way around.
Posted by hogcard1964
Alabama
Member since Jan 2017
20028 posts
Posted on 4/29/26 at 12:22 pm to
quote:

"We always lose because we fight with one hand tied behind our backs! The Republicans don't give a shite about rules and principles and we do, so we let them get away with everything. Yeah, partisan gerrymandering is bad, but at least we're finally fighting back and not rolling over."


Bingo

It's time for us (the Repubs) to scrap the lube and go in raw.
Posted by BuckeyeGoon
Member since Jan 2025
1200 posts
Posted on 4/29/26 at 12:24 pm to
No you're right, I'm not disagreeing with any of that. I'm just pointing out there's a misconception where people talk about how we're polarized as a country and people are siding more and more with the far left and far right, but in reality its only the far left that is actually winning anything. All right wing means in this country is you dont bend over for the democrats 100% of the time, but you still bend over for them a good amount.

I wish Trump was actually as far right as the liberals try to describe him as being.
Posted by Wednesday
Member since Aug 2017
17301 posts
Posted on 4/29/26 at 12:28 pm to
Agree totally

Congressional Districts should follow existing state political boundaries to be explicable
Posted by Alty66
Jacktown, MS
Member since Aug 2017
1501 posts
Posted on 4/29/26 at 12:32 pm to
As a resident of Bennie Thompson's district for the past 20 or so years, this can't happen fast enough.
Posted by Bamafig
Member since Nov 2018
6488 posts
Posted on 4/29/26 at 12:32 pm to
quote:

I'm sure that meemaw is all over it.


Guvnah mee maw won’t do anything, but Tubbs will.
Posted by aTmTexas Dillo
East Texas Lake
Member since Sep 2018
24024 posts
Posted on 4/29/26 at 12:43 pm to
quote:

This is how you essentially get states to self select into some kind of disunited states. Secession will be the ultimate outcome, either explicit or implicit.


How will the eastern states interact with the western states when the upper midwest, plains states and south refuse overflight privileges?
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