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Chuck Barris
| Favorite team: | Alabama  |
| Location: | |
| Biography: | |
| Interests: | |
| Occupation: | |
| Number of Posts: | 3177 |
| Registered on: | 4/11/2013 |
| Online Status: | Not Online |
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re: Question on teacher pay raise
Posted by Chuck Barris on 5/13/26 at 2:01 pm to SnacknGold06
quote:Precisely.
Has more to do with student selection bias than anything else. Public schools have to take every child; private can select from a pool of applicants and usually those applicant families have the additional economic means to pay the tuition.
Imagine two football coaches:
Coach Private can recruit and hold tryouts. All of his players have parents who are willing and able to pay thousands of dollars to be coached by him, because they think football is very important. If a player has a consistently bad attitude or even just performs poorly, Coach Private can cut him.
Coach Public isn't allowed to recruit. He is required to give everyone who shows up playing time, even if that player is severely physically disabled. Some of his players have parents who care about football, but not all of them. If a player says that he hates football and wants to quit, it's Coach Public's job to convince him otherwise. He technically can cut a player, but doing so requires a mountain of paperwork.
How can we tell who is the better coach?
(I say all this as a person who attended private school K-12.)
2
re: Question on teacher pay raise
Posted by Chuck Barris on 5/13/26 at 12:32 pm to GeauxGoose
Discussions about teacher pay spend way too much time and energy on whether or not teachers "deserve it." The problem is that salaries don't work like that. None of us are paid based on what we "deserve," we're paid based on how expensive it would be to replace us with someone of similar value.
Teachers are quitting and retiring, and often they aren't being replaced. The days when schools could post an English or History teaching job and have twenty people begging for it at the principal's door the next week are long gone. Schools are increasingly hiring people who are uncertified and largely untrained, or recruiting former teachers out of retirement by paying them a salary on top of their pension.
Essentially, the cost of replacing a teacher, especially a trained, experienced teacher, has gone up because the labor supply of them has gone down. Teacher pay isn't the only thing that will have to change in order to make it an attractive profession again, and it may not even be the most important thing, but the fact of the matter is that schools need a certain number of teachers, and the demand for them is outpacicing supply.
Teachers are quitting and retiring, and often they aren't being replaced. The days when schools could post an English or History teaching job and have twenty people begging for it at the principal's door the next week are long gone. Schools are increasingly hiring people who are uncertified and largely untrained, or recruiting former teachers out of retirement by paying them a salary on top of their pension.
Essentially, the cost of replacing a teacher, especially a trained, experienced teacher, has gone up because the labor supply of them has gone down. Teacher pay isn't the only thing that will have to change in order to make it an attractive profession again, and it may not even be the most important thing, but the fact of the matter is that schools need a certain number of teachers, and the demand for them is outpacicing supply.
re: Reopen the Strait and quit playing along with Iran’s talk-talk stall
Posted by Chuck Barris on 5/13/26 at 12:19 pm to captainFid
quote:We can't, at least not at a price we're willing to pay in terms of lives, armaments, and money.
Reopen the Strait and quit playing along with Iran’s talk-talk stall
That's the simplest explanation for why we aren't doing something we'd all like to see done: we just can't.
re: Reopen the Strait and quit playing along with Iran’s talk-talk stall
Posted by Chuck Barris on 5/13/26 at 12:14 pm to Swampcat
quote:
Trump knows what he is doing and the reasons why.
re: Whelp, Trump just wrote the Democrats' midterm attack ads for them
Posted by Chuck Barris on 5/12/26 at 10:56 pm to Beauw
quote:Like every other nuclear power in the world, Iran wants nukes as a defensive weapon. They want to be able to nuke Israel, because right now Israel could nuke them without worrying about a retaliatory strike. Iran wouldn't bomb Europe or the US because we'd retaliate with our own much stronger nuclear strike on Tehran.
What do you think the market reaction would be to Iran detonating a nuclear weapon?
If your retort is something like "They're crazy!" then think about this: If the leaders of Iran are all literally insane, then why have we been negotiating with them? Is that what you do with crazy people, send the Vice-president around the world to negotiate the fine points of an agreement with them?
re: Whelp, Trump just wrote the Democrats' midterm attack ads for them
Posted by Chuck Barris on 5/12/26 at 10:54 pm to Neutral Underground
quote:Nope
That's AI
re: Marco Rubio surges past Vance in 2028 poll
Posted by Chuck Barris on 5/12/26 at 10:03 pm to Django Unchained
quote:
2 people he clearly cares about.
re: NYT: Iran retains operational access to 90% of missile sites according to US intelligence
Posted by Chuck Barris on 5/12/26 at 9:49 pm to joshnorris14
quote:As opposed to all the stability, reputational strength, and economic gain that will come from an invasion that you believe will be worse than Iraq, Afghanistan, or freaking Vietnam?
Not doing it will lead to erosion of the US as the hegemon of global trade and significantly impact our role as the medium of exchange for oil (which contributes significantly to the buying capacity of the USD - destabilization would cause significant inflation).
Also, Iran will actually pursue nuclear weapons and antagonization of Israel moreso. Further destabilizing the region.
re: New World Order theories
Posted by Chuck Barris on 5/12/26 at 9:45 pm to UFFan
re: NYT: Iran retains operational access to 90% of missile sites according to US intelligence
Posted by Chuck Barris on 5/12/26 at 9:41 pm to joshnorris14
quote:So why don't we just... not do that, then?
I think it would be worse than all 3, without doubt. But, our policies since June of 2025 have painted us into a corner.
Why not work with the Israelis to bomb them a few more times to make it look like we've really done something, negotiate the best deal we can, and then just walk away from the situation?
re: Whelp, Trump just wrote the Democrats' midterm attack ads for them
Posted by Chuck Barris on 5/12/26 at 9:38 pm to dat yat
quote:Honest question: Was anyone in America just hoping and praying for a war against Iran in, let's say, January?
My bank account and stocks won't matter if Iran starts a nuclear war.
Did any voter, anywhere, hear Trump run on "no new wars" last year and think to themselves "Boy, I hope he doesn't mean Iran, because I'm just up all night worrying about a possible Iranian attack on the USA! We've got to go to war with them or I'll never feel safe"?
re: NYT: Iran retains operational access to 90% of missile sites according to US intelligence
Posted by Chuck Barris on 5/12/26 at 9:34 pm to joshnorris14
quote:How do you think that's going to go?
We need to invade.
Do you see it as more of an "Iraq", a "Vietnam", or an "Afghanistan"?
re: Whelp, Trump just wrote the Democrats' midterm attack ads for them
Posted by Chuck Barris on 5/12/26 at 9:24 pm to rileytiger
quote:You're right, the popularity of the incumbent president probably has nothing whatsoever to do with his party's performance in elections. It's not like midterm elections have historically served as a referendum on the sitting president or anything.
Trump is on the ticket?
That whole coattail effect thing is probably just a myth, and the presidential penalty is just a boogeyman. I bet the Republicans in Congress totally aren't stomping the floor every time the president says he doesn't care about the price of gas because the Dow is up.
re: Whelp, Trump just wrote the Democrats' midterm attack ads for them
Posted by Chuck Barris on 5/12/26 at 7:34 pm to dgnx6
quote:Now do gas.
Look at the Market compared to when he was first elected and now.
You can't argue it.
re: Whelp, Trump just wrote the Democrats' midterm attack ads for them
Posted by Chuck Barris on 5/12/26 at 7:19 pm to BugAC
quote:Oh, it's great!
How’s this a bad thing?
I think we should put up a poster of it on every gas pump so all Americans can read it as they fill up their tanks.
re: Whelp, Trump just wrote the Democrats' midterm attack ads for them
Posted by Chuck Barris on 5/12/26 at 7:17 pm to David_DJS
quote:So no one actually had any grounds to complain about the price of gas in 2022 either, right?
The overriding point is that it's true.
I mean, since it's no one's fault but your own if you can't afford gas.
re: Whelp, Trump just wrote the Democrats' midterm attack ads for them
Posted by Chuck Barris on 5/12/26 at 7:15 pm to Robin Masters
quote:Good point! When has an out of context soundbite ever mattered in presidential politics?
An out of context sound bite?
Oh wow. This changes everything
"You didn't build that."
"Binders full of women"
"Basket of deplorables"
"Lockbox"
"And then we’re going to Washington, D.C., to take back the White House! YEAH!"
"I actually did vote for the $87 billion before I voted against it."
"Read my lips: no new taxes."
re: Whelp, Trump just wrote the Democrats' midterm attack ads for them
Posted by Chuck Barris on 5/12/26 at 7:03 pm to rltiger
quote:Is there any way you could convince Trump to go on TV and say this, preferably repeatedly?
If you cant afford gas and groceries, it’s no one's fault but your own.
Asking for a friend.
re: Whelp, Trump just wrote the Democrats' midterm attack ads for them
Posted by Chuck Barris on 5/12/26 at 6:43 pm to Mid Iowa Tiger
quote:So glad you asked:
What’s the historical midterm trends?
The Democratic Party’s gain of 41 seats (the final certified number) in the 2018 midterm elections was a significant shift, representing their largest gain in the House of Representatives since the post-Watergate election of 1974.
On average, the President's party loses about 25 to 30 seats in the House in a midterm election. The 41-seat loss for the Republican party was significantly higher than the historical average, categorizing it as a "wave election."
The most striking historical deviation in 2018 was the turnout. Midterms usually see a massive drop-off in participation compared to Presidential years. However, 2018 saw a turnout of approximately 49.4%, the highest for a midterm election in over a century. For comparison, the average midterm turnout in the preceding decades usually hovered around 40%.
re: Whelp, Trump just wrote the Democrats' midterm attack ads for them
Posted by Chuck Barris on 5/12/26 at 6:37 pm to David_DJS
quote:My counterargument would be: Trump promised no new wars and lower inflation. He's started a war that's raised inflation, and has no clue how to get out of it.
Is the Dem counterargument that for the right price, Iran can have a nuclear weapon? I think they should go with that.
Does he care about your problems? Let's ask him: "I don't think about Americans' financial situation."
re: Whelp, Trump just wrote the Democrats' midterm attack ads for them
Posted by Chuck Barris on 5/12/26 at 6:32 pm to NIH
quote:Just like the Vietcong.
Iran was going to take are freedoms
Oops, I meant "Saddam Hussein."
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