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Posted on 10/1/26 at 6:25 am to tarzana
quote:
If that's reliable polling, then that's a dire sign for Ken Paxton. Texas-09 represents a district (mostly in Northern Brazoria County, Northern Galveston County and far Southeastern Harris County) --- a very conservative and Republican district. Trump won it by 20 points in 2024. If he's only leading by 1 in what should be a slam-dunk regional race, then he's getting shellacked statewide.
I suppose there could always be a first time you were proven right about something.
I don’t believe this will be the thing to mark that notable milestone.
Posted on 10/1/26 at 6:33 am to tarzana
quote:
If that's reliable polling, then that's a dire sign for Ken Paxton
BUT SUCH A DIRE SIGN!!!
Posted on 10/1/26 at 6:39 am to TigerIron
quote:
It's a poll in one congressional district. That district was Trump +20 in 2024. Paxton is up by one. I literally cannot understand how people could say, or claim to believe, that is a good sign for Paxton.
Did they poll people at random, did they an equal number of Dems and Pubs, or exactly what were the demographics of who they polled?
Posted on 10/1/26 at 8:24 am to tarzana
quote:
The fact that Paxton leads by just 1 in the district looks like curtains for a statewide campaign.
If that poll is legit, you’re correct.
quote:
Abbott is in serious trouble as well.
I don’t believe that.
Posted on 10/1/26 at 8:46 am to tarzana
Tardzana last week: Talarico is polling better than Paxton. This is a dire sign for Paxton!
Tardzana this week: Paxton is polling better than Talarico. This is a dire sign for Paxton!
Tardzana this week: Paxton is polling better than Talarico. This is a dire sign for Paxton!
Posted on 10/1/26 at 8:49 am to NIH
Alex Mealer’s run for several political positions over the past half decade, it seems. I do think she means well.
Mattress Mack was a big supporter of hers a few years ago when she challenged Dora the Explorer for Harris County Judge.
Mattress Mack was a big supporter of hers a few years ago when she challenged Dora the Explorer for Harris County Judge.
Posted on 10/1/26 at 9:33 am to OWLFAN86
quote:
CD09 will not be one of them, but it's closer than it should be according to the math when it was done
Isn't this Al Green's district?
Posted on 10/1/26 at 9:59 am to tarzana
quote:
If that's reliable polling, then that's a dire sign for Ken Paxton.
Texas-09 represents a district (mostly in Northern Brazoria County, Northern Galveston County and far Southeastern Harris County) --- a very conservative and Republican district. Trump won it by 20 points in 2024.
Then how exactly did Al Green win TX 09 with 76% in '24??
Paxton is leading in a district won bigly by Al Frikkin' Green. And before you admit that its a brand new district, Trump could not have won in by 20% if it didnt exist in its current form
Youre just a lyin' ballot stealing DIM idiot
Posted on 10/1/26 at 10:04 am to RobbBobb
quote:
Then how exactly did Al Green win TX 09 with 76% in '24??
So it is his district? I thought it was.
This post was edited on 10/1/26 at 10:16 am
Posted on 10/1/26 at 10:39 am to loogaroo
NUH UH!!!!!! PAXTON IS A TERRIBLE CANDIDATE!!!! REEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEE!!!!!! OMB!!!!! REAL CONSERVATIVE!!!Posted on 10/1/26 at 10:41 am to tarzana
quote:
If that's reliable polling, then that's a dire sign for Ken Paxton.
Paxton isn’t losing. You will pretend you never said he would lose.
Posted on 10/1/26 at 10:43 am to RobbBobb
quote:
Then how exactly did Al Green win TX 09 with 76% in '24??
That district apparently got redrawn and will have redder boundaries from about 2027-2033.
Within the 2023-2027 boundaries, in 2024, Harris received 71% of the vote and Allred 73%.
Within the apparent 2027-2033 boundaries, Trump received 59% in ‘24 and Cruz 54%.
LINK
In fact, Al Green ran as the “incumbent”, and lost to Christian Menefee in the Dem primary, in the 18th Congressional district after he was drawn out of the 9th.
Posted on 10/1/26 at 10:43 am to NawlinsTiger9
quote:
quote:
What is TX 09’s demographics?
Trump +20 in the last election
This poll has it Paxton +1
I need you to acknowledge that you understand those two facts.
Okay, a democrat poll that will almost always favor and be more heavily skewed toward democrats still has Paxton ahead. Can you acknowledge that?
Posted on 10/1/26 at 10:43 am to loogaroo
quote:So when the Texas state legislature, dominated by Republicans, redrew congressional boundaries at the request of Trump, the boundaries were redrawn .
Then how exactly did Al Green win TX 09 with 76% in '24??
So it is his district? I thought it was.
The district number that someone ran in in 24 will not necessarily be the district number that they run in 26 because the lines were changed
CD 9 was in SW Harris County, very urban, very d
Now it's East Harris County and Liberty County; Liberty is very Republican
It is totally a different district by demographics; it's just the number designation; CD09 is the same
But the boundaries and the demographics are completely different from 2024
That's what happens in redistricting
This post was edited on 10/1/26 at 10:46 am
Posted on 10/1/26 at 10:44 am to mwade91383
quote:
Jsut wanna say if any of you are really that confident Paxton wins you can get 2.5x on your money right now on Kalshi. Monster payout available.
Thanks for the heads up! Bout to throw some money on Paxton.
Posted on 10/1/26 at 10:44 am to RobbBobb
Looks like this is one of those newly drawn district boundaries that Texas redrew last year.
Posted on 10/1/26 at 10:44 am to BeeFense5
quote:
Oh we are believing polls again?
Oh we're not believing Democrat polls now?
Posted on 10/1/26 at 10:45 am to BTROleMisser
quote:
Thanks for the heads up! Bout to throw some money on Paxton.
Post the slip when you’re finished.
Posted on 10/1/26 at 10:45 am to BeeFense5
quote:
Will be hilarious to read the spin that Bbonds puts on if Paxton loses.
Rent free. I don’t even know who you are.
quote:
Considering his hilarious defense of Iran. “Name the battles”
Yet nobody has attempted to answer that very simple question.
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