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re: Nate Silver’s latest election model update has Kamala Harris winning for the first time

Posted on 8/4/24 at 5:59 pm to
Posted by t00f
Not where you think I am
Member since Jul 2016
101491 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 5:59 pm to
In 5 days? GFY
Posted by SDVTiger
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
93854 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 5:59 pm to



They will never really answer other than "anyone but him"
Posted by Cromulent
Down the Bayou
Member since Oct 2016
3196 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 5:59 pm to
Word Salad
Posted by Bunk Moreland
Member since Dec 2010
66919 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 5:59 pm to
Posted by shoelessjoe
Member since Jul 2006
11188 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 6:00 pm to
Like that’s surprising. They planned this since Kamala was the nominee. This was going to happen regardless. Now the cheat is ok now.
Posted by Jwho77
cyperspace
Member since Sep 2003
83741 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 6:00 pm to
Posted by FoTownBam
Foley Al
Member since Oct 2023
4059 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 6:01 pm to
quote:

Trump needs to get his stuff together. He's turning back into bad Trump and it is hurting him

Username checks out
The slow part
Posted by TrueTiger
Chicken's most valuable
Member since Sep 2004
80221 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 6:01 pm to

Everyone knew this was coming.
Posted by Scruffy
Kansas City
Member since Jul 2011
76603 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 6:01 pm to
quote:

Take a deep breath
This board is such a bubble that y’all have actually convinced yourselves that ALL polls are bad.

The good ones even show declining Trump support, particularly over these previous weeks.

Even if you believe they are all fake, why give them reasons to justify faking them in Harris’ favor.

Make them fake them based off of Harris’ antics.
Posted by Drewbie
tFlagship
Member since Jun 2012
64759 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 6:03 pm to
quote:

This board is such a bubble that y’all have actually convinced yourselves that ALL polls are bad.
Nate Silver has done plenty on his own to discredit himself. It doesn't require a bubble.

See: The last post on page 1.
This post was edited on 8/4/24 at 6:04 pm
Posted by LuckyTiger
Someone's Alter
Member since Dec 2008
51023 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 6:04 pm to
The power of the media and the conviction of identity political ideology, some people still doubt it.

In a few months it will be like Kamala never finished 16th out of 18 candidates three years ago, only besting Steve Bullock and Joe Sestak.

You’re beginning to witness a metamorphosis that will truly be one of a kind.
Posted by SloaneRanger
Upper Hurstville
Member since Jan 2014
12868 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 6:04 pm to
Trump better get his shite together or he is in big trouble. If Shapiro is on the ticket, that makes Pennsylvania hard to win. He’s not doing himself any favors in Georgia. What’s his path? There’s a ton of stuff he needs to be talking about and running on. Why is he getting is a pissing match with Kemp?
This post was edited on 8/4/24 at 6:11 pm
Posted by Azkiger
Member since Nov 2016
27015 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 6:04 pm to
quote:

Trump needs to get his stuff together. He's turning back into bad Trump and it is hurting him


Disregard what the PR head of UK's grooming gang says.
Posted by FairhopeTider
Fairhope, Alabama
Member since May 2012
22414 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 6:05 pm to
Instead of dismissing this, it’d be great if some one the GOP side looked at this and said “Yeah, maybe Trump should make a few tweaks and try to do things to win.”
Posted by _Hurricane_
Somewhere
Member since Feb 2016
7359 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 6:05 pm to
Scruffy is telling the truth ^ the level of arrogance that this board displays is astounding. I’ve posted here a long time and have never seen the board with these kind of blinders on. I’m gonna get called a concern troll probably after being a big Trump supporter on here since 2016 though
Posted by VOR
Member since Apr 2009
67567 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 6:06 pm to
Trump will never again be president. I’ve told y’all for months now. He is his own worst enemy. His followers love his rhetoric and antics. Independents and the middle are turned off.
Posted by MMauler
Primary This RINO Traitor
Member since Jun 2013
23917 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 6:07 pm to
quote:

Wake me up when Kamala reaches 63% like Hillary did


The Democrats learned one, AND ONLY ONE, lesson from Hillary’s election....

There can never be enough MASSIVE frickING VOTER FRAUD. They’ll cheat in every way fricking possible and they won’t leave a stone unturned with respect to casting fraudulent ballots.
Posted by Drewbie
tFlagship
Member since Jun 2012
64759 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 6:07 pm to
quote:

Independents and the middle are turned off.
You people do not live in reality.
Posted by LuckyTiger
Someone's Alter
Member since Dec 2008
51023 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 6:12 pm to
quote:

Instead of dismissing this, it’d be great if some one the GOP side looked at this and said “Yeah, maybe Trump should make a few tweaks and try to do things to win.”


Unfortunately, most Republican political strategists suck or aren’t really on the side of the guy running or the people voting for him.

Moreover, I’m sure at least a couple will offer decent advice but Trump tends to do what he wants. He’s never backed away from a fight, for good or bad.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
466944 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 6:14 pm to
quote:

He was the best I’ve ever seen when Biden was still the nominee. It’s like he has imploded since Kamala became the presumptive nominee.

It is crazy how he's changed since the debate.

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