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Posted on 8/18/26 at 7:59 pm to Chromdome35
quote:
Follow the replies back a few posts
Sorry, I don’t see anything new about negotiations. What am I missing?
Posted on 8/18/26 at 9:09 pm to doubleb
quote:
What am I missing?
I don't think you're missing anything. I think someone got their wires crossed.
The idea that Ukraine is going to give up the rest of the Donbas in exchange for peace is absurd. That was the "Spirit of Anchorage"— what Putin wanted a year ago.
Posted on 8/18/26 at 9:40 pm to GOP_Tiger
quote:
The idea that Ukraine is going to give up the rest of the Donbas in exchange for peace is absurd. That was the "Spirit of Anchorage"— what Putin wanted a year ago.
That is old news.
Posted on 8/18/26 at 10:42 pm to GOP_Tiger
quote:
The idea that Ukraine is going to give up the rest of the Donbas in exchange for peace is absurd. That was the "Spirit of Anchorage"— what Putin wanted a year ago.
that was how Russia reported it. Only 28% of stations have petrol now. Last week 41%
Posted on 8/19/26 at 3:09 am to CitizenK
He's tired of waiting and is making his move. There won't be elections during the active fighting but he wants to keep his name at the top of the list.
quote:
Former Ukrainian Defense Minister Mykhailo Fedorov has called for Ukraine to find a “legal, safe and realistic mechanism” to restore a full democratic process even if the war continues for years.
“Democracy cannot be held hostage by Russia,” Fedorov said, arguing that Moscow must not determine when Ukrainians can elect their government. He said any mechanism must protect voting rights for military personnel, millions of Ukrainians abroad and people in frontline regions while ensuring security and trust in the result.
Fedorov also warned of wartime corruption, opaque decision-making and what he called a “systemic management crisis,” saying it is dangerous if society believes personal loyalty rather than professionalism and results determines appointments.
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If tweet fails to load, click here.Posted on 8/19/26 at 3:15 am to Coeur du Tigre
The Greeks are surrendering.
quote:
Russia reroutes Kazakh oil from Ust-Luga to Novorossiysk — Reuters
From the end of August until at least the end of September, Russia will be rerouting transit volumes of Kazakh oil from the Baltic port of Ust-Luga to Novorossiysk on the Black Sea to free up capacity for increasing its own exports from the Baltic.
Two KEBCO cargoes scheduled for loading in Ust-Luga in August have already been rerouted; no Kazakh oil shipments from the Baltic port are scheduled for September, freeing up approximately 100,000 barrels per day.
The reason is Russian exporters' difficulties chartering tankers to the Black Sea due to threats of drone attacks.
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If tweet fails to load, click here.This post was edited on 8/19/26 at 3:23 am
Posted on 8/19/26 at 3:28 am to Coeur du Tigre
The reason why -
She's fully loaded by the way. Looks like Christmas is coming early for the Turkish salvage contractors. Turkish love and respect for the Greeks is well known.
She's fully loaded by the way. Looks like Christmas is coming early for the Turkish salvage contractors. Turkish love and respect for the Greeks is well known.
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If tweet fails to load, click here.This post was edited on 8/19/26 at 3:43 am
Posted on 8/19/26 at 3:41 am to Coeur du Tigre
And half of the 28% with gasoline were supplied from Belarus and that Indian shipment. What happens when the two Belarus refineries go down for scheduled maintenance? When do we start seeing shortages in Belarus?
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If tweet fails to load, click here.Posted on 8/19/26 at 4:00 am to Coeur du Tigre
The tsunamis of Russian Repo paper have stopped. For now. Commercial banks cannot juggle infinite debt issues.
LINK
quote:
Russia’s Finance Ministry recently suspended its regular government bond auctions after a series of unsuccessful debt sales.
As government borrowing requirements increase, domestic banks become progressively less able or willing to absorb finance additional debt unless they receive higher returns. This limits the government’s ability to rely solely on domestic institutions to finance persistent deficits.
According to reports, one auction received zero bids, while another raised just 10.3 billion rubles (US$190M) against a planned issuance of 110 billion rubles (US$1.38B). Overall, the government has reportedly raised only around 10 billion rubles towards a third-quarter borrowing target of approximately 1.5 trillion rubles.
Rather than locking in substantially higher borrowing costs, the Finance Ministry elected to suspend further auctions for the time being.
LINK
Posted on 8/19/26 at 7:40 am to Coeur du Tigre
Posted on 8/19/26 at 7:57 am to cypher
Posted on 8/19/26 at 8:24 am to cypher
Power substation fire at the big VIINR Progress manufacturing plant which was hit previously in May and June. The June attack was suspected to be with FP-5 Flamingos.
Responsible for producing guidance, stabilization, and flight control systems that are integrated into strike platforms during the assembly stage. The plant also manufactures Kometa-type modules—Russian satellite navigation units that support GLONASS/GPS functionality and feature anti-jamming protection.
Those modules are used in Iskander-M tactical ballistic missiles, Kalibr cruise missiles, Kh-101 and Kh-69 air-launched missiles, UMPK-guided glide bombs, and drones such as Orlan-10, Lancet, and newer variants of Shahed.
Responsible for producing guidance, stabilization, and flight control systems that are integrated into strike platforms during the assembly stage. The plant also manufactures Kometa-type modules—Russian satellite navigation units that support GLONASS/GPS functionality and feature anti-jamming protection.
Those modules are used in Iskander-M tactical ballistic missiles, Kalibr cruise missiles, Kh-101 and Kh-69 air-launched missiles, UMPK-guided glide bombs, and drones such as Orlan-10, Lancet, and newer variants of Shahed.
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If tweet fails to load, click here.Posted on 8/19/26 at 8:46 am to GOP_Tiger
quote:
quote:
What am I missing?
I don't think you're missing anything. I think someone got their wires crossed.
The idea that Ukraine is going to give up the rest of the Donbas in exchange for peace is absurd. That was the "Spirit of Anchorage"— what Putin wanted a year ago.
Yeah, someone used something to "confirm" that they had relinquished the Donbas that did not indicate that at all... they have dug defensive trenches outside the Donbas. "That conifrms that they have relinquished it!!!"
Ukraine will keep offering the idea of possibly ceding land in negotiations... because they know that every time they do, Putin will move the goalposts. The point is to expose Russia's dishonesty and maximalist goals. The trenches are dug on the other side of where the invaders are currently... they're not a new international marker or anything.
Posted on 8/19/26 at 9:08 am to Lee B
quote:
Ukraine will keep offering the idea of possibly ceding land in negotiations... because they know that every time they do, Putin will move the goalposts. The point is to expose Russia's dishonesty and maximalist goals.
Who needs convincing there?
"Russia is dishonest, water is wet".
Posted on 8/19/26 at 10:28 am to Lee B
The point was that Ukraine is preparing extensive defensive lines just over the border from the Donbass. The question is why create such extensive fortifications outside of the Donbas with one POSSIBLE answer being that if they end up giving up the Donbas, they will have a good border defense in place on day 1.
It's a POSSIBLE signal that they are preparing for Russia controlling all of the Donbas. Since Russia can't take it, the only way all of the work and investment make sense is that Ukraine would end up ceding it in a peace agreement.
I'm fully aware that Ukraine has said they wouldn't give it up, but things change.
It's a POSSIBLE signal that they are preparing for Russia controlling all of the Donbas. Since Russia can't take it, the only way all of the work and investment make sense is that Ukraine would end up ceding it in a peace agreement.
I'm fully aware that Ukraine has said they wouldn't give it up, but things change.
Posted on 8/19/26 at 10:34 am to Chromdome35
I mean, eventually, if current trends continue, Russia will eventually take it— probably early 2028.
Posted on 8/19/26 at 10:37 am to GOP_Tiger
quote:
probably early 2028.
That seems pretty optimistic, I was thinking somewhere around 2122 on the wars 100th anniversary.
Posted on 8/19/26 at 11:35 am to Chromdome35
quote:
The point was that Ukraine is preparing extensive defensive lines just over the border from the Donbass. The question is why create such extensive fortifications outside of the Donbas with one POSSIBLE answer being that if they end up giving up the Donbas, they will have a good border defense in place on day 1.
It's a POSSIBLE signal that they are preparing for Russia controlling all of the Donbas. Since Russia can't take it, the only way all of the work and investment make sense is that Ukraine would end up ceding it in a peace agreement.
I'm fully aware that Ukraine has said they wouldn't give it up, but things change.
Just to be clear, you're not the someone I was referring to.
Posted on 8/19/26 at 12:54 pm to Lee B
quote:
Consequences of the attack on the Novorossiysk Naval Base, - Ukrainian OSINT The "Guards" frigate pr. 11356R "Admiral Makarov" and frigate pr. 11356R "Admiral Essen" suffered critical damage during the attack on the Novorossiysk naval base on August 12, 2026. The ships completely lost their strike potential and combat control capabilities.
Both have been decommissioned for at least a year and require dock repairs.
-- FR "Admiral Essen" (b/n 490) The hit in the bow led to the deformation of the deck and the destruction of the 8-cell UKSK 3S14 module (mines for the Kalibr submarines). The Trebovanie-M BIUS is completely out of order. The demolition of the masts destroyed the antenna posts of the 3C-25E observation radar, the TK-25 electronic warfare complexes, and the Centaur satellite communication domes.
-- Admiral Makarov frigate (b/n 499) (flagship) The hit in the VPU zone provoked an internal detonation. The burning out of the UKSK 3S14 launch shafts was recorded. Similar destruction of the architecture of the Trebovanie-M BIUS (radar, electronic warfare, communications)
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