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Posted on 10/23/26 at 1:42 pm to DarthRebel
Those are modeled estimates. Regardless, the whole strategy of Talarico is to capture 15%+ of the Republican vote and substantially win independents while getting strong Democrat turnout. That is the only way he will win.
Given the butthurt Cornyn supporters, he might get to that 15%+ mark of Republican voters.
Given the butthurt Cornyn supporters, he might get to that 15%+ mark of Republican voters.
Posted on 10/23/26 at 1:42 pm to DarthRebel
What in the boomer Facebook meme is this garbage? 
Posted on 10/23/26 at 1:42 pm to Napoleon
I am going to go place 500 on Paxton.... Trusting the Texas geniuses here hahaha. 
Posted on 10/23/26 at 1:43 pm to DarthRebel
I think in TX the only thing you can do is watch total voters by county and try to assume based off of recent voting trends in those how it is going.
Posted on 10/23/26 at 1:44 pm to GRTiger
Bc you’re wrong. Texas does not track political party selection on its voter registration applications. All voters register simply as registered voters without a declared party.
Party affiliation occurs when a voter casts a ballot in a party's primary election or takes an oath of affiliation (such as at a party convention).
You should take this up with the state of Texas since you have it wrong.
Party affiliation occurs when a voter casts a ballot in a party's primary election or takes an oath of affiliation (such as at a party convention).
You should take this up with the state of Texas since you have it wrong.
Posted on 10/23/26 at 1:44 pm to OWLFAN86
quote:
Independent voters will swing this election
We tend to do that.
Posted on 10/23/26 at 1:47 pm to HighIQ
quote:
Texas does not track political party selection on its voter registration applications.
This must be relatively new as I almost certainly registered as a Republican back when I moved here years ago.
Posted on 10/23/26 at 1:48 pm to TigerBaitOohHaHa
My wife and I will be joined by our two sons (newly minted 18 YO voters) this weekend to do our duty for God, the Republican Party, Donald Trump and our local community as we vote straight Republican in one of the reddest counties in Texas.
Posted on 10/23/26 at 1:51 pm to BTROleMisser
I've been here almost 20 years. No one holds up to ban bets. We had so many for McCaan vs Obama, then Romney. Then so many more in 2016. No one honors it.
.
The flip side is some who did them posted porn to force a ban. But that can't happened in a long while.
.
The flip side is some who did them posted porn to force a ban. But that can't happened in a long while.
Posted on 10/23/26 at 1:53 pm to aubie101
Can we really bet on elections is that real? That's that Kalhisi app?
May check it out. Though they was a scam.
May check it out. Though they was a scam.
Posted on 10/23/26 at 1:54 pm to HighIQ
quote:
HighIQ
Shreveport
Member since Oct 2026
7 posts
Sigh
Posted on 10/23/26 at 1:55 pm to HighIQ
quote:
Bc you’re wrong. Texas does not track political party selection on its voter registration applications. All voters register simply as registered voters without a declared party.
Party affiliation occurs when a voter casts a ballot in a party's primary election or takes an oath of affiliation (such as at a party convention).
You should take this up with the state of Texas since you have it wrong.
I dont know how accurate any of this data is but I can clearly read the word Modelled on the graphic
they are just taking early voter data and assigning it value based on the 2024 POTUS results for the county.
Posted on 10/23/26 at 1:57 pm to BTROleMisser
Im scared
Posted on 10/23/26 at 1:59 pm to GRTiger
quote:
You definitely register for a party in TX
Texas says you are not correct. All primaries are open primaries in Texas.
texas.gov webpage on voter registration
Posted on 10/23/26 at 2:00 pm to HighIQ
quote:
I can no longer make money by betting on Talarico bc it’s not worth the return at this point. He’s just too far ahead. Would you care to help me out and give me 1:1 on my money? I would appreciate it.
Show your work and post your receipt from the bet.
Posted on 10/23/26 at 2:01 pm to supatigah
And adding “Dems down bad” haha you really believe they are using a valid system?
Posted on 10/23/26 at 2:02 pm to HighIQ
quote:
And adding “Dems down bad” haha you really believe they are using a valid system?
quote:
I dont know how accurate any of this data is but I can clearly read the word Modelled on the graphic
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