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Message
re: Is Texas safe, looks like it after day 4
Posted on 10/23/26 at 2:03 pm to idlewatcher
Posted on 10/23/26 at 2:03 pm to idlewatcher
You can check the odds yourself. If you bet $500 on Talarico it returns $200. I’m asking anyone willing on here to offer higher returns. Seems like a no brainer since it’s guaranteed money, right?
Posted on 10/23/26 at 2:03 pm to HighIQ
quote:
And adding “Dems down bad” haha you really believe they are using a valid system?
Doh!
Posted on 10/23/26 at 2:04 pm to GRTiger
quote:
You definitely register for a party in TX.
No, you do not.
You "affiliate" when you go to vote in a primary.
Link to Texas Secretary of State voter registration faq
DIrect quote from the link:
quote:
When a person registers to vote in Texas, they do not register with
any kind of party affiliation.
Posted on 10/23/26 at 2:04 pm to supatigah
Ok well my model show reps down bigly. So now what’s the point in the op other than to show he lacks critical thinking skills?
Posted on 10/23/26 at 2:05 pm to HighIQ
quote:
You can check the odds yourself. If you bet $500 on Talarico it returns $200. I’m asking anyone willing on here to offer higher returns. Seems like a no brainer since it’s guaranteed money, right?
So you're essentially admitting you didn't make any bets then?
No one cares about the odds. The odds of HRC getting in were in the 90th percentile
Posted on 10/23/26 at 2:07 pm to HighIQ
They use different info to determine who they are likely registered as . It’s not as good as states like Florida but numbers look good for Republican . Of course democrats will not want to look at the numbers now that they are turning towards republicans. The sites I seen are not as good for republicans as the OP but they are turning towards republican.
Posted on 10/23/26 at 2:07 pm to idlewatcher
The election that was 10 years ago? And no you could never at any point wager on that election and score 10-1 on your money. And anyone saying she was at 90% is just as dumb as the graphic posted in the OP.
Posted on 10/23/26 at 2:09 pm to tjv305
And I would be thrilled to take the opposite position in the form of actual money if you want to give me those odds. Bc like I said it is not profitable to bet on Talarico to win.
Posted on 10/23/26 at 2:09 pm to HighIQ
quote:
Ok well my model show reps down bigly. So now what’s the point in the op other than to show he lacks critical thinking skills?
it is a message board, he posted a message he found on twitter, we talk about it, what other objective for the OP does he need in your opinion?
similar threads on this same topic were posted tuesday, Wednesday and thursday using the same model data sets from 2024 POTUS results by county
Posted on 10/23/26 at 2:09 pm to DarthRebel
Harris counting has a block of 2am ballots ready to drop for Freako.
Posted on 10/23/26 at 2:10 pm to Demonbengal
quote:
I think in TX the only thing you can do is watch total voters by county and try to assume based off of recent voting trends in those how it is going.
Exactly. That is why the results are described as being from a "model". I'm not sure if OP realized what he was posting when he posted it.
The only thing known is the number of votes. The party of each voter is not reported.
The model can only make assumptions based on the results of prior elections.
Posted on 10/23/26 at 2:10 pm to OWLFAN86
quote:
Independent voters will swing this election
The 1/3 doesn’t even know who brought them trump 2.0
Posted on 10/23/26 at 2:11 pm to Stinger_1066
quote:
Exactly. That is why the results are described as being from a "model". I'm not sure if OP realized what he was posting when he posted it.
The only thing known is the number of votes. The party of each voter is not reported.
The model can only make assumptions based on the results of prior elections.
exactly
I mean it says modelled twice on the graphic
Posted on 10/23/26 at 2:13 pm to supatigah
Saying Texas looks safe by posting clearly identifiable biased political commentary is something I decided to call out. Makes me feel good.
Posted on 10/23/26 at 2:14 pm to HighIQ
congrats on that
Posted on 10/23/26 at 2:16 pm to Napoleon
quote:
Can we really bet on elections is that real? That's that Kalhisi app?
May check it out. Though they was a scam.
Kalshi is real, and yes, you can bet on the outcome of an election.
Donald Trump, Jr is an investor in, and adviser to, both Kashi and Polymarket.
Posted on 10/23/26 at 2:16 pm to HighIQ
Hello alt! Good luck!
Posted on 10/23/26 at 2:18 pm to DarthRebel
The modeled breakdown numbers:
D = 960,966
R = 1,216,110
Other = 16,263
Total = 2,193,339
Total in the graphic is 2,208,661
The AI did a pisspoor job calculating the total from those made up numbers.
Posted on 10/23/26 at 2:18 pm to jbdawgs03
I can see that making logical and coherent comments will not be welcome on this site. My bad.
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