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re: If we have a recession- who will you blame?

Posted on 4/23/25 at 9:57 am to
Posted by Seldom Seen
Member since Feb 2016
48737 posts
Posted on 4/23/25 at 9:57 am to
quote:

If we have a recession- who will you blame?





The Tariffs.
Posted by Wildcat1996
Lexington, KY
Member since Jul 2020
10401 posts
Posted on 4/23/25 at 9:59 am to
People, pundits and pols will blame who they always blame when there is a recession, the other side.

A recession is coming simply because that is the nature of the business cycle. The question is when and how well are each of us positioned to best endure it.

I'm not approaching retirement, so I don't lose too much sleep. Boomers are anxious in this market and with the games Trump is playing, and understandably so.
Posted by RogerTheShrubber
Juneau, AK
Member since Jan 2009
299214 posts
Posted on 4/23/25 at 9:59 am to
quote:

Go read my first reply panican


I did, and youre an idiot.

A handful of congress.....means just that you retard. A very few members of congress.

Posted by TigerFanatic99
South Bend, Indiana
Member since Jan 2007
35919 posts
Posted on 4/23/25 at 10:13 am to
quote:

Let’s define a recession in simplified terms-
2 quarters with negative growth.



Oh ok, so we're going to go back to using that definition now.

I will blame Bush some. Obama a whole lot, Trump just a touch less than Bush, Biden about the same as Obama, then I'll add the remaining angst to the Trump bucket.

The reality is this has been building for a good 15-20 years. Every president in that time has added to the problem, some more than others.
Posted by RoyalWe
Louisiana
Member since Mar 2018
4922 posts
Posted on 4/23/25 at 10:14 am to
This is a loaded question.

Politicians have been grinding the gears of capitalism slowly over time with their reckless spending resulting in additional burden on the American people.

Trump recognized that we cannot continue doing business like this (both in spending and trade), or we are destined to not be great again. Something had to change.

Trump decided to, for the first time in my lifetime, actually do something. I applaud that.

The WAY in which Trump is doing it is (and not unexpectedly) is extremely disruptive to the stock market and, more importantly, to businesses.

The art of the deal is great when you're negotiating something small. Using it on something like tariffs is going to make huge waves and paralyze businesses. Is being this disruptive necessary to get us where we need to be? I don't know, but it's his job to do it and if he's willing to take the heat then I'm willing to watch my IRAs shrink with the belief that we'll get to a new steady-state and we'll rise again.

Trump was an absolute dumbass to put into question the Fed's independence. That's a bridge too far, and I think he finally got the message.

Other than that, all politicians over the past decades get the blame -- including Trump. The buck stops at the top.
Posted by ReauxlTide222
St. Petersburg
Member since Nov 2010
91458 posts
Posted on 4/23/25 at 10:14 am to
The answers in here seem fair and not cultish at all.

I think the moderates around here have painted us unfairly(although yes, there is SOME cultish behavior).
Posted by The Maj
Member since Sep 2016
30551 posts
Posted on 4/23/25 at 10:15 am to
quote:

I watch a lot of CNBC


Ok, your credibility just flew out the window...
Posted by jizzle6609
Houston
Member since Jul 2009
20093 posts
Posted on 4/23/25 at 10:15 am to
Pam Bondi
Posted by Mid Iowa Tiger
Undisclosed Secure Location
Member since Feb 2008
24829 posts
Posted on 4/23/25 at 10:19 am to
Recessions need to happen from time to time. The freer the economy the more frequent they happen.


We have faked growth for too long. The Fed manipulated the economy for long enough.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
476599 posts
Posted on 4/23/25 at 10:20 am to
quote:

who will you blame?

Obama, Trump, and Biden
Posted by YumYum Sauce
Arkansas
Member since Nov 2010
9580 posts
Posted on 4/23/25 at 10:21 am to
Bush, Obama, covid lockdown psychopaths', and Biden.
Posted by The Pirate King
Pangu
Member since May 2014
68397 posts
Posted on 4/23/25 at 10:31 am to
quote:

I watch a lot of CNBC who have guests on mentioning recession.


oh yes, the unbiased NBC network guests.
Posted by Tarps99
Lafourche Parish
Member since Apr 2017
12661 posts
Posted on 4/23/25 at 10:33 am to
quote:

Let’s define a recession in simplified terms-
2 quarters with negative growth.


It depends on how you measure the growth.

In Biden's economic world, we may have reached that threashold, but the media and government tabulators skewed the numbers so it was always reported that the economy was booming.
Posted by RohanGonzales
Pronoun: Whatever
Member since Apr 2024
10615 posts
Posted on 4/23/25 at 10:34 am to
quote:

Let’s define a recession in simplified terms-
2 quarters with negative growth.


Biden changed that.

Posted by CHGAR
Haile, LA
Member since Aug 2022
1256 posts
Posted on 4/23/25 at 10:35 am to
Dem's playbook, it's Biden's fault. Don't forget he claimed that every good fortune in the would be due to his present policies.

Obama also claimed every negative thing in his first administration was Bush's fault. I'm just following their rules.
Posted by Penrod
Member since Jan 2011
55464 posts
Posted on 4/23/25 at 10:38 am to
I’d blame Trump. He is the President; he was handed an economy that was not in, or teetering on, a recession. So if we have one it’s because he pushed us into it with tariffs. He can’t blame the Fed for not supporting a strategy he didn’t get them on board with.

However, just because Trump would get my blame doesn’t mean I don’t approve of it. If he pushes us into a short recession, but we shoot out of that recession 10 to 14 months later and with huge investments being made in America and better trade deals, I’d consider it nicely done.
Posted by The1TrueTiger
Colorado Springs, Colorado
Member since Apr 2009
2676 posts
Posted on 4/23/25 at 10:50 am to
quote:

Unless you're retiring soon who cares?

It will bounce back


Exactly! Quit crying about what the media is feeding you.

BUY THE DIP!


I had to look up the numbers but over 11,000 people retire everyday, not a small amount looking at a 6 month window
Posted by Average_Comments
ATX
Member since Jan 2024
284 posts
Posted on 4/23/25 at 10:51 am to
It's a really stupid to blame any president for a recession, they are inevitable economic reactions, but hard to argue Trump did not trigger this to happen faster. It was inevitable.....
Posted by Tantal
Member since Sep 2012
19821 posts
Posted on 4/23/25 at 10:51 am to
Depends. Recessions happen. It's the natural flow of economics. Where we get into trouble is artificially preventing recessions through government spending to give the impression that the economy is doing great right before election season.
Posted by SlidellCajun
Slidell la
Member since May 2019
16400 posts
Posted on 4/23/25 at 11:10 am to
quote:

think you answered your own question. The economy was already in a recession as it had previously been defined.


No. It was in positive growth when trump took over
Q4 2024 (3rd)
+2.4%
Q3 2024
+3.1%

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